Novara vs Pro Patria predictions, Jan 25, 2025

Jan 22, 2025 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

Italian Serie C Group A, on Saturday,

Novara

Pro Patria

Score, Highlights

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Novara Calcio is the home team in this Serie C Group A match against Aurora Pro Patria 1919. Novara has had a slightly better recent form compared to Pro Patria, with Novara winning 1 out of their last 5 matches while Pro Patria has not won any of their last 5 matches. The bookmakers have given Novara the edge with coefficients of 1.85, while a draw is seen as less likely at 4.18.

According to our ML estimation, Novara has a 42.1% chance of winning, while a draw has a 25% probability and a Pro Patria victory has a 25.3% probability. The most likely result predicted by bookmakers is a 1-0 win for Novara.

Overall, it seems like Novara is the favorite going into this match based on recent form and bookmaker predictions. However, anything can happen in soccer so it will be an interesting match to watch.

Novara 48.9% Draw 29.8% Pro Patria 21.3%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:0

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
WilliamHill 1.83 3 4.2

Latest Results

17.01.25 Calcio Lecco 1912 – Novara Calcio – 1:1
11.01.25 Novara Calcio – Virtus Verona – 3:0
04.01.25 Atalanta U23 – Novara Calcio – 0:0
21.12.24 Novara Calcio – FeralpiSalò – 0:1
14.12.24 Novara Calcio – Unione Triestina 2012 – 2:3		 19.01.25 Aurora Pro Patria 1919 – Vicenza Virtus – 0:3
12.01.25 FeralpiSalò – Aurora Pro Patria 1919 – 1:0
06.01.25 Aurora Pro Patria 1919 – AS Giana Erminio – 1:2
21.12.24 AC Renate – Aurora Pro Patria 1919 – 1:0
15.12.24 Aurora Pro Patria 1919 – US Pergolettese – 1:1

Facts

  • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
  • Last 5 head-to-head matches Novara won 1.
  • Recent matches Novara is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins – 1).
  • Pro Patria has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins – 0).
  • Novara could have advantage in physics – more days for rest in last days.
  • In this match Novara is a favorite.
  • Last 12 head-to-head matches Novara won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:13 (average 1.1:1.1).
  • Including matches at home between the teams Novara won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:3 (average 0.8:0.6).

    Latest Head To Head

    01.10.24 Aurora Pro Patria 1919 – Novara Calcio – 1:1
    13.01.24 Aurora Pro Patria 1919 – Novara Calcio – 3:0
    10.09.23 Novara Calcio – Aurora Pro Patria 1919 – 1:2
    15.03.23 Aurora Pro Patria 1919 – Novara Calcio – 1:1
    12.11.22 Novara Calcio – Aurora Pro Patria 1919 – 1:0

    Standings

    2024/25

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Padova 23 19 4 0 43:10 33 61
    2 L.R. Vicenza 23 16 5 2 36:10 26 53
    3 FeralpiSalo 23 13 6 4 31:15 16 45
    4 Atalanta U23 23 12 4 7 47:32 15 40
    5 Trento 23 9 10 4 28:26 2 37
    6 AlbinoLeffe 23 9 8 6 27:19 8 35
    7 Alcione Milano 23 11 2 10 22:18 4 35
    8 Renate 23 10 4 9 18:21 -3 34
    9 Novara 23 8 9 6 26:19 7 33
    10 Lumezzane 23 8 7 8 27:32 -5 31
    11 Virtus Verona 23 7 6 10 26:30 -4 27
    12 Arzignano 23 7 6 10 27:31 -4 27
    13 Giana Erminio 23 7 6 10 21:27 -6 27
    14 Pro Vercelli 23 7 5 11 20:31 -11 26
    15 Lecco 23 6 7 10 25:34 -9 25
    16 Pergolettese 23 6 6 11 21:32 -11 24
    17 Triestina 23 5 5 13 22:32 -10 19
    18 Pro Patria 23 2 12 9 15:26 -11 18
    19 Caldiero Terme 23 4 4 15 20:42 -22 16
    20 Union Clodiense 23 2 8 13 21:36 -15 14

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    • Italian Serie C Group A

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