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Naomi Osaka vs Iga Swiatek predictions, May 11, 2026

Yuriy Borshchenko

WTA Roma, on Monday,

Score, Highlights

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As the WTA Roma approaches, the clash between Naomi Osaka and Iga Swiatek promises to be an exciting matchup. Scheduled for May 11, 2026, at Osaka’s home venue, this encounter brings together two formidable players, each in solid form.

Naomi Osaka has demonstrated her resilience and competitive edge, winning 4 of her last 5 matches. Her powerful serve and aggressive baseline play enable her to dictate points and pressure opponents effectively. On the contrary, Iga Swiatek, with 3 wins in her last 5 matches, has shown her exceptional court coverage and tactical adaptability. Swiatek’s impressive ability to engage in long rallies, combined with her strategic shot placement, presents a distinct challenge for her rivals.

Bookmakers have set the odds at 4.31 for Osaka as the home favorite, while Swiatek is favored at 1.23. This reflects Swiatek’s recent steadiness but also signifies the potential for an upset given Osaka’s key victories leading up to this match.

As both players navigate their strengths and weaknesses, this match could go either way, hinging on execution and mental fortitude on the day. Bettors should consider recent performances along with the unique dynamics of this home showdown.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-05-10T16:52:03+00:00.

Osaka
22.4%		 Swiatek
77.6%

Prediction (the most likely score): 0:2

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
4.3 1.23
4.64 1.21 Watch and Bet
4 1.25
4.14 1.23

Latest Results

10.05.26 Naomi Osaka – Diana Shnaider – 2:0
08.05.26 Naomi Osaka – Eva Lys – 2:1
27.04.26 Aryna Sabalenka – Naomi Osaka – 2:1
25.04.26 Anhelina Kalinina – Naomi Osaka – 0:2
23.04.26 Maria Camila Osorio Serrano – Naomi Osaka – 0:2		 10.05.26 Elisabaetta Cocciaretto – Iga Swiatek – 0:2
08.05.26 Caty McNally – Iga Swiatek – 1:2
25.04.26 Iga Swiatek – Ann Li – Swiatek I. Retired
23.04.26 Iga Swiatek – Daria Snigur – 2:0
17.04.26 Iga Swiatek – Mirra Andreeva – 1:2

Facts

  • Osaka is ranked WTA: 16. Swiatek is ranked WTA: 3.
  • At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.
  • Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, Swiatek is considered a favorite.
  • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Osaka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

    Latest Head To Head

    29.05.24 Iga Swiatek – Naomi Osaka – 2:1
    02.04.22 Naomi Osaka – Iga Swiatek – 0:2
    08.08.19 Iga Swiatek – Naomi Osaka – 0:2

    Standings

    Draw

    Singles – Main

    1/64-finals

    1 Sabalenka A. (1) Bye
    2 Krejcikova B. Jacquemot E. 2 : 0
    3 Linette M. Maria T. 0 : 2
    4 Bye Cirstea S. (26)
    5 Tauson C. (18) Bye
    6 Marcinko P. Oliynykova O. 0 : 2
    7 Zakharova A. Yastremska D. 2 : 1
    8 Bye Noskova L. (13)
    9 Bencic B. (12) Bye
    10 Kenin S. Andreescu B. (WC) 0 : 2
    11 Siniakova K. Boisson L. 2 : 0
    12 Bye Kalinskaya A. (22)
    13 Bucsa C. (30) Bye
    14 Bondar A. Zheng Q. 1 : 2
    15 Stefanini L. (WC) Ostapenko J. 0 : 2
    16 Bye Ruse G. (LL)
    17 Gauff C. (3) Bye
    18 Putintseva Y. Valentova T. 0 : 2
    19 Sierra S. Korpatsch T. (Q) 2 : 0
    20 Bye Kalinina A. (Q)
    21 Bouzkova M. (24) Bye
    22 Townsend T. (Q) Brancaccio N. (WC) 2 : 0
    23 Kessler M. Bronzetti L. (WC) 2 : 1
    24 Bye Jovic I. (16)
    25 Paolini J. (9) Bye
    26 Jeanjean L. (Q) Haddad Maia B. 2 : 0
    27 Udvardy P. Korneeva A. (Q) 2 : 0
    28 Bye Mertens E. (21)
    29 Joint M. (29) Bye
    30 Golubic V. Urgesi F. (Q) 2 : 0
    31 Ruzic A. Rakhimova K. 2 : 1
    32 Bye Andreeva M. (8)
    33 Pegula J. (5) Bye
    34 Sonmez Z. Ruggeri J. (WC) 2 : 1
    35 Selekhmeteva O. Masarova R. (Q) 1 : 2
    36 Bye Fernandez L. (25)
    37 Samsonova L. (20) Bye
    38 Li A. Zhang S. 2 : 1
    39 Galfi D. (Q) Potapova A. (Q) 1 : 2
    40 Bye Muchova K. (11)
    41 Osaka N. (15) Bye
    42 Boulter K. Lys E. 1 : 2
    43 Trevisan M. (WC) Gibson T. 1 : 2
    44 Bye Shnaider D. (19)
    45 Navarro E. (28) Bye
    46 Cocciaretto E. Kraus S. (Q) 2 : 0
    47 McNally C. Kasatkina D. 2 : 0
    48 Bye Swiatek I. (4)
    49 Svitolina E. (7) Bye
    50 Basiletti N. (Q) Tomljanovic A. (LL) 2 : 0
    51 Starodubtseva Y. Waltert S. (Q) 1 : 2
    52 Bye Baptiste H. (32)
    53 Keys M. (17) Bye
    54 Stearns P. Tjen J. 2 : 0
    55 Pigato L. (WC) Grant T. C. (WC) 1 : 2
    56 Bye Bartunkova N. (LL)
    57 Alexandrova E. (14) Bye
    58 Siegemund L. Bejlek S. 2 : 0
    59 Pliskova Ka. Bouzas Maneiro J. 2 : 1
    60 Bye Cristian J. (33)
    61 Wang Xin. (31) Bye
    62 Eala A. Frech M. 2 : 1
    63 Tagger L. (LL) Sakkari M. 1 : 2
    64 Bye Rybakina E. (2)

