Manchester United vs Brighton & Hove Albion predictions, Jan 11, 2026

Yuriy Borshchenko

9 months ago

English FA Cup, on Sunday, 11:30 am ET

Score, Highlights

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Manchester United is set to face off against Brighton & Hove Albion in an English FA Cup matchup on January 11, 2026. The Red Devils will host the Seagulls at their home ground, where they’ll look to build on their recent form of two wins in their last five matches. In contrast, Brighton & Hove Albion has struggled, failing to secure a victory in their last five outings.

Bookmakers have pegged Manchester United as the favorites, with odds of 1.82 for a home win compared to 3.94 for an away victory. Our model predicts a 52.1% chance of a win for the home side, a 24.2% likelihood of a draw, and a 23.8% probability of an away win.

Tactically, Manchester United will aim to exploit their attacking prowess against Brighton’s struggling defense. However, the Seagulls will be keen to turn their fortunes around and could pose a challenge for the hosts. With both teams looking to advance in the tournament, this match is shaping up to be an intriguing battle with unpredictable outcomes.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-01-05T03:52:02+00:00.

Man Utd
50.6%

Draw
24.5%

Brighton & Hove
25%

Prediction (the most likely score): 2:1

Outrights of English FA Cup Brighton: 2.9%

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Watch and Bet Man Utd – Brighton & Hove available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

1	X	2
1.98	3.7	3.2
1.88	3.95	3.7
1.83	3.82	3.86	Watch and Bet
1.85	3.6	3.8
1.88	4.01	4
1.76	3.75	3.75

Latest Results

04.01.26 Leeds United – Manchester United – 1:1
30.12.25 Manchester United – Wolverhampton Wanderers – 1:1
26.12.25 Manchester United – Newcastle United – 1:0
21.12.25 Aston Villa – Manchester United – 2:1
15.12.25 Manchester United – AFC Bournemouth – 4:4

03.01.26 Brighton & Hove Albion – Burnley FC – 2:0
30.12.25 West Ham United – Brighton & Hove Albion – 2:2
27.12.25 Arsenal FC – Brighton & Hove Albion – 2:1
20.12.25 Brighton & Hove Albion – Sunderland AFC – 0:0
13.12.25 Liverpool FC – Brighton & Hove Albion – 2:0

Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Brighton & Hove may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Man Utd is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 33:26. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Man Utd won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 1.9:1.3).

Latest Head To Head

25.10.25 Manchester United – Brighton & Hove Albion – 4:2
19.01.25 Manchester United – Brighton & Hove Albion – 1:3
24.08.24 Brighton & Hove Albion – Manchester United – 2:1
19.05.24 Brighton & Hove Albion – Manchester United – 0:2
16.09.23 Manchester United – Brighton & Hove Albion – 1:3

