Pachuca vs Toluca predictions, Mar 22, 2026

Score, Highlights

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As CF Pachuca prepares to host Deportivo Toluca on March 22, 2026, both teams come into the match with solid recent form, each having won three of their last five encounters. This clash promises to be a competitive showdown in the Mexican Liga MX.

CF Pachuca will look to leverage their home advantage, where they often showcase their attacking prowess. Key tactical strengths include their ability to press high and create goal-scoring opportunities from set pieces. However, consistency in defense has at times been a concern, which could be exploited by Toluca’s quick counter-attacking style.

On the other hand, Deportivo Toluca enters this fixture with a strong away record and a solid understanding of how to handle pressure situations. Their offensive strategy relies heavily on exploiting spaces left by opponents, making them dangerous on the break.

Bookmakers currently favor Toluca slightly with odds of 1.9 for an away win compared to Pachuca’s odds of 3.8. Our model indicates a near-even split in probabilities, with a 24.9% chance of a home win, a 25.3% chance of a draw, and a substantial 49.8% chance of an away victory. Given the tactical strengths and recent performances of both teams, this match could go in multiple directions, making it an intriguing encounter for fans and bettors alike.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-03-16T09:52:03+00:00.

Pachuca 24.8%

Draw 26%

Toluca 49.2%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:2

Outrights of Mexican Liga MX Toluca: 20.11% Pachuca: 8.94%

Watch and Bet Pachuca – Toluca available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

	1	X	2
	3.86	3.66	1.93
	3.7	3.55	1.92
	3.72	3.6	1.9	Watch and Bet
	3.5	3.25	1.85
	3.8	3.72	1.9

Latest Results

14.03.26 Atlético San Luis – CF Pachuca – 1:1 07.03.26 CF Pachuca – Puebla FC – 2:1 03.03.26 CF Pachuca – Club Necaxa – 2:1 27.02.26 Mazatlan FC – CF Pachuca – 1:0 20.02.26 Tigres UANL – CF Pachuca – 1:2

14.03.26 Deportivo Toluca – Club Atlas – 1:1 11.03.26 San Diego FC – Deportivo Toluca – 3:2 08.03.26 Deportivo Toluca – FC Juárez – 3:1 03.03.26 UNAM Pumas – Deportivo Toluca – 2:3 28.02.26 Deportivo Toluca – Chivas Guadalajara – 2:0

Facts

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 0.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Pachuca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Toluca is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 37:39. (average 1.9:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Pachuca won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.8:1.8).

Latest Head To Head

26.10.25 Deportivo Toluca – CF Pachuca – 2:2 29.03.25 Deportivo Toluca – CF Pachuca – 3:2 17.09.24 CF Pachuca – Deportivo Toluca – 2:2 30.03.24 CF Pachuca – Deportivo Toluca – 2:3 03.09.23 Deportivo Toluca – CF Pachuca – 5:0

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cruz Azul	11	8	2	1	22:11	11	26
2	Toluca	11	7	4	0	18:6	12	25
3	Guadalajara Chivas	10	8	0	2	17:9	8	24
4	Pachuca	11	6	3	2	14:9	5	21
5	UNAM Pumas	11	5	5	1	20:12	8	20
6	Tigres UANL	11	5	2	4	17:12	5	17
7	Club America	11	5	2	4	13:10	3	17
8	Atlas	11	5	2	4	14:16	-2	17
9	Monterrey	11	4	2	5	16:12	4	14
10	Club Tijuana	11	2	6	3	12:11	1	12
11	Puebla	11	3	3	5	9:13	-4	12
12	Atl. San Luis	11	3	2	6	17:19	-2	11
13	Juarez	10	3	2	5	16:19	-3	11
14	Necaxa	11	3	1	7	11:16	-5	10
15	Club Leon	10	3	1	6	11:18	-7	10
16	Mazatlan FC	11	3	1	7	13:22	-9	10
17	Queretaro	10	1	4	5	8:16	-8	7
18	Santos Laguna	11	1	2	8	12:29	-17	5

Mexican Liga MX Outrights

1. Toluca: 4 (20.11%)

2. Cruz Azul: 4.5 (17.87%)

3. Tigres UANL: 8 (10.05%)

4. Club America: 8 (10.05%)

5. Pachuca: 9 (8.94%)

6. Guadalajara: 10.25 (7.85%)

7. UNAM Pumas: 11 (7.31%)

8. Monterrey: 13 (6.19%)

9. Atlas: 17 (4.73%)

10. Juarez: 34 (2.37%)

11. Puebla: 81 (0.99%)

12. Club Leon: 101 (0.8%)

13. Club Tijuana: 101 (0.8%)

14. Necaxa: 126 (0.64%)

15. Atletico San Luis: 126 (0.64%)

16. Mazatlan FC: 201 (0.4%)

17. Queretaro: 501 (0.16%)

18. Santos Laguna: 751 (0.11%)

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