Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens predictions, Sep 04, 2026

Sep 03, 2026 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

WTA US Open, USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY) on Friday,

Osaka

Mertens

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

As Naomi Osaka prepares to face Elise Mertens in their upcoming WTA US Open clash on September 4, 2026, fans can anticipate a highly competitive match between two players in strong form. Osaka, playing on home soil, enters the arena with a recent record of four wins in her last five matches, showcasing her formidable baseline power and excellent serve. Her aggressive playing style is complemented by her ability to dominate rallies, which could place significant pressure on Mertens.

On the other hand, Mertens comes into this matchup with an identical record, winning four of her last five encounters. Known for her strategic court coverage and exceptional defensive skills, Mertens often excels in grinding out points and dictating play from the baseline. This tactical approach could prove crucial in neutralizing Osaka’s offensive game.

Bookmakers have set the odds at 1.3 for a home win and 3.5 for the away victory, reflecting the perceived advantage of Osaka in this matchup. The model prediction suggests a 70.4% probability of an Osaka victory, with a predicted final score of 2:0. Despite the statistical backing, the outcome remains uncertain, and fans should expect an intriguing battle as both players vie for a spot in the next round.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-09-03T16:52:02+00:00.

Osaka
72.4%		 Mertens
27.6%

Prediction (the most likely score): 2:0

00:00 / 90:00 GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+

Watch Watch and Bet Osaka – Mertens available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

1 X 2
betsson 1.29 3.43
MarathonBet 1.33 3.47 Watch Watch and Bet
WilliamHill 1.29 3.30
Pinnacle 1.3 3.51
Best for US Customers 1.29 3.30

Latest Results

03.09.26 Naomi Osaka – Katerina Siniakova – 2:1
31.08.26 Naomi Osaka – Anastasia Zakharova – 2:0
11.08.26 Naomi Osaka – Elena Rybakina – 1:2
09.08.26 Leylah Annie Fernandez – Naomi Osaka – 0:2
07.08.26 Elise Mertens – Naomi Osaka – 0:2		 03.09.26 Maria Timofeeva – Elise Mertens – 0:2
01.09.26 Kaitlin Quevedo – Elise Mertens – 0:2
29.08.26 Diane Parry – Elise Mertens – 2:1
28.08.26 Nikola Bartunkova – Elise Mertens – 1:2
27.08.26 Yulia Starodubtseva – Elise Mertens – 0:2

Facts

  • Osaka is ranked WTA: 13. Mertens is ranked WTA: 20.
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osaka won 3.
  • Currently, both players are in excellent shape.
  • Osaka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • In this match, Osaka is seen as the favorite.
  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Osaka won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 1.3:0.6).

    Latest Head To Head

    07.08.26 Elise Mertens – Naomi Osaka – 0:2
    23.06.26 Naomi Osaka – Elise Mertens – 2:0
    08.08.24 Naomi Osaka – Elise Mertens – 0:2
    11.06.24 Elise Mertens – Naomi Osaka – 0:2
    11.03.24 Naomi Osaka – Elise Mertens – 0:2