Standings

Draw

Main

1/128-finals

1	Wolves	Bye
3	Sutton	AFC Telford	2 : 1
4	South Shields	Shrewsbury	1 : 3
5	Stevenage	Chesterfield	0 : 1
6	Crewe	Doncaster	1 : 2
8	Bye	Southampton
9	Tottenham	Bye
12	Bye	Aston Villa
13	Port Vale	Maldon & Tiptree	5 : 1
14	Bromley	Bristol Rovers	1 : 2
15	Fleetwood	Barnet	2 : 1
16	Luton	Forest Green	4 : 3
17	Preston	Bye
19	Wigan	Hemel Hempstead	2 : 1
20	Spennymoor	Barrow	0 : 2
21	Ipswich	Bye
23	Blackpool	Scunthorpe	1 : 0
24	Reading	Carlisle	2 : 3
25	Boreham Wood	Crawley	3 : 0
26	Newport	Gillingham	3 : 2
27	Brackley Town	Notts Co	3 : 2
28	Burton	St. Albans	6 : 0
29	Wrexham	Bye
32	Bye	Nottingham
33	Charlton	Bye
36	Bye	Chelsea
37	Manchester City	Bye
39	FC Halifax	Exeter	0 : 2
40	Wycombe	Plymouth	2 : 0
41	West Ham	Bye
44	Bye	QPR
45	Sheffield Wed	Bye
48	Bye	Brentford
49	Fulham	Bye
52	Bye	Middlesbrough
53	Everton	Bye
56	Bye	Sunderland
57	Liverpool	Bye
59	Peterborough	Cardiff	1 : 0
60	Barnsley	York City	3 : 2
61	Burnley	Bye
64	Bye	Millwall
65	Norwich	Bye
67	AFC Wimbledon	Gateshead	0 : 2
68	Eastleigh	Walsall	0 : 3
69	Portsmouth	Bye
72	Bye	Arsenal
73	Derby	Bye
76	Bye	Leeds
77	Swansea	Bye
80	Bye	West Brom
81	Salford	Lincoln	2 : 1
82	Tamworth	Leyton Orient	0 : 1
83	Rotherham	Swindon	1 : 2
84	Bolton	Huddersfield	2 : 1
85	Grimsby	Ebbsfleet	3 : 1
86	Wealdstone	Southend	1 : 0
87	Chelmsford	Braintree	4 : 1
88	Weston-super-Mare	Aldershot	2 : 1
89	Hull	Bye
92	Bye	Blackburn
93	Newcastle	Bye
96	Bye	Bournemouth
97	Colchester	MK Dons	2 : 3
98	Oldham	Northampton	3 : 1
100	Bye	Oxford Utd
101	Cheltenham	Bradford City	1 : 0
102	Buxton	Chatham	2 : 1
104	Bye	Leicester
105	Tranmere	Stockport County	1 : 3
106	Cambridge Utd	Chester	3 : 0
108	Bye	Birmingham
109	Bristol City	Bye
112	Bye	Watford
113	Stoke	Bye
116	Bye	Coventry
117	Slough	Altrincham	2 : 1
118	Macclesfield	AFC Totton	6 : 3
120	Bye	Crystal Palace
121	Manchester Utd	Bye
124	Bye	Brighton
125	Sheffield Utd	Bye
127	Gainsborough	Accrington	1 : 2
128	Mansfield	Harrogate	3 : 2

1/64-finals

1	Wolves	Bye
2	Sutton	Shrewsbury	1 : 2
3	Chesterfield	Doncaster	1 : 2
4	Bye	Southampton
5	Tottenham	Bye
6	Bye	Aston Villa
7	Port Vale	Bristol Rovers	1 : 0
8	Fleetwood	Luton	3 : 2
9	Preston	Bye
10	Wigan	Barrow	3 : 2
11	Ipswich	Bye
12	Blackpool	Carlisle	4 : 1
13	Boreham Wood	Newport	3 : 0
14	Brackley Town	Burton	1 : 3
15	Wrexham	Bye
16	Bye	Nottingham
17	Charlton	Bye
18	Bye	Chelsea
19	Manchester City	Bye
20	Exeter	Wycombe	4 : 0
21	West Ham	Bye
22	Bye	QPR
23	Sheffield Wed	Bye
24	Bye	Brentford
25	Fulham	Bye
26	Bye	Middlesbrough
27	Everton	Bye
28	Bye	Sunderland
29	Liverpool	Bye
30	Peterborough	Barnsley	0 : 1
31	Burnley	Bye
32	Bye	Millwall
33	Norwich	Bye
34	Gateshead	Walsall	0 : 2
35	Portsmouth	Bye
36	Bye	Arsenal
37	Derby	Bye
38	Bye	Leeds
39	Swansea	Bye
40	Bye	West Brom
41	Salford	Leyton Orient	4 : 0
42	Swindon	Bolton	4 : 0
43	Grimsby	Wealdstone	4 : 0
44	Chelmsford	Weston-super-Mare	0 : 2
45	Hull	Bye
46	Bye	Blackburn
47	Newcastle	Bye
48	Bye	Bournemouth
49	MK Dons	Oldham	3 : 1
50	Bye	Oxford Utd
51	Cheltenham	Buxton	6 : 2
52	Bye	Leicester
53	Stockport County	Cambridge Utd	0 : 1
54	Bye	Birmingham
55	Bristol City	Bye
56	Bye	Watford
57	Stoke	Bye
58	Bye	Coventry
59	Slough	Macclesfield	1 : 3
60	Bye	Crystal Palace
61	Manchester Utd	Bye
62	Bye	Brighton
63	Sheffield Utd	Bye
64	Accrington	Mansfield	2 : 3

