Newcastle Knights vs Parramatta Eels predictions, May 16, 2025

May 10, 2025 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

Australian NRL, on Friday,

Newcastle

Eels

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The upcoming match between Newcastle Knights and Parramatta Eels promises to be an exciting showdown between two competitive teams in the Australian NRL. Both teams have had mixed results in their recent matches, with Newcastle Knights winning only 1 of their last 5 games and Parramatta Eels winning 2.

Newcastle Knights will have the home advantage in this match, which could give them an edge over Parramatta Eels. Their form has been inconsistent, but they have shown glimpses of their potential in previous matches. Parramatta Eels, on the other hand, have also had their ups and downs but will be motivated to secure a vital victory on the road.

With bookmakers slightly favoring the home team, our model predicts a close contest with Newcastle Knights having a slight edge with a 54.5% probability of a win. However, Parramatta Eels cannot be counted out, as they have the ability to pull off an upset. Fans can expect an intense and competitive match between these two teams with everything to play for.

Newcastle
54.8%		 Draw
4.5%		 Parramatta
40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newcastle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+54.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newcastle’s performance.
  • Parramatta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+40.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Parramatta’s recent form is better than expected.

    • Outrights of Australian NRL Newcastle Knights: 0.88% Parramatta Eels: 0.59%

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    Betting Odds

    1 X 2
    MarathonBet 1.64 18 2.38

    Latest Results

    09.05.25 Newcastle Knights – Gold Coast Titans – 20:24
    03.05.25 South Sydney Rabbitohs – Newcastle Knights – 4:30
    25.04.25 New Zealand Warriors – Newcastle Knights – 26:12
    20.04.25 Newcastle Knights – Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks – 14:34
    13.04.25 Newcastle Knights – Wests Tigers – 4:20    		 08.05.25 Parramatta Eels – Dolphins NRL – 16:20
    02.05.25 Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks – Parramatta Eels – 28:18
    21.04.25 Wests Tigers – Parramatta Eels – 22:38
    12.04.25 Parramatta Eels – Canberra Raiders – 12:50
    05.04.25 Parramatta Eels – St. George Illawarra Dragons – 23:22 OT

    Facts

  • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 17).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 1.
  • Newcastle is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • Parramatta has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
  • Newcastle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • Newcastle will hold a modest advantage in this match.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 379:406. (average 19:20.3).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 258:291. (average 19.8:22.4).

    Latest Head To Head

    14.02.25 Newcastle Knights – Parramatta Eels – 18:44
    29.06.24 Newcastle Knights – Parramatta Eels – 34:26
    28.04.23 Parramatta Eels – Newcastle Knights – 43:12
    17.02.23 Newcastle Knights – Parramatta Eels – 14:36
    24.04.22 Newcastle Knights – Parramatta Eels – 2:39

    Standings

    Main

    Pl W L Pts
    1 Canterbury Bulldogs 9 8 1 244:138 18
    2 Canberra Raiders 10 7 3 278:230 14
    3 New Zealand Warriors 8 6 2 174:174 14
    4 Melbourne Storm 8 5 3 248:172 12
    5 Cronulla Sharks 9 5 4 215:166 10
    6 Brisbane Broncos 10 5 5 262:216 10
    7 Manly Sea Eagles 8 4 4 210:174 10
    8 Wests Tigers 9 5 4 214:194 10
    9 NQ Cowboys 8 4 4 192:206 10
    10 Sydney Roosters 9 4 5 204:246 10
    11 South Sydney Rabbitohs 10 5 5 159:221 10
    12 Dolphins 10 4 6 238:228 8
    13 St. George Illawarra Dragons 8 3 5 184:198 8
    14 Newcastle Knights 9 3 6 122:174 8
    15 Gold Coast Titans 9 3 6 186:270 8
    16 Penrith Panthers 9 3 6 214:216 6
    17 Parramatta Eels 9 2 7 151:272 6

    Australian NRL Outrights

    1. Melbourne Storm: 2.9 (30.76%)

    2. Canterbury Bulldogs: 5.5 (16.22%)

    3. Brisbane Broncos: 8 (11.15%)

    4. Cronulla Sharks: 11 (8.11%)

    5. Penrith Panthers: 12 (7.43%)

    6. Canberra Raiders: 13 (6.86%)

    7. Manly Sea Eagles: 19 (4.7%)

    8. New Zealand Warriors: 26 (3.43%)

    9. Sydney Roosters: 41 (2.18%)

    10. North Queensland Cowboys: 41 (2.18%)

    11. Wests Tigers: 51 (1.75%)

    12. Dolphins: 67 (1.33%)

    13. South Sydney Rabbitohs: 81 (1.1%)

    14. St. George Illawarra Dragons: 101 (0.88%)

    15. Newcastle Knights: 101 (0.88%)

    16. Parramatta Eels: 151 (0.59%)

    17. Gold Coast Titans: 201 (0.44%)

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