ATP Madrid, on Saturday,
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In an intriguing matchup at the ATP Madrid on April 25, 2026, Nicolai Budkov Kjaer takes on Denis Shapovalov in what promises to be a captivating contest. Playing on home soil, Budkov Kjaer will look to leverage local support, but he faces a formidable opponent in Shapovalov.
Recent form indicates that both players are evenly matched, each having won 2 of their last 5 matches. Budkov Kjaer’s victories have highlighted his strong baseline play and tactical grit, while Shapovalov has showcased his explosive serve and aggressive shot-making capabilities. The Canadian, currently favored by bookmakers, shows odds of 1.47 for an away victory compared to Budkov Kjaer’s 2.63, which reflects the perceived gap in their overall performances.
Statistical models suggest a probability of 35.7% for a home win and 64.3% for an away win, with a predicted final score of 2-0 in favor of Shapovalov. However, the unpredictable nature of tennis matches, especially on clay courts, means that Budkov Kjaer could certainly pull off an upset if he maximizes his strengths. Ultimately, fans can expect a competitive encounter as both players vie for supremacy.
This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-04-23T18:52:02+00:00.
| Budkov Kjaer 37.5% |
Shapovalov 62.5% |
Prediction (the most likely score): 0:2
Betting Odds
| 1 | X | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
2.5 | 1.54 | ||
 |
2.67 | 1.52 | |
|
 |
2.63 | 1.47 |
Latest Results
| 23.04.26 Nicolai Budkov Kjaer – Reilly Opelka – Opelka R. Retired 21.04.26 Moez Echargui – Nicolai Budkov Kjaer – 0:2 20.04.26 Nicolai Budkov Kjaer – Francesco Maestrelli – 2:0 11.04.26 Marco Trungelliti – Nicolai Budkov Kjaer – 2:1 04.04.26 Damir Dzumhur – Nicolai Budkov Kjaer – 2:0 |
17.04.26 Denis Shapovalov – Alex Molcan – 0:2 16.04.26 Denis Shapovalov – Fabian Marozsan – 2:0 14.04.26 Tallon Griekspoor – Denis Shapovalov – 1:2 06.04.26 Denis Shapovalov – Alexander Blockx – 1:2 19.03.26 Denis Shapovalov – Botic Van De Zandschulp – 0:2 |
Facts
Standings
Draw
Singles – Main
1/64-finals
| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Bonzi B. (Q) | Droguet T. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Moller E. (Q) | Cina F. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Diallo G. (32) | |
| 5 | Norrie C. (19) | Bye | |
| 6 | Machac T. | Comesana F. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Bautista-Agut R. | Tirante T. A. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Paul T. (15) | |
| 9 | Rublev A. (9) | Bye | |
| 10 | Zhang Z. (PR) | Kopriva V. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Sonego L. | Lajovic D. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Rinderknech A. (22) | |
| 13 | Fonseca J. (27) | Bye | |
| 14 | Bergs Z. | Cilic M. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Jodar R. (WC) | De Jong J. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | De Minaur A. (5) | |
| 17 | Shelton B. (4) | Bye | |
| 18 | Prizmic D. (Q) | Berrettini M. | 2 : 0 |
| 19 | Basilashvili N. (Q) | Ofner S. | 0 : 2 |
| 20 | Bye | Etcheverry T. M. (25) | |
| 21 | Fils A. (21) | Bye | |
| 22 | Buse I. | Mannarino A. | 2 : 0 |
| 23 | Brooksby J. | Nava E. | 0 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | Vacherot V. (14) | |
| 25 | Lehecka J. (11) | Bye | |
| 26 | Tabilo A. | Royer V. | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Muller A. | Struff J-L. | 0 : 2 |
| 28 | Bye | Michelsen A. (33) | |
| 29 | Griekspoor T. (29) | Bye | |
| 30 | Dzumhur D. | Bellucci M. | 2 : 0 |
| 31 | Faria J. (Q) | Hurkacz H. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Bye | Musetti L. (6) | |
| 33 | Bublik A. (8) | Bye | |
