Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar predictions, Feb 14, 2026

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As Melbourne Victory prepares to host Brisbane Roar on February 14, 2026, both teams come into this clash with contrasting recent performances. Melbourne Victory has secured victories in 2 of their last 5 matches, demonstrating a modest return to form. In contrast, Brisbane Roar has struggled lately, managing only 1 win in the same stretch, which may affect their confidence going into this contest.

The bookmakers have assigned Melbourne Victory as the clear favorites with odds of 1.73, reflecting their home advantage and recent improvements. Meanwhile, Brisbane’s odds stand at 4.3, highlighting the challenges they face, especially on the road.

Statistical probabilities indicate a 46.4% chance of a home victory for Melbourne, with a 22.3% chance of a draw and 24.4% for an away win by Brisbane. The predictive model suggests a likely final score of 2-1 in favor of Melbourne Victory, but the match remains open with potential for surprise given Brisbane’s need for a turnaround.

In conclusion, while Melbourne Victory appears to have the upper hand, Brisbane Roar could exploit any lapses to upset the odds. This match promises an intriguing tactical battle as both sides vie for crucial points in the A-League.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-02-07T13:52:02+00:00.

Melbourne Victory 56.6%

Draw 24.3%

Brisbane 19.1%

Prediction (the most likely score): 2:1

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Betting Odds

	1	X	2
	1.64	3.96	5.09
	1.65	3.95	4.7
	1.71	3.93	5.11
	1.67	3.6	4.6
	1.67	4	4.93
	1.6	3.75	5

Latest Results

06.02.26 Wellington Phoenix – Melbourne Victory – 2:3 01.02.26 Central Coast Mariners – Melbourne Victory – 1:0 26.01.26 Melbourne Victory – Sydney FC – 4:0 17.01.26 Adelaide United – Melbourne Victory – 2:1 10.01.26 Melbourne Victory – Western Sydney Wanderers – 0:1

07.02.26 Brisbane Roar – Central Coast Mariners – 1:2 31.01.26 Newcastle Jets – Brisbane Roar – 4:1 24.01.26 Brisbane Roar – Adelaide United – 2:3 16.01.26 Perth Glory – Brisbane Roar – 1:2 09.01.26 Brisbane Roar – Auckland FC – 0:2

Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 1.

In recent matches, Melbourne Victory has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Brisbane‘s performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Melbourne Victory may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Melbourne Victory is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:24. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne Victory won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1:1).

Latest Head To Head

28.11.25 Brisbane Roar – Melbourne Victory – 1:0 01.03.25 Brisbane Roar – Melbourne Victory – 1:1 09.11.24 Melbourne Victory – Brisbane Roar – 2:0 20.04.24 Melbourne Victory – Brisbane Roar – 0:0 03.03.24 Brisbane Roar – Melbourne Victory – 3:2

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Auckland FC	16	8	4	4	23:17	6	28
2	Newcastle Jets	15	9	0	6	34:26	8	27
3	Sydney FC	15	8	1	6	22:15	7	25
4	Macarthur FC	17	6	7	4	24:23	1	25
5	Melbourne Victory	16	7	2	7	23:21	2	23
6	Adelaide United	15	7	2	6	24:23	1	23
7	Melbourne City	17	5	7	5	19:21	-2	22
8	Brisbane Roar	17	6	3	8	17:22	-5	21
9	Perth Glory	16	6	2	8	20:22	-2	20
10	Central Coast Mariners	16	5	4	7	21:24	-3	19
11	Wellington Phoenix	16	5	4	7	26:31	-5	19
12	WS Wanderers	16	4	4	8	13:21	-8	16

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