Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar predictions, Apr 23, 2026

Yuriy Borshchenko

5 months ago

ATP Madrid, on Thursday, 5:00 am ET

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

As Marco Trungelliti prepares to face Daniel Merida Aguilar in the ATP Madrid on April 23, 2026, fans can expect an intriguing clash. Trungelliti, playing at home, has secured victories in 2 out of his last 5 matches, demonstrating flashes of potential but consistency remains a concern. On the other hand, Merida Aguilar comes into this encounter with a more favorable run, winning 3 of his last 5, suggesting he is gaining momentum as he approaches this match.

When evaluating the players’ recent performances, Merida Aguilar’s increased success may provide him with a confidence advantage. His ability to capitalize on break points and maintain aggressive baseline play could exploit Trungelliti’s defensive tendencies. Moreover, Trungelliti will need to leverage his home advantage, focusing on strong service games and employing effective net approaches to put pressure on Merida Aguilar.

Bookmakers currently favor Merida Aguilar with odds at 1.64 compared to Trungelliti’s 2.23, reflecting an anticipated away victory. Our model gives Trungelliti a 44.5% chance of winning against Merida Aguilar’s 55.5%. With a predicted final score of 0:2, this encounter is poised to reflect the systemic strengths and conditions of both players, making for a compelling match-up. However, as with all sports events, the unpredictability of the game ensures no guaranteed outcomes.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-04-21T19:52:02+00:00.

Trungelliti
43.9%

Merida Aguilar
56.1%

Prediction (the most likely score): 0:2

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Watch and Bet Trungelliti – Merida Aguilar available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

	1	X	2
	2.2		1.74	Watch and Bet
	2.23		1.64

Latest Results

21.04.26 Marco Trungelliti – Daniel Merida Aguilar – 0:2
20.04.26 Marco Trungelliti – Borna Gojo – 2:0
13.04.26 Marco Trungelliti – Hamad Medjedovic – 0:2
12.04.26 Marco Trungelliti – Pedro Martinez Portero – 1:2
11.04.26 Marco Trungelliti – Nicolai Budkov Kjaer – 2:1

21.04.26 Marco Trungelliti – Daniel Merida Aguilar – 0:2
20.04.26 Billy Harris – Daniel Merida Aguilar – 0:2
12.04.26 Ethan Quinn – Daniel Merida Aguilar – 2:0
11.04.26 Francesco Maestrelli – Daniel Merida Aguilar – 0:2
07.04.26 Daniel Merida Aguilar – Joel Schwaerzler – Canceled

Facts

Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 77. Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 102.

In recent matches, Trungelliti has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Merida Aguilar is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Trungelliti may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Merida Aguilar will win today’s game, with odds of 1.7.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Trungelliti won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Latest Head To Head

21.04.26 Marco Trungelliti – Daniel Merida Aguilar – 0:2
15.06.25 Daniel Merida Aguilar – Marco Trungelliti – 1:2
07.04.25 Marco Trungelliti – Daniel Merida Aguilar – 2:0
08.10.22 Daniel Merida Aguilar – Marco Trungelliti – 0:2

Standings

Draw

Singles – Qualification

Semi-finals

1	Trungelliti M. (1)	Gojo B.	2 : 0
2	Harris B.	Merida Aguilar D. (13)	0 : 2
3	Garin C. (2)	Blanchet U. (Alt)	2 : 0
4	Pellegrino A.	Damm M. (24)	0 : 2
5	Svajda Z. (3)	Sakamoto R. (WC)	0 : 2
6	Gea A.	Gaubas V. (22)	0 : 2
7	Prizmic D. (4)	O’Connell C.	2 : 1
8	Piros Z.	Barrios Vera T. (21)	2 : 0
9	Vukic A. (5)	Llamas Ruiz P.	0 : 2
10	Moller E.	Gaston H. (18)	2 : 0
11	Halys Q. (6)	Faria J.	1 : 2
12	Harris L.	McDonald M. (23)	2 : 0
13	Kypson P. (7)	Kouame M. (WC)	2 : 0
14	Travaglia S.	Basilashvili N. (20)	0 : 2
15	Vallejo D. (8)	Martinez P.	2 : 0
16	Rocha H.	Choinski J. (19)	2 : 1
17	Kovacevic A. (9)	Echargui M.	1 : 2
18	Budkov Kjaer N.	Maestrelli F. (16)	2 : 0
19	van Assche L. (10)	Dedura D. (WC)	0 : 2
20	Blanch Dar. (WC)	Bonzi B. (15)	0 : 2
21	Wu Y. (11)	Dhamne M. (WC)	2 : 0
22	Virtanen O.	Droguet T. (17)	1 : 2
23	Hijikata R. (12)	Rodesch C.	0 : 2
24	Lajovic D.	Arnaldi M. (14)	2 : 1

Final

1	Trungelliti M. (1)	Merida Aguilar D. (13)	0 : 2
2	Garin C. (2)	Damm M. (24)	1 : 2
3	Sakamoto R.	Gaubas V. (22)	1 : 2
4	Prizmic D. (4)	Piros Z.	2 : 0
5	Llamas Ruiz P.	Moller E.	0 : 2
6	Faria J.	Harris L. (RET.)	1 : 1
7	Kypson P. (7)	Basilashvili N. (20)	1 : 2
8	Vallejo D. (8)	Rocha H.	2 : 1
9	Echargui M.	Budkov Kjaer N.	0 : 2
10	Dedura D.	Bonzi B. (15)	0 : 2
11	Wu Y. (11)	Droguet T. (17)	0 : 2
12	Rodesch C.	Lajovic D.	0 : 2

