Paris Saint-Germain vs Chelsea predictions, Mar 11, 2026

Mar 05, 2026 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

UEFA Champions League, on Wednesday,

PSG

Chelsea

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

As Paris Saint-Germain prepares to host Chelsea in the UEFA Champions League on March 11, 2026, both teams enter the match with varying degrees of momentum. PSG has secured victories in 3 of their last 5 matches, showcasing their attacking prowess and familiarity with their home ground. Their ability to control possession and exert pressure through dynamic offensive plays will be crucial in leveraging the home support.

Chelsea, meanwhile, has experienced a tougher period, winning only 2 of their last 5 outings. However, the team remains resilient, known for their solid defensive organization and counter-attacking capabilities. If they can capitalize on any PSG defensive lapses, they may pose a significant threat.

Bookmakers favor PSG with odds of 1.79 for a home win, reflecting their stronger recent form and home advantage, compared to Chelsea’s odds of 4.24. Probability models also give PSG a 54% chance of winning, while assigning lower probabilities for a draw (23.5%) or an away win (22.6%).

As the teams clash, expect a tactical battle where PSG will seek to dominate possession, while Chelsea aims to exploit transitional moments. As always in football, the outcome remains uncertain, making this encounter one to watch closely.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-03-05T02:52:03+00:00.

PSG
52.5%		 Draw
24.2%		 Chelsea
23.3%

Prediction (the most likely score): 2:1

Outrights of UEFA Champions League PSG: 8.26% Chelsea: 3.37%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
bet_at_home 1.82 4.2 4.13
betsson 1.88 3.85 4.05
MarathonBet 1.86 4.07 4.32
WilliamHill 1.8 3.9 4
Pinnacle 1.83 4.03 4.21

Latest Results

28.02.26 Le Havre AC – Paris Saint-Germain – 0:1
25.02.26 Paris Saint-Germain – AS Monaco – 2:2
21.02.26 Paris Saint-Germain – FC Metz – 3:0
17.02.26 AS Monaco – Paris Saint-Germain – 2:3
13.02.26 Stade Rennes – Paris Saint-Germain – 3:1		 04.03.26 Aston Villa – Chelsea – 1:4
01.03.26 Arsenal FC – Chelsea – 2:1
21.02.26 Chelsea – Burnley FC – 1:1
13.02.26 Hull City – Chelsea – 0:4
10.02.26 Chelsea – Leeds United – 2:2

Facts

  • First leg.
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PSG won 3.
  • PSG is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
  • Chelsea has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
  • Chelsea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, PSG is considered a favorite.
  • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, PSG won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.2:1.3).
  • Including home matches between the teams, PSG won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).

    Latest Head To Head

    13.07.25 Chelsea – Paris Saint-Germain – 3:0
    09.03.16 Chelsea – Paris Saint-Germain – 1:2
    16.02.16 Paris Saint-Germain – Chelsea – 2:1
    25.07.15 Paris Saint-Germain – Chelsea – 1:1
    11.03.15 Chelsea – Paris Saint-Germain – 2:2 ET

    Standings

    Draw

    Play Offs

    1/16-finals

    1 Monaco (21) PSG (11) 2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2 Chelsea (6) Bye
    3 Galatasaray (20) Juventus (13) 2 : 3, 5 : 2
    4 Liverpool (3) Bye
    5 Benfica (24) Real Madrid (9) 1 : 2, 0 : 1
    6 Manchester City (8) Bye
    7 Dortmund (17) Atalanta (15) 1 : 4, 2 : 0
    8 Bayern Munich (2) Bye
    9 Qarabag (22) Newcastle (12) 2 : 3, 1 : 6
    10 Barcelona (5) Bye
    11 Club Brugge KV (19) Atl. Madrid (14) 1 : 4, 3 : 3
    12 Tottenham (4) Bye
    13 Bodo/Glimt (23) Inter (10) 2 : 1, 3 : 1
    14 Sporting CP (7) Bye
    15 Olympiacos Piraeus (18) Bayer Leverkusen (16) 0 : 0, 0 : 2
    16 Arsenal (1) Bye

    1/8-finals

    1 PSG (11) Chelsea (6)
    2 Galatasaray (20) Liverpool (3)
    3 Real Madrid (9) Manchester City (8)
    4 Atalanta (15) Bayern Munich (2)
    5 Newcastle (12) Barcelona (5)
    6 Atl. Madrid (14) Tottenham (4)
    7 Bodo/Glimt (23) Sporting CP (7)
    8 Bayer Leverkusen (16) Arsenal (1)

    Quarter-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4
    3 TBD #5 TBD #6
    4 TBD #7 TBD #8

    Semi-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4

    Final

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2

    UEFA Champions League Outrights

    1. Arsenal: 3.65 (23.47%)

    2. Bayern Munich: 6.28 (13.63%)

    3. Barcelona: 7.32 (11.69%)

    4. Manchester City: 8.88 (9.64%)

    5. PSG: 10.36 (8.26%)

    6. Liverpool: 10.56 (8.1%)

    7. Real Madrid: 12.8 (6.69%)

    8. Atl. Madrid: 22 (3.89%)

    9. Chelsea: 25.4 (3.37%)

    10. Newcastle Utd: 29.2 (2.93%)

    11. Tottenham: 30.8 (2.78%)

    12. Sporting CP: 57.4 (1.49%)

    13. Bodo/Glimt: 61.4 (1.39%)

    14. Bayer Leverkusen: 88.2 (0.97%)

    15. Atalanta: 100.2 (0.85%)

    16. Galatasaray: 100.2 (0.85%)

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