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Mainz vs Wolfsburg predictions, Jan 24, 2026

Yuriy Borshchenko

German Bundesliga, on Saturday,

Score, Highlights

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As Mainz 05 prepares to host VfL Wolfsburg on January 24, 2026, both teams enter this Bundesliga clash with contrasting recent performances. Mainz has managed to secure two victories in their last five matches, indicating a moderate resurgence in form. However, their ability to capitalize on home advantage could be pivotal, especially against a Wolfsburg side that boasts three wins in their last five outings, showcasing a stronger run of late.

Tactically, Mainz will likely aim to control possession while utilizing their home crowd to elevate their pressing game. Their ability to convert chances remains a point of contention, particularly in tight matches. Conversely, Wolfsburg has demonstrated a more consistent attacking threat, potentially leveraging quick transitions and exploiting gaps in the Mainz defense.

The bookmakers have set the odds at 2.35 for a Mainz home win, while Wolves are at 2.92 for an away victory, reflecting the competitive nature of this fixture. Our model suggests a 41.1% chance of a home win, a 26.5% probability for a draw, and a 32.1% likelihood of an away victory. Given these factors, fans should expect a closely contested match where form and strategy will play crucial roles in determining the outcome.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-01-17T21:52:02+00:00.

Mainz
40.6%		 Draw
27.2%		 Wolfsburg
32.2%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

Outrights of German Bundesliga Wolfsburg: 0.58% Mainz: 0.52%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
2.38 3.45 2.92
2.42 3.6 3.09 Watch and Bet
2.25 3.3 2.9
2.32 3.56 2.94
2.33 3.5 2.9

Latest Results

17.01.26 1. FC Köln – Mainz 05 – 2:1
13.01.26 Mainz 05 – 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 – 2:1
10.01.26 Union Berlin – Mainz 05 – 2:2
21.12.25 Mainz 05 – FC St. Pauli – 0:0
18.12.25 Mainz 05 – Samsunspor – 2:0		 17.01.26 VfL Wolfsburg – 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 – 1:1
14.01.26 VfL Wolfsburg – FC St. Pauli – 2:1
11.01.26 Bayern Munich – VfL Wolfsburg – 8:1
20.12.25 VfL Wolfsburg – SC Freiburg – 3:4
13.12.25 Borussia Mönchengladbach – VfL Wolfsburg – 1:3

Facts

  • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 12).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 1.
  • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
  • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 3 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:36. (average 1:1.8).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Mainz won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.9:1.2).

    Latest Head To Head

    31.08.25 VfL Wolfsburg – Mainz 05 – 1:1
    19.04.25 Mainz 05 – VfL Wolfsburg – 2:2
    08.12.24 VfL Wolfsburg – Mainz 05 – 4:3
    18.05.24 VfL Wolfsburg – Mainz 05 – 1:3
    13.01.24 Mainz 05 – VfL Wolfsburg – 1:1

    Standings

    2025/26

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Bayern Munich 18 16 2 0 71:14 57 50
    2 Dortmund 18 11 6 1 35:17 18 39
    3 Hoffenheim 17 10 3 4 35:21 14 33
    4 RB Leipzig 17 10 2 5 33:24 9 32
    5 Stuttgart 17 10 2 5 32:25 7 32
    6 Bayer Leverkusen 17 9 2 6 34:25 9 29
    7 Eintracht Frankfurt 18 7 6 5 38:39 -1 27
    8 Freiburg 17 6 5 6 27:29 -2 23
    9 Union Berlin 17 6 5 6 23:26 -3 23
    10 FC Koln 18 5 5 8 27:30 -3 20
    11 B. Monchengladbach 18 5 5 8 23:29 -6 20
    12 Wolfsburg 18 5 4 9 27:38 -11 19
    13 Werder Bremen 17 4 6 7 21:34 -13 18
    14 Hamburger SV 17 4 5 8 17:27 -10 17
    15 Augsburg 17 4 3 10 18:33 -15 15
    16 Heidenheim 18 3 4 11 17:39 -22 13
    17 Mainz 18 2 6 10 18:31 -13 12
    18 St. Pauli 17 3 3 11 16:31 -15 12

    German Bundesliga Outrights

    1. Dortmund: 41 (56.6%)

    2. Bayer Leverkusen: 151 (15.37%)

    3. RB Leipzig: 251 (9.25%)

    4. VfB Stuttgart: 501 (4.63%)

    5. Hoffenheim: 751 (3.09%)

    6. Freiburg: 1001 (2.32%)

    7. Eintracht Frankfurt: 1501 (1.55%)

    8. 1. FC Koln: 2001 (1.16%)

    9. Union Berlin: 2501 (0.93%)

    10. B. Monchengladbach: 2501 (0.93%)

    11. Werder Bremen: 3001 (0.77%)

    12. Hamburger: 3001 (0.77%)

    13. Wolfsburg: 4001 (0.58%)

    14. Augsburg: 4501 (0.52%)

    15. Mainz: 4501 (0.52%)

    16. Heidenheim: 4501 (0.52%)

    17. St. Pauli: 4501 (0.52%)

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