Montreal Canadiens vs Tampa Bay Lightning predictions, Jan 21, 2025

Jan 21, 2025 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

NHL, on Tuesday,

Montreal Canadiens

Tampa Bay Lightning

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

### NHL Match Preview: Montreal Canadiens vs. Tampa Bay Lightning

**Date:** January 21, 2025
**Location:** Bell Centre, Montreal, Quebec

As the puck drops in this exciting NHL matchup, the Montreal Canadiens will host the Tampa Bay Lightning in what promises to be a thrilling encounter. Both teams come into this game with positive momentum, having both won 3 of their last 5 matches.

#### Recent Form
– **Montreal Canadiens:** The Canadiens have shown signs of improvement in their recent performances, securing victories in 3 out of their last 5 games. This upsurge suggests they may be finding their rhythm and building team confidence. Their home advantage will be crucial as they look to capitalize on playing in front of their passionate fans at the Bell Centre.

– **Tampa Bay Lightning:** The Lightning also arrive with a solid recent performance record, having won 3 of their last 5. Known for their offensive firepower and experienced roster, they will aim to leverage their skilled players to outmatch the Canadiens.

#### Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between the Canadiens and the Lightning have been intensely competitive, often showcasing high-energy hockey and skillful play. Fans can anticipate a fierce contest as both teams vie for crucial points in the standings.

#### Bookmakers Odds
The bookmakers have set the odds at 2.6 for a Montreal victory and 2.1 for a Tampa Bay win, reflecting a tight matchup where both teams have a realistic chance of success.

#### Probability Estimation (ML)
According to our machine learning estimation, the probabilities of outcomes are as follows:
– **Montreal Canadiens (1):** 37.1%
– **Draw (X):** 21.3% (Note: In NHL, draws are rare; this may reflect a need for overtime considerations)
– **Tampa Bay Lightning (2):** 39.5%

This suggests that Tampa Bay is slightly favored to win, followed closely by the Canadiens, indicating a closely contested matchup.

#### Key Players to Watch
– **Montreal Canadiens:** Look out for their star players who could be instrumental in leading the charge on home ice, particularly those with recent scoring touches.

– **Tampa Bay Lightning:** The Lightning’s offensive and defensive units will be key in dictating the pace of the game. Expect their top forwards to make impactful plays throughout the match.

### Conclusion
With both teams riding a wave of confidence and talent on display, this game is set to be an entertaining spectacle. Expect dynamic plays, strategic depth, and a passionate atmosphere as the Montreal Canadiens and Tampa Bay Lightning battle for supremacy. Fans on both sides will be eager to see what unfolds as the puck drops in this crucial NHL matchup.

Montreal 32.3% Draw 23.3% Tampa Bay 44.4%

Outrights of NHL Tampa Bay Lightning: 4.7% Montreal Canadiens: 0.79%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
Best for US Customers 2.95 4.1 2.15

Watch this match and NHL with fuboTV (for US customers). Network: FanDuel Sports Network Sun

Latest Results

19.01.25 Montreal Canadiens – New York Rangers – 5:4 OT
18.01.25 Montreal Canadiens – Toronto Maple Leafs – 3:7
16.01.25 Dallas Stars – Montreal Canadiens – 1:3
14.01.25 Utah Hockey Club – Montreal Canadiens – 3:5
11.01.25 Montreal Canadiens – Dallas Stars – 1:2 penalties		 18.01.25 Tampa Bay Lightning – Detroit Red Wings – 5:1
16.01.25 Tampa Bay Lightning – Anaheim Ducks – 4:3 penalties
14.01.25 Boston Bruins – Tampa Bay Lightning – 6:2
12.01.25 Pittsburgh Penguins – Tampa Bay Lightning – 2:5
11.01.25 New Jersey Devils – Tampa Bay Lightning – 3:2 OT

Facts

  • During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
  • Last 5 head-to-head matches Montreal won 1.
  • Both teams are now playing unstable.
  • Montreal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent – last days they played more matches than their opponents.
  • Tampa Bay will have a poor advantage in this game.
  • Last 20 head-to-head matches Montreal won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 16 matches and goals 50:78 (average 2.5:3.9).
  • Including matches at home between the teams Montreal won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 20:32 (average 2.5:4).

