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Manitoba Moose vs Toronto Marlies predictions, Mar 06, 2026

Yuriy Borshchenko

AHL, on Friday,

Score, Highlights

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On March 6, 2026, the Manitoba Moose will host the Toronto Marlies in an anticipated AHL matchup at home. Both teams are heading in contrasting directions, as the Moose have struggled recently, managing to secure only one win in their last five contests. In contrast, the Marlies have shown resilience and form, winning three of their last five games, indicating a stronger overall performance as they enter this matchup.

Statistically, the bookmakers favor the Marlies with odds of 1.98 for an away victory compared to 3.01 for the Moose at home. According to model predictions, the probabilities suggest a 32.3% chance of the Moose clinching a home win, alongside a 23.4% possibility for a draw, leaving the Marlies with a 44.7% likelihood for success.

Tactically, the Marlies have displayed efficient scoring and robust defense in recent outings, allowing them to capitalize on scoring opportunities. The Moose, on the other hand, will need to leverage home-ice advantage and make strategic adjustments to bolster their chances.

Ultimately, while the Marlies enter as favorites, the dynamic nature of hockey suggests that any outcome is possible, making this a crucial match for both teams.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-03-04T20:52:03+00:00.

Manitoba
30.8%		 Draw
22.7%		 Toronto
46.5%

Prediction (the most likely score): 2:3

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
3.02 4.1 2.01
2.98 3.98 1.99
3.01 4.17 1.98

Latest Results

01.03.26 Milwaukee Admirals – Manitoba Moose – 4:3 OT
28.02.26 Milwaukee Admirals – Manitoba Moose – 6:2
25.02.26 Grand Rapids Griffins – Manitoba Moose – 2:3 OT
22.02.26 Manitoba Moose – Iowa Wild – 1:5
21.02.26 Manitoba Moose – Iowa Wild – 2:3 OT		 04.03.26 Toronto Marlies – Cleveland Monsters – 7:4
01.03.26 Toronto Marlies – Chicago Wolves – 5:2
28.02.26 Toronto Marlies – Chicago Wolves – 4:5 penalties
25.02.26 Laval Rocket – Toronto Marlies – 1:4
21.02.26 Cleveland Monsters – Toronto Marlies – 3:2 penalties

Facts

  • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manitoba won 2.
  • Manitoba has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • In recent matches, Toronto has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
  • Manitoba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • Toronto might have a minor edge in this game.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Manitoba won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 53:58. (average 2.7:2.9).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Manitoba won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:20. (average 2.3:2.5).

    Latest Head To Head

    01.03.25 Toronto Marlies – Manitoba Moose – 2:1 penalties
    23.02.25 Toronto Marlies – Manitoba Moose – 1:2 OT
    19.01.25 Manitoba Moose – Toronto Marlies – 0:5
    17.01.25 Manitoba Moose – Toronto Marlies – 0:3
    29.03.24 Manitoba Moose – Toronto Marlies – 4:3

    Standings

    2025/26

    Atlantic Division

    Pl W WO LO L Pts
    1 Providence Bruins 52 30 11 1 10 173:108 83
    2 Wilkes-Barre/Scranton 55 31 5 6 13 183:142 78
    3 Charlotte Checkers 54 25 6 5 18 178:150 67
    4 Hershey Bears 55 20 6 8 21 158:167 60
    5 Lehigh Valley Phantoms 53 16 8 5 24 155:173 53
    6 Bridgeport Islanders 54 18 4 8 24 161:167 52
    7 Springfield Thunderbirds 53 18 3 7 25 145:188 49
    8 Hartford Wolf Pack 52 16 4 6 26 136:180 46

    Central Division

    Pl W WO LO L Pts
    1 Grand Rapids Griffins 53 34 7 4 8 184:104 86
    2 Chicago Wolves 51 21 7 11 12 164:156 67
    3 Manitoba Moose 49 20 4 6 19 128:141 54
    4 Texas Stars 52 17 8 4 23 151:163 54
    5 Milwaukee Admirals 52 14 8 7 23 150:158 51
    6 Rockford IceHogs 53 14 5 4 30 142:179 42
    7 Iowa Wild 52 11 6 5 30 122:169 39

    Pacific Division

    Pl W WO LO L Pts
    1 Ontario Reign 53 27 8 2 16 180:146 72
    2 Colorado Eagles 53 25 7 8 13 173:133 72
    3 Bakersfield Condors 55 21 8 9 17 188:175 67
    4 San Jose Barracuda 51 22 9 4 16 178:160 66
    5 Coachella Valley Firebirds 52 19 9 5 19 175:162 61
    6 San Diego Gulls 52 19 5 12 16 154:151 60
    7 Tucson Roadrunners 52 13 11 8 20 167:174 56
    8 Henderson Silver Knights 50 20 3 9 18 165:161 55
    9 Calgary Wranglers 55 10 9 14 22 149:200 52
    10 Abbotsford Canucks 55 12 8 6 29 126:186 46

    North Division

    Pl W WO LO L Pts
    1 Laval Rocket 56 25 9 5 17 184:150 73
    2 Syracuse Crunch 53 30 2 4 17 175:133 68
    3 Cleveland Monsters 54 16 13 7 18 160:162 65
    4 Toronto Marlies 54 20 7 9 18 174:176 63
    5 Rochester Americans 52 19 5 8 20 161:160 56
    6 Belleville Senators 56 15 6 8 27 172:206 50
    7 Utica Comets 53 16 3 9 25 135:166 47

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