    Standings

    Draw

    Singles – Main

    1/64-finals

    1 Sabalenka A. (1) Osorio C. 2 : 0
    2 Zarazua R. Iatcenko P. (Q) 1 : 2
    3 Ito A. Selekhmeteva O. 0 : 2
    4 Rakhimova K. Krejcikova B. (27) 2 : 0
    5 Chwalinska M. (20) Townsend T. 0 : 2
    6 Preston T. (WC) Parks A. 2 : 0
    7 Vandewinkel H. Pliskova Ka. 1 : 2
    8 Snigur D. Shnaider D. (15) 0 : 2
    9 Kostyuk M. (11) Hunter S. (Q) 2 : 0
    10 Stephens S. (WC) Tauson C. 2 : 0
    11 Birrell K. Marcinko P. 2 : 1
    12 Kessler M. Alexandrova E. (18) 0 : 2
    13 Li A. (29) Ruzic A. 2 : 0
    14 Gibson T. Vekic D. 1 : 2
    15 Kalieva E. (Q) Tararudee L. 1 : 2
    16 Volynets K. Noskova L. (6) 0 : 2
    17 Pegula J. (3) Ruse G. 2 : 0
    18 Williams V. (WC) Kenin S. (WC) 0 : 2
    19 Sawangkaew M. Udvardy P. 2 : 0
    20 Zhang S. Fernandez L. (31) 0 : 2
    21 Paolini J. (19) Erjavec V. 2 : 1
    22 Stefanini L. (Q) Yastremska D. 2 : 1
    23 Golubic V. Parry D. 0 : 2
    24 Grabher J. Cirstea S. (16) 0 : 2
    25 Svitolina E. (9) Sierra S. 2 : 0
    26 Joint M. Samsonova L. 2 : 1
    27 Arango E. Wang Xin. 0 : 2
    28 Blinkova A. Kalinskaya A. (21) 0 : 2
    29 Navarro E. (26) Boisson L. 2 : 1
    30 Koevermans A. (Q) McNally C. 0 : 2
    31 Lee C. Y. (WC) Boulter K. 1 : 2
    32 Kraus S. Muchova K. (7) 0 : 2
    33 Andreeva M. (5) Tjen J. 2 : 0
    34 Knutson G. (Q) Lys E. 0 : 2
    35 Bartunkova N. Sherif M. 2 : 0
    36 Maria T. Ostapenko J. (30) 2 : 1
    37 Potapova A. (24) Semenistaja D. (LL) 2 : 0
    38 Rus A. (Q) Jeanjean L. (WC) 0 : 2
    39 Tagger L. Korpatsch T. 2 : 0
    40 Krueger A. Anisimova A. (10) 0 : 2
    41 Jovic I. (14) Frech M. 2 : 0
    42 Linette M. Jones F. (Q) 1 : 2
    43 Oliynykova O. Brantmeier R. (WC) 2 : 0
    44 Stoiana M. (Q) Eala A. (17) 0 : 2
    45 Bejlek S. (28) Bucsa C. 1 : 2
    46 Kalinina A. Sakatsume H. (Q) 0 : 2
    47 Kasatkina D. Badosa P. 0 : 2
    48 Sonmez Z. Gauff C. (4) 0 : 2
    49 Swiatek I. (8) Wang Xiy. 2 : 0
    50 Podoroska N. Waltert S. 2 : 1
    51 Dart H. (Q) Stearns P. 2 : 1
    52 Jacquemot E. Bouzkova M. (25) 0 : 2
    53 Keys M. (22) Korneeva A. 2 : 0
    54 Havlickova L. (Q) Bondar A. 0 : 2
    55 Zheng Q. (Q) Liutova K. (Q) 2 : 1
    56 Putintseva Y. Bencic B. (12) 2 : 1
    57 Osaka N. (13) Zakharova A. 2 : 0
    58 Cocciaretto E. Siniakova K. 0 : 2
    59 Zidansek T. (Q) Timofeeva M. 0 : 2
    60 Quevedo K. Mertens E. (23) 0 : 2
    61 Sakkari M. (32) Montgomery R. (Q) 2 : 1
    62 Starodubtseva Y. Seidel E. 2 : 0
    63 Vidmanova D. Bouzas Maneiro J. 0 : 2
    64 Frodin T. (WC) Rybakina E. (2) 0 : 2

    1/32-finals

    1 Sabalenka A. (1) Iatcenko P. 2 : 0
    2 Selekhmeteva O. Rakhimova K. 0 : 2
    3 Townsend T. Preston T. 2 : 0
    4 Pliskova Ka. Shnaider D. (15) 0 : 2
    5 Kostyuk M. (11) Stephens S. 2 : 0
    6 Birrell K. Alexandrova E. (18) 1 : 2
    7 Li A. (29) Vekic D. 2 : 1
    8 Tararudee L. Noskova L. (6) 0 : 2
    9 Pegula J. (3) Kenin S. 2 : 0
    10 Sawangkaew M. Fernandez L. (31) 0 : 2
    11 Paolini J. (19) Stefanini L. 2 : 0
    12 Parry D. Cirstea S. (16) 0 : 2
    13 Svitolina E. (9) Joint M. 2 : 1
    14 Wang Xin. Kalinskaya A. (21) 1 : 2
    15 Navarro E. (26) McNally C. 2 : 1
    16 Boulter K. Muchova K. (7) 0 : 2
    17 Andreeva M. (5) Lys E.
    18 Bartunkova N. Maria T. 2 : 1
    19 Potapova A. (24) Jeanjean L. 2 : 1
    20 Tagger L. Anisimova A. (10) 1 : 2
    21 Jovic I. (14) Jones F.
    22 Oliynykova O. Eala A. (17) 0 : 2
    23 Bucsa C. Sakatsume H.
    24 Badosa P. Gauff C. (4)
    25 Swiatek I. (8) Podoroska N. 2 : 0
    26 Dart H. Bouzkova M. (25) 0 : 2
    27 Keys M. (22) Bondar A. 2 : 1
    28 Zheng Q. Putintseva Y.
    29 Osaka N. (13) Siniakova K. 2 : 1
    30 Timofeeva M. Mertens E. (23) 0 : 2
    31 Sakkari M. (32) Starodubtseva Y.
    32 Bouzas Maneiro J. Rybakina E. (2)

