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Nacional vs Casa Pia predictions, Feb 08, 2026

Liga Portugal, on Sunday,

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In an upcoming Liga Portugal matchup on February 8, 2026, Atletico Nacional will face off against Casa Pia at home in what promises to be an intriguing encounter. Both teams come into this game with a relatively similar recent form, each having secured just one victory in their last five matches. Atletico Nacional will be looking to capitalize on their home advantage to secure a much-needed win and improve their standing in the league.

In terms of bookmakers’ odds, Atletico Nacional are slight favorites with odds of 2.47 for a home win, while Casa Pia are not far behind with odds of 2.81 for an away victory. Our model prediction gives Atletico Nacional a 37.9% chance of claiming all three points, while Casa Pia have a 34.1% chance of pulling off an upset and securing a win on the road.

Tactically, both teams will need to be at their best to come out on top in this matchup. With the odds and recent form so evenly balanced, this game could truly go either way, making it a must-watch for fans of both clubs.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-02-02T12:52:02+00:00.

Nacional
38.3%
Draw
29.1%
Casa Pia
32.5%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

Outrights of Liga Portugal Nacional: 0.09% Casa Pia: 0.09%

Watch and Bet Nacional – Casa Pia available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

1 X 2
2.42 3.15 2.92
2.56 3.29 2.98 Watch and Bet
2.47 3.28 2.87
2.37 3.2 2.8

Latest Results

01.02.26 Sporting Lisbon – Atletico Nacional – 2:1
25.01.26 Atletico Nacional – Rio Ave FC – 4:0
17.01.26 Gil Vicente – Atletico Nacional – 2:1
11.01.26 Atletico Nacional – CD Santa Clara – 3:3
02.01.26 Vitoria Guimarães – Atletico Nacional – 2:1
23.01.26 Casa Pia – AVS Futebol SAD – 3:3
16.01.26 Sporting Lisbon – Casa Pia – 3:0
04.01.26 Rio Ave FC – Casa Pia – 3:1
28.12.25 Casa Pia – Vitoria Guimarães – 0:0
21.12.25 CD Tondela – Casa Pia – 1:2

Facts

  • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation)).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 3.
  • Nacional has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • Casa Pia‘s form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
  • Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.7:1.1).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

    Latest Head To Head

    30.08.25 Casa Pia – Atletico Nacional – 0:2
    16.03.25 Atletico Nacional – Casa Pia – 3:1
    25.10.24 Casa Pia – Atletico Nacional – 1:0
    25.11.23 Atletico Nacional – Casa Pia – 1:0 penalties
    28.09.23 Casa Pia – Atletico Nacional – 2:1

    Standings

    2025/26

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 FC Porto 19 18 1 0 40:4 36 55
    2 Sporting CP 20 16 3 1 54:11 43 51
    3 Benfica 20 13 7 0 42:11 31 46
    4 Gil Vicente 20 9 7 4 29:16 13 34
    5 Braga 19 9 6 4 37:18 19 33
    6 Moreirense 20 9 3 8 26:27 -1 30
    7 Estoril 20 8 5 7 41:33 8 29
    8 Famalicao 20 8 5 7 24:19 5 29
    9 Vitoria Guimaraes 20 8 4 8 21:27 -6 28
    10 Alverca 20 7 3 10 20:34 -14 24
    11 Nacional 20 5 5 10 27:30 -3 20
    12 Estrela 20 4 8 8 24:37 -13 20
    13 Rio Ave 20 4 8 8 22:38 -16 20
    14 Arouca 20 5 5 10 23:44 -21 20
    15 Santa Clara 20 4 5 11 16:25 -9 17
    16 Casa Pia 19 3 6 10 20:38 -18 15
    17 Tondela 20 3 4 13 12:33 -21 13
    18 AFS 19 0 5 14 14:47 -33 5

    Liga Portugal Outrights

    1. FC Porto: 1.13 (77.84%)

    2. Sporting CP: 6.08 (14.47%)

    3. Benfica: 23.6 (3.73%)

    4. AFS: 100 (0.88%)

    5. Tondela: 100 (0.88%)

    6. Aves: 100 (0.88%)

    7. Braga: 480.2 (0.18%)

    8. Gil Vicente: 580.2 (0.15%)

    9. Estoril: 980.2 (0.09%)

    10. Santa Clara: 980.2 (0.09%)

    11. Estrela da Amadora: 980.2 (0.09%)

    12. Rio Ave: 980.2 (0.09%)

    13. Moreirense: 980.2 (0.09%)

    14. Arouca: 980.2 (0.09%)

    15. Nacional: 980.2 (0.09%)

    16. Vitoria Guimaraes: 980.2 (0.09%)

    17. Casa Pia: 980.2 (0.09%)

    18. Famalicao: 980.2 (0.09%)

    19. Alverca: 980.2 (0.09%)

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