| 34 | Kypson P. (LL) | Tsitsipas S. | 1 : 2 |
| 35 | Trungelliti M. (LL) | Merida Aguilar D. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 36 | Bye | Moutet C. (26) | |
| 37 | Davidovich Fokina A. (20) | Bye | |
| 38 | Carreno-Busta P. (WC) | Fucsovics M. | 2 : 1 |
| 39 | Munar J. | Shevchenko A. | 2 : 0 |
| 40 | Bye | Ruud C. (12) | |
| 41 | Cerundolo F. (16) | Bye | |
| 42 | Hanfmann Y. | Giron M. | 2 : 1 |
| 43 | Altmaier D. | Cerundolo J. M. | 0 : 2 |
| 44 | Bye | Darderi L. (18) | |
| 45 | Nakashima B. (28) | Bye | |
| 46 | Garin C. (LL) | Blockx A. | 1 : 2 |
| 47 | Gaubas V. (Q) | Baez S. | 2 : 0 |
| 48 | Bye | Auger-Aliassime F. (3) | |
| 49 | Medvedev D. (7) | Bye | |
| 50 | Marozsan F. | Quinn E. | 2 : 0 |
| 51 | Budkov Kjaer N. (Q) | Opelka R. (RET.) | 0 : 0 |
| 52 | Bye | Shapovalov D. (31) | |
| 53 | Tien L. (17) | Bye | |
| 54 | Vallejo D. (Q) | Dimitrov G. | 2 : 0 |
| 55 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Monfils G. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 56 | Bye | Cobolli F. (10) | |
| 57 | Khachanov K. (13) | Bye | |
| 58 | Landaluce M. (WC) | Walton A. | 0 : 2 |
| 59 | Popyrin A. | Damm M. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 60 | Bye | Mensik J. (23) | |
| 61 | Humbert U. (30) | Bye | |
| 62 | Atmane T. | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 0 |
| 63 | Borges N. | Navone M. | 0 : 2 |
| 64 | Bye | Zverev A. (2) |
1/32-finals
| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Bonzi B. (Q) | |
| 2 | Moller E. (Q) | Diallo G. (32) | |
| 3 | Norrie C. (19) | Machac T. | |
| 4 | Tirante T. A. | Paul T. (15) | |
| 5 | Rublev A. (9) | Kopriva V. | |
| 6 | Lajovic D. | Rinderknech A. (22) | |
| 7 | Fonseca J. (27) | Cilic M. | |
| 8 | Jodar R. | De Minaur A. (5) | |
| 9 | Shelton B. (4) | Prizmic D. | |
| 10 | Ofner S. | Etcheverry T. M. (25) | |
| 11 | Fils A. (21) | Buse I. | |
| 12 | Nava E. | Vacherot V. (14) | |
| 13 | Lehecka J. (11) | Tabilo A. | |
| 14 | Struff J-L. | Michelsen A. (33) | |
| 15 | Griekspoor T. (29) | Dzumhur D. | |
| 16 | Hurkacz H. | Musetti L. (6) | |
| 17 | Bublik A. (8) | Tsitsipas S. | |
| 18 | Merida Aguilar D. | Moutet C. (26) | |
| 19 | Davidovich Fokina A. (20) | Carreno-Busta P. | |
| 20 | Munar J. | Ruud C. (12) | |
| 21 | Cerundolo F. (16) | Hanfmann Y. | |
| 22 | Cerundolo J. M. | Darderi L. (18) | |
| 23 | Nakashima B. (28) | Blockx A. | |
| 24 | Gaubas V. | Auger-Aliassime F. (3) | |
| 25 | Medvedev D. (7) | Marozsan F. | |
| 26 | Budkov Kjaer N. | Shapovalov D. (31) | |
| 27 | Tien L. (17) | Vallejo D. | |
| 28 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Cobolli F. (10) | |
| 29 | Khachanov K. (13) | Walton A. | |
| 30 | Damm M. | Mensik J. (23) | |
| 31 | Humbert U. (30) | Atmane T. | |
| 32 | Navone M. | Zverev A. (2) |
1/16-finals
| 1 | TBD #1 | TBD #2 | |
| 2 | TBD #3 | TBD #4 | |
| 3 | TBD #5 | TBD #6 | |
| 4 | TBD #7 | TBD #8 | |
| 5 | TBD #9 | TBD #10 | |
| 6 | TBD #11 | TBD #12 | |
| 7 | TBD #13 | TBD #14 | |
| 8 | TBD #15 | TBD #16 | |
| 9 | TBD #17 | TBD #18 | |
| 10 | TBD #19 | TBD #20 | |
| 11 | TBD #21 | TBD #22 | |
| 12 | TBD #23 | TBD #24 | |
| 13 | TBD #25 | TBD #26 | |
| 14 | TBD #27 | TBD #28 | |
| 15 | TBD #29 | TBD #30 | |
| 16 | TBD #31 | TBD #32 |
1/8-finals
| 1 | TBD #1 | TBD #2 | |
| 2 | TBD #3 | TBD #4 | |
| 3 | TBD #5 | TBD #6 | |
| 4 | TBD #7 | TBD #8 | |
| 5 | TBD #9 | TBD #10 | |
| 6 | TBD #11 | TBD #12 | |
| 7 | TBD #13 | TBD #14 | |
| 8 | TBD #15 | TBD #16 |
Quarter-finals
| 1 | TBD #1 | TBD #2 | |
| 2 | TBD #3 | TBD #4 | |
| 3 | TBD #5 | TBD #6 | |
| 4 | TBD #7 | TBD #8 |
Semi-finals
| 1 | TBD #1 | TBD #2 | |
| 2 | TBD #3 | TBD #4 |
Final
| 1 | TBD #1 | TBD #2 |
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