    Latest Head To Head

    29.12.24 Tampa Bay Lightning – Montreal Canadiens – 2:5
    04.04.24 Montreal Canadiens – Tampa Bay Lightning – 4:7
    02.03.24 Tampa Bay Lightning – Montreal Canadiens – 4:3 penalties
    31.12.23 Tampa Bay Lightning – Montreal Canadiens – 4:3
    07.11.23 Montreal Canadiens – Tampa Bay Lightning – 3:5

    Standings

    Main

    Western Conference

    Pl W WO LO L Pts
    1 Winnipeg Jets 47 27 4 3 13 165:113 65
    2 Edmonton Oilers 46 22 7 3 14 151:126 61
    3 Vegas Golden Knights 46 26 3 3 14 156:127 61
    4 Minnesota Wild 47 22 6 4 15 140:134 60
    5 Dallas Stars 46 24 5 1 16 148:115 59
    6 Colorado Avalanche 48 23 5 1 19 160:150 57
    7 Los Angeles Kings 43 23 2 5 13 128:105 55
    8 Calgary Flames 45 16 6 7 16 120:132 51
    9 Vancouver Canucks 45 16 4 10 15 129:143 50
    10 St. Louis Blues 47 16 6 4 21 133:139 48
    11 Utah 45 14 5 7 19 127:137 45
    12 Seattle Kraken 48 17 4 3 24 143:154 45
    13 Anaheim Ducks 46 12 6 6 22 111:145 42
    14 Nashville Predators 45 13 3 7 22 115:139 39
    15 San Jose Sharks 49 10 4 6 29 125:175 34
    16 Chicago Blackhawks 46 13 2 3 28 120:158 33

    Eastern Conference

    Pl W WO LO L Pts
    1 Washington Capitals 46 26 5 5 10 164:114 67
    2 Toronto Maple Leafs 47 24 5 2 16 147:134 60
    3 New Jersey Devils 49 24 2 6 17 148:125 58
    4 Carolina Hurricanes 46 24 3 3 16 152:129 57
    5 Florida Panthers 47 21 6 3 17 153:142 57
    6 Tampa Bay Lightning 44 21 4 3 16 162:123 53
    7 Ottawa Senators 46 18 6 4 18 132:127 52
    8 Boston Bruins 48 16 7 6 19 133:153 52
    9 Columbus Blue Jackets 46 17 5 7 17 156:155 51
    10 Montreal Canadiens 46 16 7 4 19 142:155 50
    11 New York Rangers 46 20 2 4 20 134:142 48
    12 Philadelphia Flyers 47 13 8 6 20 146:161 48
    13 Detroit Red Wings 46 17 4 4 21 131:150 46
    14 Pittsburgh Penguins 48 13 6 8 21 143:179 46
    15 New York Islanders 45 14 4 7 20 121:137 43
    16 Buffalo Sabres 46 13 4 5 24 142:159 39

    NHL Outrights

    1. Edmonton Oilers: 7.15 (11.48%)

    2. Florida Panthers: 10.03 (8.19%)

    3. Carolina Hurricanes: 10.27 (7.99%)

    4. New Jersey Devils: 10.84 (7.57%)

    5. Dallas Stars: 11.41 (7.19%)

    6. Toronto Maple Leafs: 11.41 (7.19%)

    7. Colorado Avalanche: 12.76 (6.43%)

    8. Vegas Golden Knights: 14.27 (5.75%)

    9. Winnipeg Jets: 17.34 (4.73%)

    10. Tampa Bay Lightning: 17.45 (4.7%)

    11. Washington Capitals: 19.78 (4.15%)

    12. Minnesota Wild: 21.83 (3.76%)

    13. Los Angeles Kings: 23.11 (3.55%)

    14. Vancouver Canucks: 30.84 (2.66%)

    15. Boston Bruins: 37.57 (2.18%)

    16. New York Rangers: 42.6 (1.93%)

    17. Ottawa Senators: 42.66 (1.92%)

    18. Calgary Flames: 84.65 (0.97%)

    19. Nashville Predators: 99.62 (0.82%)

    20. Utah: 101.16 (0.81%)

    21. New York Islanders: 102.1 (0.8%)

    22. Montreal Canadiens: 104.39 (0.79%)

    23. St. Louis Blues: 113.21 (0.72%)

    24. Detroit Red Wings: 126.31 (0.65%)

    25. Pittsburgh Penguins: 138.19 (0.59%)

    26. Columbus Blue Jackets: 141.55 (0.58%)

    27. Seattle Kraken: 168.28 (0.49%)

    28. Philadelphia Flyers: 168.57 (0.49%)

    29. Buffalo Sabres: 270.77 (0.3%)

    30. Anaheim Ducks: 319.97 (0.26%)

    31. Chicago Blackhawks: 415.17 (0.2%)

    32. San Jose Sharks: 622.06 (0.13%)

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