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New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies predictions, Sep 17, 2026

Yuriy Borshchenko

MLB, on Thursday,

Score, Highlights

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As the New York Mets prepare to host the Philadelphia Phillies on September 17, 2026, both teams enter this matchup struggling to find consistency. The Mets have managed to secure victory in just one of their last five games, indicating challenges in both their offense and pitching rotations. Similarly, the Phillies have also won only one of their recent five outings, highlighting a pervasive disconnect in their competitive form.

Oddsmakers favor the Mets, giving them odds of 1.7 compared to the Phillies’ 2.19, reflecting a slight edge for the home team. Statistical models predict a 55.4% chance of a Mets victory, while a 44.6% likelihood favors the Phillies. The anticipated final score of 5:3 suggests an expectation of a high-scoring affair, potentially emphasizing the Mets’ offensive capabilities against a Phillies pitching staff that may have struggled recently.

Tactically, the Mets may leverage their home-field advantage to assert pressure early, while the Phillies will need to capitalize on any defensive lapses from their opponents. Given the recent form of both teams, this matchup remains unpredictable, and while the Mets are favored, the game could swing either way based on performance on the day.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-09-16T22:52:03+00:00.

NY Mets
55.6%		 Philadelphia
44.4%

Prediction (the most likely score): 5:3

Outrights of MLB Philadelphia Phillies: 5.52%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
1.76 2.19
1.72 2.12
1.72 2.27
1.74 2.16
1.7 2.12

Latest Results

16.09.26 New York Mets – Baltimore Orioles – 1:7
15.09.26 New York Mets – Baltimore Orioles – 5:7
14.09.26 New York Mets – Baltimore Orioles – 1:2
13.09.26 New York Yankees – New York Mets – 2:0
12.09.26 New York Yankees – New York Mets – 2:12		 16.09.26 Washington Nationals – Philadelphia Phillies – 0:3
15.09.26 Washington Nationals – Philadelphia Phillies – 6:3
13.09.26 Atlanta Braves – Philadelphia Phillies – 4:9
12.09.26 Atlanta Braves – Philadelphia Phillies – 12:2
11.09.26 Atlanta Braves – Philadelphia Phillies – 6:5

Facts

  • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 5).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Mets won 3.
  • NY Mets has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • Philadelphia‘s form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
  • NY Mets may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of away games.
  • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Mets won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 86:101. (average 4.3:5.1).
  • Including home matches between the teams, NY Mets won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 40:20. (average 5.7:2.9).

    Latest Head To Head

    19.07.26 Philadelphia Phillies – New York Mets – 1:6
    18.07.26 Philadelphia Phillies – New York Mets – 6:1
    16.07.26 Philadelphia Phillies – New York Mets – 1:4
    28.06.26 New York Mets – Philadelphia Phillies – 4:5
    27.06.26 New York Mets – Philadelphia Phillies – 6:2

    Standings

    Main

    American League

    Pl W L PCT
    1 Tampa Bay Rays 151 92 59 688:617 0.609
    2 New York Yankees 152 88 64 697:561 0.579
    3 Boston Red Sox 151 82 69 665:579 0.543
    4 Cleveland Guardians 153 78 75 631:638 0.510
    5 Chicago White Sox 152 77 75 711:677 0.507
    6 Houston Astros 151 76 75 673:724 0.503
    7 Toronto Blue Jays 153 76 77 619:656 0.497
    8 Texas Rangers 151 75 76 628:670 0.497
    9 Baltimore Orioles 153 75 78 688:714 0.490
    10 Detroit Tigers 152 72 80 683:607 0.474
    11 Minnesota Twins 152 71 81 692:765 0.467
    12 Seattle Mariners 152 70 82 617:678 0.461
    13 Kansas City Royals 151 66 85 636:732 0.437
    14 Athletics 152 61 91 660:865 0.401
    15 Los Angeles Angels 151 58 93 612:685 0.384

    National League

    Pl W L PCT
    1 Milwaukee Brewers 152 95 57 788:588 0.625
    2 Los Angeles Dodgers 152 92 60 751:578 0.605
    3 Atlanta Braves 153 89 64 706:595 0.582
    4 Chicago Cubs 153 85 68 817:674 0.556
    5 Philadelphia Phillies 152 84 68 681:650 0.553
    6 San Diego Padres 151 82 69 650:633 0.543
    7 Arizona Diamondbacks 152 80 72 675:674 0.526
    8 Miami Marlins 152 75 77 677:670 0.493
    9 Pittsburgh Pirates 152 75 77 723:702 0.493
    10 St.Louis Cardinals 153 75 78 693:707 0.490
    11 Cincinnati Reds 152 71 81 631:779 0.467
    12 Washington Nationals 153 71 82 778:775 0.464
    13 New York Mets 152 69 83 650:693 0.454
    14 San Francisco Giants 153 64 89 649:719 0.418
    15 Colorado Rockies 151 56 95 712:876 0.371

    MLB Outrights

    1. Los Angeles Dodgers: 3 (27.62%)

    2. Milwaukee Brewers: 7 (11.84%)

    3. New York Yankees: 9 (9.21%)

    4. Tampa Bay Rays: 10 (8.29%)

    5. Atlanta Braves: 14 (5.92%)

    6. Philadelphia Phillies: 15 (5.52%)

    7. Boston Red Sox: 15 (5.52%)

    8. Chicago Cubs: 17 (4.87%)

    9. Houston Astros: 18 (4.6%)

    10. Chicago White Sox: 23 (3.6%)

    11. Cleveland Guardians: 28 (2.96%)

    12. Toronto Blue Jays: 35 (2.37%)

    13. San Diego Padres: 35 (2.37%)

    14. Texas Rangers: 45 (1.84%)

    15. Arizona Diamondbacks: 100 (0.83%)

    16. Seattle Mariners: 250 (0.33%)

    17. Detroit Tigers: 250 (0.33%)

    18. Baltimore Orioles: 250 (0.33%)

    19. Kansas City Royals: 250 (0.33%)

    20. Minnesota Twins: 250 (0.33%)

    21. St.Louis Cardinals: 250 (0.33%)

    22. Miami Marlins: 250 (0.33%)

    23. Pittsburgh Pirates: 250 (0.33%)

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