    1/32-finals

    1 Sabalenka A. (1) Krejcikova B. 2 : 0
    2 Maria T. Cirstea S. (26) 0 : 2
    3 Tauson C. (RET.) (18) Oliynykova O. 0 : 1
    4 Zakharova A. Noskova L. (13) 0 : 2
    5 Bencic B. (12) Andreescu B. 2 : 0
    6 Siniakova K. Kalinskaya A. (22) 1 : 2
    7 Bucsa C. (30) Zheng Q. 0 : 2
    8 Ostapenko J. Ruse G. 2 : 1
    9 Gauff C. (3) Valentova T. 2 : 0
    10 Sierra S. Kalinina A. 2 : 0
    11 Bouzkova M. (24) Townsend T. 0 : 2
    12 Kessler M. Jovic I. (16) 0 : 2
    13 Paolini J. (9) Jeanjean L. 2 : 1
    14 Udvardy P. Mertens E. (21) 0 : 2
    15 Joint M. (29) Golubic V. 0 : 2
    16 Ruzic A. Andreeva M. (8) 0 : 2
    17 Pegula J. (5) Sonmez Z. 2 : 0
    18 Masarova R. Fernandez L. (25) 2 : 1
    19 Samsonova L. (20) Li A. 2 : 0
    20 Potapova A. Muchova K. (11) 2 : 0
    21 Osaka N. (15) Lys E. 2 : 1
    22 Gibson T. Shnaider D. (19) 1 : 2
    23 Navarro E. (28) Cocciaretto E. 0 : 2
    24 McNally C. Swiatek I. (4) 1 : 2
    25 Svitolina E. (7) Basiletti N. 2 : 0
    26 Waltert S. Baptiste H. (32) 1 : 2
    27 Keys M. (17) Stearns P. 2 : 1
    28 Grant T. C. Bartunkova N. 1 : 2
    29 Alexandrova E. (14) Siegemund L. 1 : 2
    30 Pliskova Ka. Cristian J. (33) 2 : 1
    31 Wang Xin. (31) Eala A. 0 : 2
    32 Sakkari M. Rybakina E. (2) 0 : 2

    1/16-finals

    1 Sabalenka A. (1) Cirstea S. (26) 1 : 2
    2 Oliynykova O. Noskova L. (13) 0 : 2
    3 Bencic B. (12) Kalinskaya A. (22) 0 : 2
    4 Zheng Q. Ostapenko J. 1 : 2
    5 Gauff C. (3) Sierra S. 2 : 1
    6 Townsend T. Jovic I. (16) 0 : 2
    7 Paolini J. (9) Mertens E. (21) 1 : 2
    8 Golubic V. Andreeva M. (8) 1 : 2
    9 Pegula J. (5) Masarova R. 2 : 0
    10 Samsonova L. (20) Potapova A. 0 : 2
    11 Osaka N. (15) Shnaider D. (19) 2 : 0
    12 Cocciaretto E. Swiatek I. (4) 0 : 2
    13 Svitolina E. (7) Baptiste H. (32) 2 : 0
    14 Keys M. (17) Bartunkova N. 1 : 2
    15 Siegemund L. Pliskova Ka. 0 : 2
    16 Eala A. Rybakina E. (2) 0 : 2

    1/8-finals

    1 Cirstea S. (26) Noskova L. (13)
    2 Kalinskaya A. (22) Ostapenko J.
    3 Gauff C. (3) Jovic I. (16)
    4 Mertens E. (21) Andreeva M. (8)
    5 Pegula J. (5) Potapova A.
    6 Osaka N. (15) Swiatek I. (4)
    7 Svitolina E. (7) Bartunkova N.
    8 Pliskova Ka. Rybakina E. (2)

    Quarter-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4
    3 TBD #5 TBD #6
    4 TBD #7 TBD #8

    Semi-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4

    Final

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2

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