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Melbourne Storm vs South Sydney Rabbitohs predictions, Apr 25, 2026

Yuriy Borshchenko

Australian NRL, on Saturday,

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As the Melbourne Storm prepare to host the South Sydney Rabbitohs on April 25, 2026, the matchup promises to be an intriguing contest in the Australian NRL. Melbourne’s recent form has been less than ideal, as they have struggled to secure a win in their last five outings. This slump may weigh heavily on their confidence as they face one of the league’s more consistent teams.

On the other hand, the South Sydney Rabbitohs enter this clash on a positive trajectory, having notched up three victories in their last five matches. Their form indicates a side that has regained its competitive edge, bolstered by effective attacking strategies and solid defence.

Tactically, Melbourne will need to address their shortcomings in both offensive execution and defensive organization to turn their fortunes around. Meanwhile, South Sydney’s momentum could strategically leverage their recent success against a reeling Storm side.

Bookmakers have installed the Storm as the favorites with odds of 1.58, reflecting the home advantage, while the Rabbitohs sit at 2.51. Our predictive model suggests a 62.7% probability of a home win, favoring Melbourne, yet an away victory by South Sydney at 34.7% highlights the potential for an upset. With both teams having distinct motivations, fans can expect a competitive encounter, albeit with no guarantees on the outcome.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-04-18T23:52:02+00:00.

Melbourne
58.9%		 Draw
4.2%		 South Sydney
37%

Prediction (the most likely score): 28:23

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
1.62 20 2.5
1.58 28 2.43
1.55 20.63 2.64

Latest Results

17.04.26 Canberra Raiders – Melbourne Storm – 26:22
11.04.26 Melbourne Storm – New Zealand Warriors – 14:38
03.04.26 Penrith Panthers – Melbourne Storm – 50:10
28.03.26 North Queensland Cowboys – Melbourne Storm – 28:24
20.03.26 Melbourne Storm – Brisbane Broncos – 14:18		 18.04.26 South Sydney Rabbitohs – St. George Illawarra Dragons – 30:12
11.04.26 South Sydney Rabbitohs – Canberra Raiders – 34:36
03.04.26 South Sydney Rabbitohs – Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs – 32:24
21.03.26 South Sydney Rabbitohs – Wests Tigers – 20:16
13.03.26 Sydney Roosters – South Sydney Rabbitohs – 26:18

Facts

  • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 4.
  • Melbourne is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
  • South Sydney‘s form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
  • South Sydney may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • Recently, South Sydney has had a series of home games.
  • Melbourne is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 17 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 510:318. (average 25.5:15.9).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 277:164. (average 27.7:16.4).

    Latest Head To Head

    21.06.25 South Sydney Rabbitohs – Melbourne Storm – 24:25 OT
    25.04.25 Melbourne Storm – South Sydney Rabbitohs – 24:16
    08.08.24 South Sydney Rabbitohs – Melbourne Storm – 16:28
    25.04.24 Melbourne Storm – South Sydney Rabbitohs – 54:20
    06.05.23 Melbourne Storm – South Sydney Rabbitohs – 12:28

    Standings

    Main

    Pl W L Pts
    1 Penrith Panthers 7 6 1 229:94 12
    2 New Zealand Warriors 7 5 2 222:138 10
    3 Wests Tigers 6 4 2 176:113 10
    4 South Sydney Rabbitohs 6 4 2 174:144 10
    5 Manly Sea Eagles 6 3 3 178:140 8
    6 Newcastle Knights 6 4 2 154:142 8
    7 Canterbury Bulldogs 5 3 2 101:96 8
    8 Brisbane Broncos 7 4 3 154:159 8
    9 NQ Cowboys 7 4 3 165:181 8
    10 Sydney Roosters 5 3 2 115:138 8
    11 Cronulla Sharks 6 3 3 158:152 6
    12 Dolphins 6 2 4 138:165 6
    13 Canberra Raiders 7 3 4 141:204 6
    14 Melbourne Storm 7 2 5 182:184 4
    15 Gold Coast Titans 7 2 5 146:176 4
    16 Parramatta Eels 6 2 4 124:226 4
    17 St. George Illawarra Dragons 7 0 7 98:203 0

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