ATP Madrid Outrights

1. Sinner Jannik: 1.53 (41.09%)

2. Zverev Alexander: 9.33 (6.72%)

3. Shelton Ben: 20 (3.14%)

4. Medvedev Daniil: 26.67 (2.35%)

5. Auger-Aliassime Felix: 31.83 (1.97%)

6. Fils Arthur: 32 (1.96%)

7. Bublik Alexander: 35.5 (1.77%)

8. Fonseca Joao: 37.83 (1.66%)

9. Ruud Casper: 45.67 (1.37%)

10. Cobolli Flavio: 50.33 (1.25%)

11. Mensik Jakub: 55.33 (1.13%)

12. De Minaur Alex: 55.33 (1.13%)

13. Darderi Luciano: 62.33 (1.01%)

14. Jodar Rafael: 64.67 (0.97%)

15. Cerundolo Francisco: 64.67 (0.97%)

16. Lehecka Jiri: 64.67 (0.97%)

17. Davidovich Fokina Alejandro: 64.67 (0.97%)

18. Musetti Lorenzo: 65.67 (0.96%)

19. Khachanov Karen: 68 (0.92%)

20. Tien Learner: 68 (0.92%)

21. Humbert Ugo: 83.67 (0.75%)

22. Rublev Andrey: 87.83 (0.71%)

23. Landaluce Martin: 100.33 (0.63%)

24. Shapovalov Denis: 100.33 (0.63%)

25. Berrettini Matteo: 104.5 (0.6%)

26. Blockx Alexander: 108.67 (0.58%)

27. Paul Tommy: 108.67 (0.58%)

28. Baez Sebastian: 108.67 (0.58%)

29. Hurkacz Hubert: 108.67 (0.58%)

30. Moutet Corentin: 112.83 (0.56%)

31. Machac Tomas: 112.83 (0.56%)

32. Griekspoor Tallon: 112.83 (0.56%)

33. Tsitsipas Stefanos: 112.83 (0.56%)

34. Vacherot Valentin: 113.67 (0.55%)

35. Munar Jaume: 117 (0.54%)

36. Ugo Carabelli Camilo: 125.33 (0.5%)

37. Norrie Cameron: 125.33 (0.5%)

38. Michelsen Alex: 125.33 (0.5%)

39. Dimitrov Grigor: 125.33 (0.5%)

40. Nakashima Brandon: 125.33 (0.5%)

41. Tabilo Alejandro: 125.33 (0.5%)

42. Rinderknech Arthur: 125.33 (0.5%)

43. Marozsan Fabian: 125.33 (0.5%)

44. Kecmanovic Miomir: 133.67 (0.47%)

45. Carreno-Busta Pablo: 137.83 (0.46%)

46. Etcheverry Tomas Martin: 142 (0.44%)

47. Fucsovics Marton: 142 (0.44%)

48. Sonego Lorenzo: 142 (0.44%)

49. Van De Zandschulp Botic: 142 (0.44%)

50. Navone Mariano: 142 (0.44%)

51. Muller Alexandre: 146.17 (0.43%)

52. Cerundolo Juan Manuel: 150.33 (0.42%)

53. Bellucci Mattia: 150.33 (0.42%)

54. Cilic Marin: 150.33 (0.42%)

55. Hanfmann Yannick: 158.67 (0.4%)

56. Buse Ignacio: 158.67 (0.4%)

57. Nava Emilio: 158.67 (0.4%)

58. Bergs Zizou: 158.67 (0.4%)

59. Popyrin Alexei: 158.67 (0.4%)

60. Tirante Thiago Agustin: 158.67 (0.4%)

61. Collignon Raphael: 158.67 (0.4%)

62. Opelka Reilly: 162.83 (0.39%)

63. Diallo Gabriel: 192 (0.33%)

64. Dzumhur Damir: 200.33 (0.31%)

65. Giron Marcos: 208.67 (0.3%)

66. Zhang Zhizhen: 208.67 (0.3%)

67. Brooksby Jenson: 208.67 (0.3%)

68. Borges Nuno: 217 (0.29%)

69. Altmaier Daniel: 225.33 (0.28%)

70. De Jong Jesper: 233.67 (0.27%)

71. Kopriva Vit: 233.67 (0.27%)

72. Cina Federico: 233.67 (0.27%)

73. Quinn Ethan: 233.67 (0.27%)

74. Atmane Terence: 233.67 (0.27%)

75. Bautista-Agut Roberto: 233.67 (0.27%)

76. Mannarino Adrian: 233.67 (0.27%)

77. Walton Adam: 233.67 (0.27%)

78. Comesana Francisco: 233.67 (0.27%)

79. Shevchenko Alexander: 233.67 (0.27%)

80. Monfils Gael: 233.67 (0.27%)

81. Royer Valentin: 233.67 (0.27%)

82. Ofner Sebastian: 233.67 (0.27%)

83. Struff Jan-Lennard: 233.67 (0.27%)

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