Matteo Arnaldi vs Andrey Rublev predictions, Jan 17, 2026

Jan 15, 2026 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

ATP Australian Open, on Saturday,

Matteo Arnaldi

Andrey Rublev

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

As the ATP Australian Open approaches, the match between Matteo Arnaldi and Andrey Rublev promises to be an intriguing encounter. Scheduled for January 17, 2026, at Arnaldi’s home venue, this clash features two players in differing recent form.

Matteo Arnaldi has secured only 1 victory in his last 3 matches, indicating potential struggles in maintaining consistency on the court. His tactical approach often revolves around aggressive baseline play and effective serving, which will be crucial against a player of Rublev’s caliber. However, Arnaldi must elevate his performance to challenge the higher-ranked opponent effectively.

Conversely, Andrey Rublev enters this match on a solid streak, winning 4 of his last 5 matches. Renowned for his powerful groundstrokes and relentless aggression, Rublev’s ability to dictate play from the baseline could pose significant problems for Arnaldi. The current bookmakers’ odds reflect this dynamic, with Arnaldi at 3.96 and Rublev considerably favored at 1.23.

While the odds suggest a potential straight-sets victory for Rublev (predicted 0:3 scoreline), the home advantage for Arnaldi cannot be entirely discounted. As both players take to the court, it remains to be seen whether Arnaldi can capitalize on the crowd support to upend the favorites, making this matchup a must-watch for tennis fans.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-01-15T08:52:02+00:00.

Arnaldi
24.7%		 Rublev
75.3%

Prediction (the most likely score): 0:3

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Watch Watch and Bet Arnaldi – Rublev available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

1 X 2
betsson 4.1 1.24
MarathonBet 4.07 1.25 Watch Watch and Bet
Pinnacle 3.95 1.23
Best for US Customers 3.33 1.28

Latest Results

04.01.26 Matteo Arnaldi – Daniel Altmaier – Canceled
03.01.26 Matteo Arnaldi – Rinky Hijikata – Hijikata R. walkover
03.01.26 Matteo Arnaldi – Hugo Gaston – 2:1
25.10.25 Jacob Fearnley – Matteo Arnaldi – 2:0
23.10.25 Matteo Arnaldi – Alexander Zverev – 0:2		 10.01.26 Lorenzo Musetti – Andrey Rublev – 2:1
09.01.26 Andrey Rublev – Nuno Borges – 2:0
07.01.26 Andrey Rublev – Yibing Wu – 2:1
28.12.25 Flavio Cobolli – Andrey Rublev – 0:2
27.12.25 Valentin Vacherot – Andrey Rublev – 1:2

Facts

  • Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 61. Rublev is ranked ATP: 16.
  • Rublev is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
  • Rublev may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, Rublev is a strong favorite.
  • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Arnaldi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

    Latest Head To Head

    08.03.25 Andrey Rublev – Matteo Arnaldi – 0:2
    11.08.24 Andrey Rublev – Matteo Arnaldi – 2:0
    31.05.24 Andrey Rublev – Matteo Arnaldi – 0:3
    26.10.23 Matteo Arnaldi – Andrey Rublev – 0:2

