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Newcastle Knights vs Canberra Raiders predictions, Apr 05, 2026

Australian NRL, on Sunday,

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On April 5, 2026, the Newcastle Knights will host the Canberra Raiders in an eagerly anticipated NRL clash at their home ground. Recent performances suggest a challenge for the Knights as they have managed to secure victories in 3 of their last 5 matches, showcasing a resurgence in form that can bolster their confidence heading into this fixture. In contrast, the Raiders have struggled, winning only 1 of their last 5 encounters, raising concerns about their consistency and overall momentum.

Bookmakers currently favor the Raiders with odds of 1.64 for an away victory, while the Knights are positioned at 2.39 for a home win. The statistical analysis further reflects this sentiment, with a model prediction indicating a 55.6% likelihood of an away win for Canberra, compared to a 39.5% chance for Newcastle.

Tactically, the Knights will need to harness their home advantage and exploit any defensive vulnerabilities in the Raiders’ lineup, while the visitors will look to leverage their experience and recent trends to overturn their fortunes. Ultimately, while the odds favor Canberra, the Knights have the potential to cause an upset, ensuring an intriguing matchup with no guaranteed outcomes.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-03-31T05:52:02+00:00.

Newcastle
38.9%
Draw
4.7%
Canberra
56.5%

Prediction (the most likely score): 21:26

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
2.45 18 1.68
2.48 19 1.64
2.25 19 1.62
2.39 20.32 1.64

Latest Results

28.03.26 Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs – Newcastle Knights – 16:24
21.03.26 Newcastle Knights – New Zealand Warriors – 12:38
15.03.26 Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles – Newcastle Knights – 16:36
28.02.26 Newcastle Knights – North Queensland Cowboys – 28:18
14.02.26 Newcastle Knights – Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs – 0:28
29.03.26 Canberra Raiders – Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks – 22:34
19.03.26 Canberra Raiders – Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs – 10:14
13.03.26 New Zealand Warriors – Canberra Raiders – 40:6
07.03.26 Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles – Canberra Raiders – 28:29 OT
20.02.26 Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks – Canberra Raiders – 48:6

Facts

  • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 15).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 2.
  • In recent matches, Newcastle has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
  • Canberra has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
  • Newcastle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • Canberra is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
  • We predict that Newcastle will win today’s game, with odds of 2.38.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 473:504. (average 23.7:25.2).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 220:232. (average 24.4:25.8).

    Latest Head To Head

    27.07.25 Canberra Raiders – Newcastle Knights – 44:18
    27.06.25 Newcastle Knights – Canberra Raiders – 18:22
    07.07.24 Canberra Raiders – Newcastle Knights – 12:16
    07.03.24 Newcastle Knights – Canberra Raiders – 12:28
    10.09.23 Newcastle Knights – Canberra Raiders – 30:28 OT

    Standings

    Main

    Pl W L Pts
    1 Penrith Panthers 4 4 0 140:30 8
    2 New Zealand Warriors 4 3 1 134:68 6
    3 Wests Tigers 3 2 1 92:50 6
    4 Newcastle Knights 4 3 1 100:88 6
    5 Canterbury Bulldogs 3 2 1 45:48 6
    6 Melbourne Storm 4 2 2 136:70 4
    7 Dolphins 4 2 2 98:90 4
    8 South Sydney Rabbitohs 3 2 1 78:72 4
    9 Cronulla Sharks 4 2 2 100:96 4
    10 Brisbane Broncos 4 2 2 76:92 4
    11 NQ Cowboys 4 2 2 92:112 4
    12 Sydney Roosters 4 2 2 81:116 4
    13 Parramatta Eels 4 2 2 94:152 4
    14 Manly Sea Eagles 3 0 3 60:98 2
    15 Canberra Raiders 4 1 3 67:116 2
    16 Gold Coast Titans 4 1 3 62:112 2
    17 St. George Illawarra Dragons 4 0 4 68:113 0

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