Peñarol de Montevideo vs Corinthians predictions, May 21, 2026

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In the upcoming Copa Libertadores clash on May 21, 2026, Peñarol de Montevideo hosts Corinthians in what promises to be a gripping encounter. Peñarol, despite the advantage of playing at home, comes into this match struggling with only one victory in their last five outings. This recent form may dampen their confidence as they aim to re-establish themselves in the tournament.

On the other hand, Corinthians arrive in favorable condition, having secured three wins in their past five matches. This form indicates a solid tactical execution, showcasing their ability to adapt and capitalize on scoring opportunities. The visitors will likely look to exploit Peñarol’s defensive weaknesses, keeping pressure on the home side throughout the match.

Bookmakers have set the odds at 2.64 for a home win and 2.83 for an away victory, reflecting a close contest ahead. With a model prediction indicating a 38.1% chance for Peñarol to win, alongside a 32.8% likelihood for a draw and a 31.4% chance for a Corinthians triumph, the match could go in any direction. Fans and analysts alike will be keenly watching to see which team can turn their recent form into a critical victory in this prestigious tournament.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-05-15T20:52:02+00:00.

Peñarol 35.8%

Draw 30.6%

Corinthians 33.6%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

Outrights of Copa Libertadores Corinthians: 8.02% Penarol: 1.03%

Watch and Bet Peñarol – Corinthians available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

	1	X	2
	2.69	3.03	2.91
	2.62	2.98	2.82
	2.69	3.11	2.87	Watch and Bet
	2.63	2.9	2.7
	2.64	3.07	2.83

Latest Results

11.05.26 Cerro Largo – Peñarol de Montevideo – 2:3 07.05.26 CA Platense – Peñarol de Montevideo – 1:1 04.05.26 Peñarol de Montevideo – Defensor Sporting – 1:1 30.04.26 Corinthians – Peñarol de Montevideo – 2:0 26.04.26 Montevideo Wanderers – Peñarol de Montevideo – 1:0

14.05.26 Corinthians – Barra Santa Catarina – 1:0 10.05.26 Corinthians – São Paulo FC – 3:2 06.05.26 Independiente Santa Fe – Corinthians – 1:1 03.05.26 Mirassol – Corinthians – 2:1 30.04.26 Corinthians – Peñarol de Montevideo – 2:0

Facts

Peñarol has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Corinthians is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Corinthians may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Peñarol has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Peñarol won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Latest Head To Head

30.04.26 Corinthians – Peñarol de Montevideo – 2:0 13.05.21 Peñarol de Montevideo – Corinthians – 4:0 29.04.21 Corinthians – Peñarol de Montevideo – 0:2

Standings

Group Stage

Group A

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Flamengo RJ	3	2	1	0	7:2	5	7
2	Estudiantes L.P	4	1	3	0	5:4	1	6
3	Ind. Medellin	3	1	1	1	3:5	-2	4
4	Cusco	4	0	1	3	2:6	-4	1

Group B

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Deportes Tolima	4	2	1	1	7:3	4	7
2	Coquimbo	4	2	1	1	5:5	0	7
3	U. de Deportes	4	1	1	2	5:6	-1	4
4	Nacional	4	1	1	2	6:9	-3	4

Group C

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. Rivadavia ✔	4	3	1	0	8:3	5	10
2	Bolivar	4	1	2	1	4:3	1	5
3	La Guaira	4	0	3	1	3:6	-3	3
4	Fluminense	4	0	2	2	2:5	-3	2

Group D

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	U. Catolica	4	2	1	1	5:4	1	7
2	Cruzeiro	4	2	1	1	3:2	1	7
3	Boca Juniors	4	2	0	2	5:3	2	6
4	Barcelona SC	4	1	0	3	2:6	-4	3

Group E

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Corinthians	4	3	1	0	7:1	6	10
2	Platense	4	2	1	1	5:5	0	7
3	Santa Fe	4	0	2	2	3:6	-3	2
4	Penarol	4	0	2	2	3:6	-3	2

Group F

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Palmeiras	4	2	2	0	6:3	3	8
2	Cerro Porteno	4	2	1	1	3:2	1	7
3	Sporting Cristal	4	2	0	2	4:4	0	6
4	Junior	4	0	1	3	1:5	-4	1

Group G

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Mirassol	4	3	0	1	5:2	3	9
2	Lanus	4	2	0	2	2:5	-3	6
3	LDU Quito	4	2	0	2	3:3	0	6
4	Always Ready	4	1	0	3	4:4	0	3

Group H

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Rosario Central	4	3	1	0	5:0	5	10
2	Ind. del Valle	4	2	1	1	6:5	1	7
3	Universidad Central	4	2	0	2	6:7	-1	6
4	Libertad Asuncion	4	0	0	4	3:8	-5	0

Copa Libertadores Outrights

1. Flamengo RJ: 3.75 (19.61%)

2. Palmeiras: 5 (14.71%)

3. Corinthians: 9.17 (8.02%)

4. Cruzeiro: 9.17 (8.02%)

5. Rosario Central: 12.5 (5.88%)

6. Boca Juniors: 12.5 (5.88%)

7. Ind. Rivadavia: 18.33 (4.01%)

8. Fluminense: 18.33 (4.01%)

9. Estudiantes L.P.: 33.33 (2.21%)

10. Mirassol: 33.33 (2.21%)

11. Independiente del Valle: 34.17 (2.15%)

12. Deportes Tolima: 40.83 (1.8%)

13. LDU Quito: 40.83 (1.8%)

14. Cerro Porteno: 40.83 (1.8%)

15. U. Catolica: 41 (1.79%)

16. Platense: 42.5 (1.73%)

17. Junior: 50 (1.47%)

18. Junior W: 51 (1.44%)

19. Coquimbo: 51.83 (1.42%)

20. Club Nacional: 52 (1.41%)

21. Ind. Medellin: 54.33 (1.35%)

22. Lanus: 54.33 (1.35%)

23. Bolivar: 54.33 (1.35%)

24. Sporting Cristal: 71.17 (1.03%)

25. Universitario de Deportes: 71.17 (1.03%)

26. Penarol: 71.17 (1.03%)

27. Barcelona SC: 191.83 (0.38%)

28. Santa Fe: 233.5 (0.31%)

29. Always Ready: 316.83 (0.23%)

30. Deportivo La Guaira: 316.83 (0.23%)

31. Universidad Central: 316.83 (0.23%)

32. Cusco: 983.5 (0.07%)

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