    Standings

    Draw

    Singles – Qualification

    Quarter-finals

    1 Dodig M. (Alt) Hassan B. 1 : 2
    2 Faria J. Mikrut L. 2 : 0
    3 Reis Da Silva J. Rocha H. 0 : 2
    4 Sekulic P. (WC) Trungelliti M. (18) 1 : 2
    5 Burruchaga R. A. (2) Peniston R. 2 : 0
    6 Kolar Z. Gea A. 0 : 2
    7 Harris L. Cina F. 1 : 2
    8 Pacheco Mendez R. Vallejo D. (30) 0 : 2
    9 Basilashvili N. (3) Bueno G. 0 : 2
    10 Herbert P. Den Ouden G. 2 : 1
    11 Marinkov P. (WC) McCabe J. 0 : 2
    12 Watanuki Y. Budkov Kjaer N. (23) 1 : 2
    13 Barrios Vera T. (4) Gueymard Wayenburg S. 2 : 0
    14 Hewitt C. (WC) Zheng M. 0 : 2
    15 Crawford O. Merida Aguilar D. 1 : 2
    16 Piros Z. Klein L. (28) 0 : 2
    17 Holt B. (5) Neumayer L. 2 : 1
    18 Zeppieri G. Added D. 2 : 0
    19 Sakamoto R. Evans D. 2 : 0
    20 Pavlovic L. Smith C. (32) 0 : 2
    21 McDonald M. (6) Popko D. 2 : 1
    22 Galan D. E. (RET.) Grenier H. 0 : 1
    23 Sachko V. Durasovic V. (Alt) 2 : 0
    24 Bouzige M. (WC) Draxl L. (20) 0 : 2
    25 Blockx A. (7) Cecchinato M. 2 : 0
    26 Shimabukuro S. Molcan A. 1 : 2
    27 Kubler J. Mayot H. 2 : 0
    28 Moreno De Alboran N. Gaubas V. (17) 0 : 2
    29 Nishioka Y. (8) Fatic N. 2 : 0
    30 Engel J. Loffhagen G. 0 : 2
    31 Galarneau A. Basavareddy N. 0 : 2
    32 Holmgren A. Ofner S. (19) 0 : 2
    33 Moller E. (9) Polmans M. (WC) 2 : 0
    34 Bolt A. Ymer E. 0 : 2
    35 Llamas Ruiz P. Bernet H. (WC) 2 : 1
    36 Wong C. Blanchet U. (31) 2 : 0
    37 Tseng C. H. (10) Landaluce M. 0 : 2
    38 Ellis B. (WC) Travaglia S. 1 : 2
    39 Kym J. Prado Angelo J. C. 2 : 0
    40 Sweeny D. Pellegrino A. (26) 2 : 1
    41 Choinski J. (11) Riedi L. 0 : 2
    42 Coppejans K. Jasika O. (Alt) 2 : 0
    43 Ficovich J. P. Rodionov J. 0 : 2
    44 Habib H. Svajda Z. (29) 0 : 2
    45 Virtanen O. (12) Mejia N. 1 : 2
    46 Wu Y. Krueger M. 2 : 0
    47 Boyer T. Barrena A. 2 : 1
    48 Lajal M. Passaro F. (27) 0 : 2
    49 Lajovic D. (13) Diaz Acosta F. 2 : 1
    50 Cassone M. Hsu Y. H. 2 : 1
    51 Guillen Meza A. Seyboth Wild T. 0 : 2
    52 Giustino L. Maestrelli F. (24) 0 : 2
    53 Prizmic D. (14) Olivieri G. A. 2 : 0
    54 Heide G. Clarke J. 2 : 0
    55 Fery A. Winter E. (WC) 2 : 0
    56 Tomic B. Dellien H. (25) 2 : 0
    57 Harris B. (15) Rodesch C. 0 : 2
    58 Tu L. (WC) Jodar R. 0 : 2
    59 Glinka D. Tabur C. 2 : 1
    60 van Assche L. Echargui M. (22) 2 : 0
    61 Carballes Baena R. (16) Bouquier A. 2 : 0
    62 Pinnington Jones J. Bailly G. A. 0 : 2
    63 Damm M. Onclin G. 2 : 1
    64 Droguet T. Jarry N. (21) 2 : 0

    Semi-finals

    1 Hassan B. Faria J. 0 : 2
    2 Rocha H. Trungelliti M. (18) 1 : 2
    3 Burruchaga R. A. (2) Gea A. 0 : 2
    4 Cina F. Vallejo D. (30) 1 : 2
    5 Bueno G. Herbert P. 0 : 2
    6 McCabe J. Budkov Kjaer N. (23) 1 : 2
    7 Barrios Vera T. (4) Zheng M. 1 : 2
    8 Merida Aguilar D. Klein L. (28) 1 : 2
    9 Holt B. (5) Zeppieri G. 1 : 2
    10 Sakamoto R. Smith C. (32) 2 : 0
    11 McDonald M. (6) Grenier H. 2 : 0
    12 Sachko V. Draxl L. (20) 1 : 2
    13 Blockx A. (7) Molcan A. 2 : 0
    14 Kubler J. Gaubas V. (17) 2 : 0
    15 Nishioka Y. (RET.) (8) Loffhagen G. 0 : 1
    16 Basavareddy N. Ofner S. (19) 2 : 1
    17 Moller E. (9) Ymer E. 1 : 2
    18 Llamas Ruiz P. Wong C. 0 : 2
    19 Landaluce M. Travaglia S. 1 : 2
    20 Kym J. Sweeny D. 0 : 2
    21 Riedi L. Coppejans K. 1 : 2
    22 Rodionov J. Svajda Z. (29) 0 : 2
    23 Mejia N. Wu Y. 0 : 2
    24 Boyer T. Passaro F. (27) 2 : 1
    25 Lajovic D. (13) Cassone M. 2 : 0
    26 Seyboth Wild T. Maestrelli F. (24) 0 : 2
    27 Prizmic D. (14) Heide G. 2 : 0
    28 Fery A. Tomic B. 2 : 0
    29 Rodesch C. Jodar R. 0 : 2
    30 Glinka D. van Assche L. 0 : 2
    31 Carballes Baena R. (16) Bailly G. A. 1 : 2
    32 Damm M. Droguet T. 2 : 0

