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New York Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs predictions, Mar 05, 2026

Yuriy Borshchenko

NHL, on Thursday,

Score, Highlights

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On March 5, 2026, the New York Rangers will host the Toronto Maple Leafs in an intriguing NHL matchup at Madison Square Garden. Both teams enter the game struggling to find form, each having secured only one victory in their last five encounters. This can lead to heightened pressure as they seek to rediscover their winning ways.

The Rangers, playing at home, will look to capitalize on their familiar surroundings. Historically, they possess a strong defensive unit, which will be crucial against the high-octane offense of the Maple Leafs. New York’s ability to execute disciplined defensive systems may play a key role in neutralizing their opponent’s attacks.

Conversely, Toronto has shown flashes of brilliance but must find consistency if they wish to contend for points in this matchup. Their dynamic offensive players can outpace any team, but they need to ensure a balanced approach to avoid being overpowered on the back end.

Bookmakers favor the Rangers slightly with odds of 2.45 for a home win, compared to 2.6 for the Maple Leafs. Our model assesses a 40.3% chance of a Rangers victory, a 22.7% chance of a draw, and a 36.7% chance for an away win. The predicted final score is 3:2 in favor of the Rangers, yet given the current form of both squads, the outcome remains uncertain.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-03-03T15:52:02+00:00.

NY Rangers
39.7%		 Draw
23%		 Toronto
37.3%

Prediction (the most likely score): 3:2

Outrights of NHL Toronto Maple Leafs: 0.91% New York Rangers: 0.13%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
2.45 4.21 2.6
2.38 4.11 2.53

Latest Results

02.03.26 New York Rangers – Columbus Blue Jackets – 4:5 OT
28.02.26 New York Rangers – Pittsburgh Penguins – 3:2 penalties
26.02.26 New York Rangers – Philadelphia Flyers – 2:3 OT
05.02.26 New York Rangers – Carolina Hurricanes – 0:2
31.01.26 Pittsburgh Penguins – New York Rangers – 6:5		 02.03.26 Toronto Maple Leafs – Philadelphia Flyers – 2:3 penalties
28.02.26 Toronto Maple Leafs – Ottawa Senators – 2:5
26.02.26 Florida Panthers – Toronto Maple Leafs – 5:1
25.02.26 Tampa Bay Lightning – Toronto Maple Leafs – 4:2
03.02.26 Edmonton Oilers – Toronto Maple Leafs – 2:5

Facts

  • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 13).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Rangers won 1.
  • Both teams are currently in poor form.
  • NY Rangers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • Recently, NY Rangers has had a series of home games.
  • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Rangers won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 59:60. (average 3:3).
  • Including home matches between the teams, NY Rangers won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:35. (average 3.1:3.5).

    Latest Head To Head

    16.10.25 Toronto Maple Leafs – New York Rangers – 2:1 OT
    20.03.25 New York Rangers – Toronto Maple Leafs – 3:4
    28.02.25 New York Rangers – Toronto Maple Leafs – 2:3
    19.10.24 Toronto Maple Leafs – New York Rangers – 1:4
    02.03.24 Toronto Maple Leafs – New York Rangers – 4:3 penalties

    Standings

    Main

    Western Conference

    Pl W WO LO L Pts
    1 Colorado Avalanche 59 37 3 9 10 225:148 89
    2 Dallas Stars 60 30 7 9 14 206:164 83
    3 Minnesota Wild 61 22 13 10 16 204:179 80
    4 Vegas Golden Knights 60 21 7 14 18 199:191 70
    5 Anaheim Ducks 59 19 14 3 23 199:206 69
    6 Seattle Kraken 60 23 6 9 22 171:176 67
    7 Utah Mammoth 60 24 7 4 25 190:167 66
    8 Edmonton Oilers 61 22 7 8 24 215:206 66
    9 San Jose Sharks 58 17 12 4 25 179:202 62
    10 Nashville Predators 60 20 7 8 25 177:207 62
    11 Los Angeles Kings 60 15 9 14 22 155:179 62
    12 Winnipeg Jets 59 20 3 10 26 168:184 56
    13 Calgary Flames 59 20 4 7 28 148:175 55
    14 Chicago Blackhawks 60 18 5 9 28 161:192 55
    15 St. Louis Blues 60 21 1 9 29 156:208 53
    16 Vancouver Canucks 60 12 6 7 35 153:224 43

    Eastern Conference

    Pl W WO LO L Pts
    1 Carolina Hurricanes 60 28 10 6 16 208:171 82
    2 Tampa Bay Lightning 58 29 9 4 16 209:153 80
    3 Buffalo Sabres 60 29 6 6 19 206:181 76
    4 Detroit Red Wings 61 24 11 6 20 182:183 76
    5 Montreal Canadiens 59 22 11 9 17 208:193 75
    6 Pittsburgh Penguins 59 27 4 13 15 203:173 75
    7 New York Islanders 61 23 12 5 21 182:172 75
    8 Boston Bruins 59 25 8 5 21 200:187 71
    9 Washington Capitals 62 26 5 7 24 197:186 69
    10 Columbus Blue Jackets 59 20 10 8 21 189:189 68
    11 Philadelphia Flyers 60 19 9 11 21 177:188 67
    12 Ottawa Senators 59 23 6 8 22 197:188 66
    13 Toronto Maple Leafs 61 19 8 10 24 195:211 64
    14 Florida Panthers 60 24 6 3 27 185:200 63
    15 New Jersey Devils 60 19 10 2 29 151:182 60
    16 New York Rangers 60 14 9 8 29 160:190 54

    NHL Outrights

    1. Colorado Avalanche: 3.96 (20.35%)

    2. Tampa Bay Lightning: 5.04 (15.98%)

    3. Carolina Hurricanes: 6.75 (11.93%)

    4. Vegas Golden Knights: 9.33 (8.63%)

    5. Edmonton Oilers: 11.33 (7.11%)

    6. Dallas Stars: 15.83 (5.09%)

    7. Minnesota Wild: 18.33 (4.39%)

    8. Montreal Canadiens: 29.67 (2.72%)

    9. Florida Panthers: 32.17 (2.5%)

    10. Utah Mammoth: 32.17 (2.5%)

    11. Buffalo Sabres: 32.5 (2.48%)

    12. Los Angeles Kings: 37.33 (2.16%)

    13. Washington Capitals: 49.33 (1.63%)

    14. Detroit Red Wings: 49.33 (1.63%)

    15. Pittsburgh Penguins: 51 (1.58%)

    16. New York Islanders: 57 (1.41%)

    17. Ottawa Senators: 62 (1.3%)

    18. Anaheim Ducks: 68.67 (1.17%)

    19. Columbus Blue Jackets: 77 (1.05%)

    20. Toronto Maple Leafs: 88.67 (0.91%)

    21. Boston Bruins: 134.33 (0.6%)

    22. Nashville Predators: 192.67 (0.42%)

    23. New Jersey Devils: 197.67 (0.41%)

    24. Philadelphia Flyers: 201 (0.4%)

    25. Winnipeg Jets: 209.33 (0.38%)

    26. Seattle Kraken: 234.33 (0.34%)

    27. San Jose Sharks: 251 (0.32%)

    28. Calgary Flames: 634.33 (0.13%)

    29. St. Louis Blues: 634.33 (0.13%)

    30. Chicago Blackhawks: 634.33 (0.13%)

    31. New York Rangers: 634.33 (0.13%)

    32. Vancouver Canucks: 884.33 (0.09%)

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