Nicolas Jarry vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli predictions, Feb 24, 2025

Feb 23, 2025 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

ATP Santiago, on Monday,

Jarry

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Score, Highlights

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In this ATP Santiago match, Nicolas Jarry will be facing off against Camilo Ugo Carabelli on February 24, 2025. Jarry will have the home advantage, but his recent form has not been the best, having won only 1 out of his last 5 matches. On the other hand, Carabelli has been performing slightly better with 3 wins out of his last 5 matches.

The bookmakers have set their coefficients at 1.44 for Jarry and 2.75 for Carabelli, indicating that Jarry is the favorite to win. However, our ML estimation gives Jarry a 67.2% chance of winning compared to Carabelli’s 32.8%. The most likely result predicted by bookmakers is a 2-0 win for Jarry.

Overall, this match is expected to be competitive, with both players having the potential to win. It will be interesting to see how they perform on the day and who will come out on top.

Jarry 65.6% Ugo Carabelli 34.4%

Prediction (the most likely score): 2:0

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Latest Results

19.02.25 Francisco Comesana – Nicolas Jarry – 2:1
17.02.25 Juan Manuel Cerundolo – Nicolas Jarry – 1:2
12.02.25 Diego Sebastian Schwartzman – Nicolas Jarry – 2:1
12.01.25 Jannik Sinner – Nicolas Jarry – 3:0
02.01.25 Nicolas Jarry – Jiri Lehecka – 0:2		 22.02.25 Sebastian Baez – Camilo Ugo Carabelli – 2:1
21.02.25 Camilo Ugo Carabelli – Jaime Faria – 2:0
20.02.25 Camilo Ugo Carabelli – Damir Dzumhur – 2:0
18.02.25 Pedro Martinez Portero – Camilo Ugo Carabelli – 1:2
16.02.25 Camilo Ugo Carabelli – Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera – 1:2

Facts

  • Jarry is ranked ATP: 47. Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 91.
  • Jarry is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins – 1).
  • Recent matches Ugo Carabelli is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins – 3).
  • Jarry could have advantage in physics – more days for rest in last days.
  • Jarry will have a mini benefit in this match.
  • Last 5 head-to-head matches Jarry won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:3 (average 1.6:0.6).

    Latest Head To Head

    18.02.23 Nicolas Jarry – Camilo Ugo Carabelli – 2:0
    17.11.21 Nicolas Jarry – Camilo Ugo Carabelli – 2:0
    28.08.21 Camilo Ugo Carabelli – Nicolas Jarry – 2:0
    26.04.21 Camilo Ugo Carabelli – Nicolas Jarry – 0:2
    16.02.21 Camilo Ugo Carabelli – Nicolas Jarry – 1:2

    Standings

    Draw

    Singles – Qualification

    Semi-finals

    1 Cerundolo J. M. (1) Soto M. 2 : 0
    2 Seggerman R. (Alt) Luz O. (Alt) 0 : 2
    3 Tirante T. A. (2) Martin Tiffon P. (Alt) 2 : 0
    4 Olivieri G. A. (Alt) Heide G. (5) 0 : 2
    5 Burruchaga R. A. (3) Feldbausch K. (WC) 2 : 1
    6 Vallejo D. Ficovich J. P. (6) 0 : 2
    7 Meligeni Alves F. (4) Malla B. (WC) 2 : 0
    8 Nava E. Varillas J. P. (8) 0 : 2

    Final

    1 Cerundolo J. M. (1) Luz O.
    2 Tirante T. A. (2) Heide G. (5)
    3 Burruchaga R. A. (3) Ficovich J. P. (6)
    4 Meligeni Alves F. (4) Varillas J. P. (8)

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