    Final

    1 Faria J. Trungelliti M. (18) 2 : 0
    2 Gea A. Vallejo D. (30) 2 : 0
    3 Herbert P. Budkov Kjaer N. (23) 0 : 2
    4 Zheng M. Klein L. (28) 2 : 1
    5 Zeppieri G. Sakamoto R. 0 : 2
    6 McDonald M. (6) Draxl L. (20) 1 : 2
    7 Blockx A. (RET.) (7) Kubler J. 1 : 1
    8 Loffhagen G. Basavareddy N. 1 : 2
    9 Ymer E. Wong C. 2 : 1
    10 Travaglia S. Sweeny D. 0 : 2
    11 Coppejans K. Svajda Z. (29) 0 : 2
    12 Wu Y. Boyer T. 2 : 0
    13 Lajovic D. (13) Maestrelli F. (24) 1 : 2
    14 Prizmic D. (14) Fery A. 0 : 2
    15 Jodar R. van Assche L. 2 : 1
    16 Bailly G. A. Damm M. 0 : 2

    ATP Australian Open Outrights

    1. Sinner Jannik: 1.9 (23.9%)

    2. Alcaraz Carlos: 2.49 (18.28%)

    3. Djokovic Novak: 11.67 (3.9%)

    4. Zverev Alexander: 15 (3.03%)

    5. Medvedev Daniil: 19.83 (2.29%)

    6. Fritz Taylor: 30.5 (1.49%)

    7. Fonseca Joao: 36 (1.26%)

    8. Shelton Ben: 42.33 (1.07%)

    9. De Minaur Alex: 44 (1.03%)

    10. Rune Holger: 45 (1.01%)

    11. Bublik Alexander: 53.33 (0.85%)

    12. Tsitsipas Stefanos: 61.33 (0.74%)

    13. Mpetshi Perricard Giovanni: 62 (0.73%)

    14. Auger-Aliassime Felix: 62 (0.73%)

    15. Mensik Jakub: 64.67 (0.7%)

    16. Rublev Andrey: 67 (0.68%)

    17. Korda Sebastian: 74.67 (0.61%)

    18. Hurkacz Hubert: 74.67 (0.61%)

    19. Kyrgios Nick: 80 (0.57%)

    20. Musetti Lorenzo: 87 (0.52%)

    21. Dimitrov Grigor: 90.33 (0.5%)

    22. Ruud Casper: 90.33 (0.5%)

    23. Paul Tommy: 90.33 (0.5%)

    24. Berrettini Matteo: 98.67 (0.46%)

    25. Ruusuvuori Emil: 100 (0.45%)

    26. Draxl Liam: 100 (0.45%)

    27. Moller Elmer: 100 (0.45%)

    28. Fery Arthur: 100 (0.45%)

    29. Ymer Elias: 100 (0.45%)

    30. Sakamoto Rei: 100 (0.45%)

    31. Maestrelli Francesco: 100 (0.45%)

    32. Kubler Jason: 100 (0.45%)

    33. Wu Yibing: 100 (0.45%)

    34. Damm Martin (2003): 100 (0.45%)

    35. Zheng Michael: 100 (0.45%)

    36. Jodar Rafael: 100 (0.45%)

    37. Svajda Zachary: 100 (0.45%)

    38. Sweeny Dane: 100 (0.45%)

    39. Michelsen Alex: 103.67 (0.44%)

    40. Tien Learner: 108.67 (0.42%)

    41. Sonego Lorenzo: 108.67 (0.42%)

    42. Khachanov Karen: 108.67 (0.42%)

    43. Humbert Ugo: 108.67 (0.42%)

    44. Tiafoe Frances: 108.67 (0.42%)

    45. Shapovalov Denis: 108.67 (0.42%)

    46. Lehecka Jiri: 108.67 (0.42%)

    47. Machac Tomas: 108.67 (0.42%)

    48. Cobolli Flavio: 108.67 (0.42%)

    49. Kokkinakis Thanasi: 110.2 (0.41%)

    50. Cerundolo Francisco: 117 (0.39%)

    51. Zhang Zhizhen: 117 (0.39%)

    52. Norrie Cameron: 117 (0.39%)

    53. Davidovich Fokina Alejandro: 117 (0.39%)

    54. Popyrin Alexei: 117 (0.39%)

    55. Moutet Corentin: 120.2 (0.38%)

    56. Shang Juncheng: 120.2 (0.38%)

    57. Seyboth Wild Thiago: 120.2 (0.38%)

    58. Borges Nuno: 120.2 (0.38%)

    59. Cazaux Arthur: 125.33 (0.36%)

    60. Thompson Jordan: 125.33 (0.36%)

    61. Rinderknech Arthur: 125.33 (0.36%)

    62. Diallo Gabriel: 133.67 (0.34%)

    63. Altmaier Daniel: 133.67 (0.34%)

