Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Diego Padres predictions, May 03, 2025

May 03, 2025 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

MLB, on Saturday,

Pittsburgh

Padres

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates will be looking to improve upon their recent form as they take on the San Diego Padres at home. With only one win in their last five matches, the Pirates will be eager to turn things around and secure a victory in front of their home crowd. On the other hand, the Padres have managed to win two of their last five matches, showing some signs of promise.

The bookmakers have the odds slightly in favor of the away team, indicating that the Padres are seen as the stronger team heading into this match. However, our model prediction suggests that it will be a closely contested game, with a slight advantage given to the away team.

Overall, this match is expected to be an exciting and competitive one, with both teams looking to secure a crucial victory. Fans can expect a thrilling contest between these two talented squads.

Pittsburgh 46.5% San Diego 53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pittsburgh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+46.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pittsburgh’s performance.

San Diego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+53.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Diego’s recent form is better than expected.

Outrights of MLB San Diego Padres: 3.92% Pittsburgh Pirates: 0.33%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
Best for US Customers 2.05 1.78

Latest Results

01.05.25 Pittsburgh Pirates – Chicago Cubs – 3:8
30.04.25 Pittsburgh Pirates – Chicago Cubs – 4:3
29.04.25 Pittsburgh Pirates – Chicago Cubs – 0:9
27.04.25 Los Angeles Dodgers – Pittsburgh Pirates – 9:2
26.04.25 Los Angeles Dodgers – Pittsburgh Pirates – 8:4		 30.04.25 San Diego Padres – San Francisco Giants – 5:3
29.04.25 San Diego Padres – San Francisco Giants – 7:4
27.04.25 San Diego Padres – Tampa Bay Rays – 2:4
26.04.25 San Diego Padres – Tampa Bay Rays – 1:4
25.04.25 San Diego Padres – Tampa Bay Rays – 0:1

Facts

  • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 3).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 0.
  • Pittsburgh is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • San Diego has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
  • Pittsburgh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • Recently, San Diego has had a series of home games.
  • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 75:88. (average 3.8:4.4).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Pittsburgh won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 47:49. (average 5.2:5.4).

    Latest Head To Head

    14.08.24 San Diego Padres – Pittsburgh Pirates – 8:2
    13.08.24 San Diego Padres – Pittsburgh Pirates – 3:0
    12.08.24 San Diego Padres – Pittsburgh Pirates – 2:1
    08.08.24 Pittsburgh Pirates – San Diego Padres – 6:7
    07.08.24 Pittsburgh Pirates – San Diego Padres – 8:9

    Standings

    Main

    American League

    Pl W L PCT
    1 Detroit Tigers 32 20 12 155:109 0.625
    2 Seattle Mariners 30 18 12 152:129 0.600
    3 New York Yankees 31 18 13 177:125 0.581
    4 Cleveland Guardians 31 18 13 118:142 0.581
    5 Houston Astros 30 16 14 117:104 0.533
    6 Kansas City Royals 32 17 15 105:110 0.531
    7 Athletics 32 17 15 135:160 0.531
    8 Boston Red Sox 33 17 16 166:152 0.515
    9 Texas Rangers 32 16 16 103:115 0.500
    10 Toronto Blue Jays 31 15 16 108:140 0.484
    11 Tampa Bay Rays 31 14 17 121:118 0.452
    12 Minnesota Twins 32 13 19 123:119 0.406
    13 Los Angeles Angels 30 12 18 110:157 0.400
    14 Baltimore Orioles 30 12 18 120:169 0.400
    15 Chicago White Sox 31 8 23 109:133 0.258

    National League

    Pl W L PCT
    1 Los Angeles Dodgers 31 21 10 167:132 0.677
    2 New York Mets 32 21 11 150:98 0.656
    3 San Diego Padres 30 19 11 118:90 0.633
    4 Chicago Cubs 32 19 13 192:140 0.594
    5 San Francisco Giants 32 19 13 145:123 0.594
    6 Arizona Diamondbacks 31 17 14 161:151 0.548
    7 Philadelphia Phillies 31 17 14 140:136 0.548
    8 Cincinnati Reds 32 17 15 163:126 0.531
    9 Milwaukee Brewers 32 16 16 159:143 0.500
    10 Atlanta Braves 30 14 16 127:126 0.467
    11 Washington Nationals 32 14 18 135:166 0.438
    12 St.Louis Cardinals 32 14 18 147:145 0.438
    13 Miami Marlins 30 12 18 135:186 0.400
    14 Pittsburgh Pirates 32 12 20 109:147 0.375
    15 Colorado Rockies 31 6 25 100:176 0.194

    MLB Outrights

    1. Los Angeles Dodgers: 3.33 (23.64%)

    2. New York Yankees: 8.9 (8.85%)

    3. New York Mets: 9.35 (8.42%)

    4. Philadelphia Phillies: 13.34 (5.9%)

    5. Atlanta Braves: 15.2 (5.18%)

    6. Texas Rangers: 18.1 (4.35%)

    7. Chicago Cubs: 19.2 (4.1%)

    8. Boston Red Sox: 20 (3.94%)

    9. San Diego Padres: 20.08 (3.92%)

    10. Detroit Tigers: 20.4 (3.86%)

    11. Houston Astros: 22.6 (3.48%)

    12. Seattle Mariners: 23.47 (3.35%)

    13. Baltimore Orioles: 27.6 (2.85%)

    14. Arizona Diamondbacks: 30.2 (2.61%)

    15. Cleveland Guardians: 39 (2.02%)

    16. San Francisco Giants: 42.6 (1.85%)

    17. Kansas City Royals: 43.8 (1.8%)

    18. Toronto Blue Jays: 47.6 (1.65%)

    19. Tampa Bay Rays: 50.8 (1.55%)

    20. Minnesota Twins: 56 (1.41%)

    21. Milwaukee Brewers: 56.8 (1.39%)

    22. Cincinnati Reds: 69.6 (1.13%)

    23. Los Angeles Angels: 124.81 (0.63%)

    24. St.Louis Cardinals: 141.81 (0.56%)

    25. Athletics: 155.81 (0.51%)

    26. Pittsburgh Pirates: 235.81 (0.33%)

    27. Washington Nationals: 300.82 (0.26%)

    28. Miami Marlins: 416.47 (0.19%)

    29. Chicago White Sox: 502.47 (0.16%)

    30. Colorado Rockies: 650.83 (0.12%)

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