    1/16-finals

    1 Sabalenka A. (1) Rakhimova K.
    2 Townsend T. Shnaider D. (15)
    3 Kostyuk M. (11) Alexandrova E. (18)
    4 Li A. (29) Noskova L. (6)
    5 Pegula J. (3) Fernandez L. (31)
    6 Paolini J. (19) Cirstea S. (16)
    7 Svitolina E. (9) Kalinskaya A. (21)
    8 Navarro E. (26) Muchova K. (7)
    9 TBD #17 Bartunkova N.
    10 Potapova A. (24) Anisimova A. (10)
    11 TBD #21 Eala A. (17)
    12 TBD #23 TBD #24
    13 Swiatek I. (8) Bouzkova M. (25)
    14 Keys M. (22) TBD #28
    15 Osaka N. (13) Mertens E. (23)
    16 TBD #31 TBD #32

    1/8-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4
    3 TBD #5 TBD #6
    4 TBD #7 TBD #8
    5 TBD #9 TBD #10
    6 TBD #11 TBD #12
    7 TBD #13 TBD #14
    8 TBD #15 TBD #16

    Quarter-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4
    3 TBD #5 TBD #6
    4 TBD #7 TBD #8

    Semi-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4

    Final

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2

    WTA US Open Outrights

    1. Sabalenka Aryna: 3.71 (18.28%)

    2. Gauff Coco: 4.91 (13.81%)

    3. Swiatek Iga: 5.68 (11.94%)

    4. Pegula Jessica: 9 (7.54%)

    5. Osaka Naomi: 14.14 (4.8%)

    6. Rybakina Elena: 14.86 (4.56%)

    7. Andreeva Mirra: 15.29 (4.44%)

    8. Kostyuk Marta: 18.14 (3.74%)

    9. Anisimova Amanda: 18.86 (3.6%)

    10. Muchova Karolina: 22.57 (3.01%)

    11. Noskova Linda: 29 (2.34%)

    12. Svitolina Elina: 31.43 (2.16%)

    13. Eala Alexandra: 31.43 (2.16%)

    14. Jovic Iva: 43 (1.58%)

    15. Keys Madison: 48.86 (1.39%)

    16. Zheng Qinwen: 72.57 (0.93%)

    17. Shnaider Diana: 78.14 (0.87%)

    18. Badosa Paula: 102.43 (0.66%)

    19. Fernandez Leylah: 103.86 (0.65%)

    20. Cirstea Sorana: 111 (0.61%)

    21. Navarro Emma: 114.57 (0.59%)

    22. Mertens Elise: 118.14 (0.57%)

    23. Paolini Jasmine: 118.14 (0.57%)

    24. Alexandrova Ekaterina: 125.29 (0.54%)

    25. Sakkari Maria: 128.86 (0.53%)

    26. Li Ann: 132.43 (0.51%)

    27. Bouzkova Marie: 139.57 (0.49%)

    28. Bartunkova Nikola: 139.57 (0.49%)

    29. Townsend Taylor: 139.57 (0.49%)

    30. Tagger Lilli: 146.71 (0.46%)

    31. Kalinskaya Anna: 161 (0.42%)

    32. Putintseva Yulia: 164.57 (0.41%)

    33. Potapova Anastasia: 168.14 (0.4%)

    34. Siniakova Katerina: 200.29 (0.34%)

    35. Starodubtseva Yuliia: 200.29 (0.34%)

    36. Bucsa Cristina: 200.29 (0.34%)

    37. Lys Eva: 236 (0.29%)

    38. Maria Tatjana: 236 (0.29%)

    39. Bouzas Maneiro Jessica: 236 (0.29%)

    40. Oliynykova Oleksandra: 236 (0.29%)

    41. Jeanjean Leolia: 236 (0.29%)

    42. Bondar Anna: 236 (0.29%)

    43. Rakhimova Kamilla: 236 (0.29%)

    44. Timofeeva Maria: 236 (0.29%)

    45. Podoroska Nadia: 236 (0.29%)

    46. Sakatsume Himeno: 236 (0.29%)

    47. Dart Harriet: 236 (0.29%)

    48. Jones Francesca: 236 (0.29%)

    Naomi Osaka – Elise Mertens and other WTA US Open events on our partner.

    • WTA US Open

    Related Articles

    0 Comment