    64. Monfils Gael: 133.67 (0.34%)

    65. Fearnley Jacob: 142 (0.32%)

    66. Royer Valentin: 142 (0.32%)

    67. Vacherot Valentin: 142 (0.32%)

    68. Munar Jaume: 142 (0.32%)

    69. Griekspoor Tallon: 142 (0.32%)

    70. Comesana Francisco: 150.33 (0.3%)

    71. Giron Marcos: 150.33 (0.3%)

    72. Bonzi Benjamin: 150.33 (0.3%)

    73. Etcheverry Tomas Martin: 150.33 (0.3%)

    74. Struff Jan-Lennard: 150.33 (0.3%)

    75. Arnaldi Matteo: 150.33 (0.3%)

    76. Bautista-Agut Roberto: 150.33 (0.3%)

    77. Van De Zandschulp Botic: 150.33 (0.3%)

    78. Kecmanovic Miomir: 150.33 (0.3%)

    79. Tabilo Alejandro: 150.33 (0.3%)

    80. Vukic Aleksandar: 150.33 (0.3%)

    81. Muller Alexandre: 150.33 (0.3%)

    82. Medjedovic Hamad: 150.33 (0.3%)

    83. Marozsan Fabian: 150.33 (0.3%)

    84. Brooksby Jenson: 153.67 (0.3%)

    85. Collignon Raphael: 153.67 (0.3%)

    86. Buse Ignacio: 166.83 (0.27%)

    87. Opelka Reilly: 175.33 (0.26%)

    88. Misolic Filip: 180.2 (0.25%)

    89. Budkov Kjaer Nicolai: 180.2 (0.25%)

    90. Gea Arthur: 180.2 (0.25%)

    91. Prizmic Dino: 180.2 (0.25%)

    92. Darderi Luciano: 183.67 (0.25%)

    93. Bergs Zizou: 183.67 (0.25%)

    94. Cerundolo Juan Manuel: 183.67 (0.25%)

    95. Djere Laslo: 183.67 (0.25%)

    96. Nardi Luca: 183.67 (0.25%)

    97. Halys Quentin: 183.67 (0.25%)

    98. Shevchenko Alexander: 183.67 (0.25%)

    99. Baez Sebastian: 183.67 (0.25%)

    100. Gaston Hugo: 183.67 (0.25%)

    101. Ugo Carabelli Camilo: 183.67 (0.25%)

    102. Navone Mariano: 183.67 (0.25%)

    103. Hijikata Rinky: 183.67 (0.25%)

    104. Dzumhur Damir: 183.67 (0.25%)

    105. Majchrzak Kamil: 183.67 (0.25%)

    106. Wawrinka Stan: 183.67 (0.25%)

    107. Cilic Marin: 200.33 (0.23%)

    108. Mannarino Adrian: 200.33 (0.23%)

    109. Spizzirri Eliot: 200.33 (0.23%)

    110. O’Connell Christopher: 200.33 (0.23%)

    111. Hanfmann Yannick: 200.33 (0.23%)

    112. Kovacevic Aleksandar: 233.67 (0.19%)

    113. De Jong Jesper: 233.67 (0.19%)

    114. Kopriva Vit: 233.67 (0.19%)

    115. Mochizuki Shintaro: 233.67 (0.19%)

    116. Bellucci Mattia: 233.67 (0.19%)

    117. Nava Emilio: 233.67 (0.19%)

    118. Taberner Carlos: 233.67 (0.19%)

    119. Svrcina Dalibor: 233.67 (0.19%)

    120. Duckworth James: 233.67 (0.19%)

    121. Jacquet Kyrian: 233.67 (0.19%)

    122. Carreno-Busta Pablo: 233.67 (0.19%)

    123. Atmane Terence: 233.67 (0.19%)

    124. Kypson Patrick: 233.67 (0.19%)

    125. Tirante Thiago Agustin: 233.67 (0.19%)

    126. Schoolkate Tristan: 233.67 (0.19%)

    127. Quinn Ethan: 233.67 (0.19%)

    128. Walton Adam: 233.67 (0.19%)

    129. Garin Cristian: 233.67 (0.19%)

    130. Nakashima Brandon: 267 (0.17%)

    131. Faria Jaime: 280.2 (0.16%)

    132. Basavareddy Nishesh: 280.2 (0.16%)

    133. Nishikori Kei: 283.67 (0.16%)

    134. Fucsovics Marton: 283.67 (0.16%)

    135. Martinez Pedro: 317 (0.14%)

    136. Bu Yunchaokete: 317 (0.14%)

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