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Montreal Canadiens vs Tampa Bay Lightning predictions, May 01, 2026

Yuriy Borshchenko

NHL, on Friday,

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

As the Montreal Canadiens prepare to host the Tampa Bay Lightning on May 1, 2026, this matchup promises to be an intriguing contest between two teams with distinct recent performances. The Canadiens have found some momentum, winning three of their last five games, showcasing a resilient play style that has allowed them to capitalize on their scoring opportunities. Their home advantage at the Bell Centre could be a significant factor as they look to build on this positive streak.

In contrast, the Lightning have struggled slightly, managing only two victories in their last five outings. Despite their recent inconsistency, Tampa Bay remains a formidable opponent known for their dynamic attacking capabilities and solid defensive structures. Their ability to adapt tactically in high-pressure situations often plays a decisive role in close matches.

Current bookmaker odds reflect a tight contest, with Montreal at 2.54 and Tampa Bay at 2.39, highlighting the competitive nature of this fixture. Model predictions suggest a 36.2% chance of a Canadiens win, compared to 40.4% for the Lightning, with a probable final score leaning toward a 3-2 outcome in favor of the guests. Ultimately, this game could go either way, making it a captivating encounter for fans and bettors alike.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-04-30T01:52:02+00:00.

Montreal
37.4%		 Draw
23.5%		 Tampa Bay
39.1%

Prediction (the most likely score): 2:3

Outrights of NHL Tampa Bay Lightning: 8.26% Montreal Canadiens: 6.35%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
2.5 3.75 2.4
2.51 4.02 2.44
2.54 4.36 2.46
2.4 3.9 2.3

Latest Results

29.04.26 Tampa Bay Lightning – Montreal Canadiens – 2:3
26.04.26 Montreal Canadiens – Tampa Bay Lightning – 2:3
24.04.26 Montreal Canadiens – Tampa Bay Lightning – 3:2 OT
21.04.26 Tampa Bay Lightning – Montreal Canadiens – 3:2 OT
19.04.26 Tampa Bay Lightning – Montreal Canadiens – 3:4 OT		 29.04.26 Tampa Bay Lightning – Montreal Canadiens – 2:3
26.04.26 Montreal Canadiens – Tampa Bay Lightning – 2:3
24.04.26 Montreal Canadiens – Tampa Bay Lightning – 3:2 OT
21.04.26 Tampa Bay Lightning – Montreal Canadiens – 3:2 OT
19.04.26 Tampa Bay Lightning – Montreal Canadiens – 3:4 OT

Facts

  • Montreal Canadiens leads series 3-2. Fifth leg.
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 3.
  • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
  • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
  • We predict that Montreal will win today’s game, with odds of 2.51.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 57:71. (average 2.9:3.6).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:38. (average 2.5:3.8).

    Latest Head To Head

    29.04.26 Tampa Bay Lightning – Montreal Canadiens – 2:3
    26.04.26 Montreal Canadiens – Tampa Bay Lightning – 2:3
    24.04.26 Montreal Canadiens – Tampa Bay Lightning – 3:2 OT
    21.04.26 Tampa Bay Lightning – Montreal Canadiens – 3:2 OT
    19.04.26 Tampa Bay Lightning – Montreal Canadiens – 3:4 OT

    Standings

    Draw

    Play Offs

    1/8-finals

    1 Colorado Avalanche (1) Los Angeles Kings (8) 4 : 0
    2 Dallas Stars (2) Minnesota Wild (3) 2 : 3
    3 Vegas Golden Knights (4) Utah Mammoth (6) 2 : 2
    4 Edmonton Oilers (5) Anaheim Ducks (7) 2 : 3
    5 Carolina Hurricanes (1) Ottawa Senators (6) 4 : 0
    6 Pittsburgh Penguins (7) Philadelphia Flyers (8) 2 : 4
    7 Buffalo Sabres (2) Boston Bruins (5) 3 : 2
    8 Tampa Bay Lightning (3) Montreal Canadiens (4) 2 : 3

    Quarter-finals

    1 Colorado Avalanche (1) TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4
    3 Carolina Hurricanes (1) Philadelphia Flyers (8)
    4 TBD #7 TBD #8

    Semi-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4

    Final

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2

    NHL Outrights

    1. Colorado Avalanche: 3.25 (25.41%)

    2. Carolina Hurricanes: 3.75 (22.02%)

    3. Tampa Bay Lightning: 10 (8.26%)

    4. Vegas Golden Knights: 11 (7.51%)

    5. Buffalo Sabres: 13 (6.35%)

    6. Minnesota Wild: 13 (6.35%)

    7. Montreal Canadiens: 13 (6.35%)

    8. Edmonton Oilers: 26 (3.18%)

    9. Dallas Stars: 26 (3.18%)

    10. Philadelphia Flyers: 26 (3.18%)

    11. Anaheim Ducks: 26 (3.18%)

    12. Utah Mammoth: 31 (2.66%)

    13. Pittsburgh Penguins: 61 (1.35%)

    14. Boston Bruins: 81 (1.02%)

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