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Minnesota Wild vs Tampa Bay Lightning predictions, Mar 03, 2026

Yuriy Borshchenko

NHL, on Tuesday,

Score, Highlights

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On March 3, 2026, the Minnesota Wild will face off against the Tampa Bay Lightning in a highly anticipated NHL matchup at the Xcel Energy Center in St. Paul, Minnesota. Both teams come into this encounter with solid recent performances, setting the stage for an exciting clash.

The Minnesota Wild have been in impressive form, winning four of their last five matches. They demonstrate a strong offensive presence, which has been critical in their recent successes. The Wild will look to leverage their home-ice advantage, where they typically play with intensity and strong crowd support.

Conversely, the Tampa Bay Lightning have also been showing resilience, winning three of their last five games. Known for their fast-paced play and skilled puck management, the Lightning have the capability to counter and capitalize on any defensive lapses from the Wild. Their experience and tactical versatility could play a crucial role in the outcome of this game.

Bookmakers currently favor the Lightning slightly with odds of 2.33 for an away win, compared to 2.64 for the Wild at home. Our model gives the Wild a 33.5% chance of winning, a draw at 24.4%, and the Lightning at 44.7%. With both teams in favorable form, this match promises to be closely contested. However, as with all sports events, there are no guaranteed outcomes.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-03-01T14:52:03+00:00.

Minnesota
36.4%		 Draw
22.5%		 Tampa Bay
41.1%

Prediction (the most likely score): 3:4

Outrights of NHL Tampa Bay Lightning: 16.61% Minnesota Wild: 4.49%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
2.67 4.32 2.36
2.6 4.2 2.3

Latest Results

27.02.26 Utah Mammoth – Minnesota Wild – 5:2
26.02.26 Colorado Avalanche – Minnesota Wild – 2:5
04.02.26 Nashville Predators – Minnesota Wild – 5:6 OT
02.02.26 Minnesota Wild – Montreal Canadiens – 4:3 OT
31.01.26 Edmonton Oilers – Minnesota Wild – 3:7		 28.02.26 Tampa Bay Lightning – Buffalo Sabres – 2:6
26.02.26 Carolina Hurricanes – Tampa Bay Lightning – 5:4
25.02.26 Tampa Bay Lightning – Toronto Maple Leafs – 4:2
05.02.26 Tampa Bay Lightning – Florida Panthers – 6:1
03.02.26 Tampa Bay Lightning – Buffalo Sabres – 4:3 OT

Facts

  • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 2.
  • Minnesota is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
  • Tampa Bay‘s form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
  • Tampa Bay may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • Recently, Minnesota has had a series of away games.
  • Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.
  • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 63:55. (average 3.2:2.8).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 38:21. (average 3.8:2.1).

    Latest Head To Head

    01.11.24 Minnesota Wild – Tampa Bay Lightning – 5:3
    24.10.24 Tampa Bay Lightning – Minnesota Wild – 2:4
    18.01.24 Tampa Bay Lightning – Minnesota Wild – 7:3
    04.01.24 Minnesota Wild – Tampa Bay Lightning – 1:4
    24.01.23 Tampa Bay Lightning – Minnesota Wild – 4:2

    Standings

    Main

    Western Conference

    Pl W WO LO L Pts
    1 Colorado Avalanche 58 36 3 9 10 221:146 87
    2 Dallas Stars 59 29 7 9 14 200:163 81
    3 Minnesota Wild 60 22 13 10 15 203:176 80
    4 Vegas Golden Knights 59 21 7 14 17 199:186 70
    5 Anaheim Ducks 58 19 13 3 23 196:204 67
    6 Utah Mammoth 59 24 7 4 24 190:163 66
    7 Edmonton Oilers 61 22 7 8 24 215:206 66
    8 Seattle Kraken 59 22 6 9 22 169:175 65
    9 Nashville Predators 59 20 7 8 24 175:203 62
    10 Los Angeles Kings 59 15 9 14 21 153:175 62
    11 San Jose Sharks 57 17 11 4 25 177:201 60
    12 Winnipeg Jets 58 20 3 9 26 167:182 55
    13 Calgary Flames 58 20 4 6 28 146:172 54
    14 Chicago Blackhawks 59 17 5 9 28 157:192 53
    15 St. Louis Blues 59 20 1 9 29 153:207 51
    16 Vancouver Canucks 59 12 6 7 34 152:218 43

    Eastern Conference

    Pl W WO LO L Pts
    1 Carolina Hurricanes 59 28 10 6 15 207:169 82
    2 Tampa Bay Lightning 58 29 9 4 16 209:153 80
    3 Buffalo Sabres 60 29 6 6 19 206:181 76
    4 Montreal Canadiens 59 22 11 9 17 208:193 75
    5 Detroit Red Wings 60 23 11 6 20 178:181 74
    6 Pittsburgh Penguins 58 26 4 13 15 198:173 73
    7 New York Islanders 60 22 12 5 21 177:168 73
    8 Boston Bruins 59 25 8 5 21 200:187 71
    9 Washington Capitals 62 26 5 7 24 197:186 69
    10 Columbus Blue Jackets 58 20 9 8 21 184:185 66
    11 Ottawa Senators 59 23 6 8 22 197:188 66
    12 Philadelphia Flyers 59 19 8 11 21 174:186 65
    13 Florida Panthers 59 24 6 3 26 181:195 63
    14 Toronto Maple Leafs 60 19 8 9 24 193:208 63
    15 New Jersey Devils 60 19 10 2 29 151:182 60
    16 New York Rangers 59 14 9 7 29 156:185 53

    NHL Outrights

    1. Colorado Avalanche: 4 (20.77%)

    2. Tampa Bay Lightning: 5 (16.61%)

    3. Carolina Hurricanes: 6.5 (12.78%)

    4. Vegas Golden Knights: 9.75 (8.52%)

    5. Edmonton Oilers: 12 (6.92%)

    6. Dallas Stars: 16.5 (5.03%)

    7. Minnesota Wild: 18.5 (4.49%)

    8. Florida Panthers: 26 (3.2%)

    9. Montreal Canadiens: 32.5 (2.56%)

    10. Buffalo Sabres: 35 (2.37%)

    11. Utah Mammoth: 37.5 (2.22%)

    12. Los Angeles Kings: 46 (1.81%)

    13. Detroit Red Wings: 51 (1.63%)

    14. Washington Capitals: 56 (1.48%)

    15. Pittsburgh Penguins: 58.5 (1.42%)

    16. New York Islanders: 61 (1.36%)

    17. Ottawa Senators: 71 (1.17%)

    18. Anaheim Ducks: 71.5 (1.16%)

    19. Columbus Blue Jackets: 88.5 (0.94%)

    20. Toronto Maple Leafs: 101 (0.82%)

    21. Boston Bruins: 151 (0.55%)

    22. Nashville Predators: 201 (0.41%)

    23. Winnipeg Jets: 251 (0.33%)

    24. Philadelphia Flyers: 276 (0.3%)

    25. San Jose Sharks: 301 (0.28%)

    26. Seattle Kraken: 301 (0.28%)

    27. New Jersey Devils: 401 (0.21%)

    28. Calgary Flames: 1001 (0.08%)

    29. St. Louis Blues: 1001 (0.08%)

    30. Chicago Blackhawks: 1001 (0.08%)

    31. New York Rangers: 1001 (0.08%)

    32. Vancouver Canucks: 1751 (0.05%)

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