1/32-finals

1	Wolves	Shrewsbury
2	Doncaster	Southampton
3	Tottenham	Aston Villa
4	Port Vale	Fleetwood
5	Preston	Wigan
6	Ipswich	Blackpool
7	Boreham Wood	Burton
8	Wrexham	Nottingham
9	Charlton	Chelsea
10	Manchester City	Exeter
11	West Ham	QPR
12	Sheffield Wed	Brentford
13	Fulham	Middlesbrough
14	Everton	Sunderland
15	Liverpool	Barnsley
16	Burnley	Millwall
17	Norwich	Walsall
18	Portsmouth	Arsenal
19	Derby	Leeds
20	Swansea	West Brom
21	Salford	Swindon
22	Grimsby	Weston-super-Mare
23	Hull	Blackburn
24	Newcastle	Bournemouth
25	MK Dons	Oxford Utd
26	Cheltenham	Leicester
27	Cambridge Utd	Birmingham
28	Bristol City	Watford
29	Stoke	Coventry
30	Macclesfield	Crystal Palace
31	Manchester Utd	Brighton
32	Sheffield Utd	Mansfield

English FA Cup Outrights

1. Manchester City: 5.55 (10.96%)

2. Liverpool: 6.05 (10.05%)

3. Arsenal: 6.45 (9.43%)

4. Chelsea: 9.1 (6.68%)

5. Newcastle Utd: 11 (5.53%)

6. Tottenham: 17 (3.58%)

7. Manchester United: 17 (3.58%)

8. Aston Villa: 17 (3.58%)

9. Brighton: 21 (2.9%)

10. Bournemouth: 26 (2.34%)

11. Nottingham: 34 (1.79%)

12. Crystal Palace: 34 (1.79%)

13. Everton: 34 (1.79%)

14. West Ham: 41 (1.48%)

15. Fulham: 41 (1.48%)

16. Brentford: 41 (1.48%)

17. Sunderland: 65 (0.94%)

18. Wolves: 65 (0.94%)

19. Leeds: 65 (0.94%)

20. Burnley: 80 (0.76%)

21. Ipswich: 100 (0.61%)

22. Norwich: 100 (0.61%)

23. Wrexham: 100 (0.61%)

24. Blackburn: 100 (0.61%)

25. Hull City: 100 (0.61%)

26. West Brom: 100 (0.61%)

27. Stoke City: 100 (0.61%)

28. Swansea: 100 (0.61%)

29. Charlton: 100 (0.61%)

30. Preston: 100 (0.61%)

31. QPR: 100 (0.61%)

32. Millwall: 100 (0.61%)

33. Watford: 100 (0.61%)

34. Derby: 100 (0.61%)

35. Oxford Utd: 100 (0.61%)

36. Middlesbrough: 100 (0.61%)

37. Sheffield Wed: 100 (0.61%)

38. Coventry: 100 (0.61%)

39. Southampton: 100 (0.61%)

40. Sheffield Utd: 100 (0.61%)

41. Birmingham: 100 (0.61%)

42. Bristol City: 100 (0.61%)

43. Portsmouth: 100 (0.61%)

44. Leicester: 100 (0.61%)

45. Wigan: 100 (0.61%)

46. Hartlepool: 100 (0.61%)

47. Shrewsbury: 100 (0.61%)

48. Salford: 100 (0.61%)

49. Grimsby: 100 (0.61%)

50. Swindon: 100 (0.61%)

51. Port Vale: 100 (0.61%)

52. Exeter: 100 (0.61%)

53. Fleetwood Town: 100 (0.61%)

54. Doncaster: 100 (0.61%)

55. Cheltenham: 100 (0.61%)

56. Walsall: 100 (0.61%)

57. Barnsley: 100 (0.61%)

58. Milton Keynes Dons: 100 (0.61%)

59. Blackpool: 100 (0.61%)

60. Burton: 100 (0.61%)

61. Cambridge Utd: 100 (0.61%)

62. Mansfield: 100 (0.61%)

63. Macclesfield: 100 (0.61%)

64. Forest Green: 100 (0.61%)

65. Weston-super-Mare: 100 (0.61%)

66. Boreham Wood: 100 (0.61%)

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