Plymouth Argyle vs Burnley predictions, Jan 22, 2025

English League Championship, on Wednesday,

Plymouth

Burnley

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

### Match Preview: Plymouth Argyle vs. Burnley FC

**Date:** January 22, 2025
**Competition:** English League Championship
**Venue:** Home Park, Plymouth

#### Current Form
– **Plymouth Argyle:**
Plymouth Argyle enters this fixture with a challenging run of form, having won just 1 of their last 5 matches. This inconsistent performance has raised concerns regarding their ability to secure vital points as they strive for a stronger position in the league table. The home side will be looking to leverage their home advantage to turn things around and reinstate confidence among their squad and supporters.

– **Burnley FC:**
In contrast, Burnley FC has displayed more promising form recently, securing 2 victories in their last 5 outings. With a solid run of performances, Burnley will aim to build on this momentum and capitalize on their current confidence to take home three points from the trip to Plymouth.

#### Head-to-Head and Context
Historically, encounters between these teams can often be closely contested, and with the current league dynamics, both clubs will be eager to clinch crucial points. Plymouth, sitting lower in the standings, will be desperate to reach a turning point in their campaign, while Burnley is looking to maintain their push for promotion.

#### Betting Odds
Bookmakers have priced Plymouth Argyle at 6.0 to win, suggesting they are viewed as underdogs in this fixture. Meanwhile, Burnley is heavily favored at 1.53, underlining their status as the likely winners in the eyes of bookmakers. The odds indicate a low expectation for a draw, reflecting the perceived disparities in form and performance.

#### Probability Estimations
According to ML estimations:
– Plymouth Argyle win: 15.3%
– Draw: 22.9%
– Burnley FC win: 62.4%

This statistical outlook strongly favors Burnley to secure the victory, in alignment with the odds provided by bookmakers.

#### Predicted Outcome
The most likely result, as suggested by bookmakers, is a narrow 0:1 victory in favor of Burnley. Given their better recent form and current confidence, Burnley will aim to exploit any defensive vulnerabilities shown by Plymouth Argyle.

#### Key Players to Watch
– **Plymouth Argyle:** Look out for their key playmaker in midfield, who will be vital in creating chances and supporting the attack.
– **Burnley FC:** Their strikers have been in good form lately; watch for their pace and finishing ability, which could prove decisive in breaking down Plymouth’s defense.

#### Conclusion
This Championship clash promises to be an intriguing encounter as Plymouth Argyle seeks to turn around their fortunes at home against a buoyant Burnley side hoping to solidify their grasp on a promotion spot. How both teams approach this match could provide insights into their respective ambitions for the remainder of the season.

Plymouth 15.6% Draw 23.4% Burnley 61.1%

Prediction (the most likely score): 0:1

Outrights of English League Championship Burnley: 15.46% Plymouth: 0.14%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
Best for US Customers 6 4 1.53

Latest Results

14.01.25 Plymouth Argyle – Oxford United – 1:1
11.01.25 Brentford FC – Plymouth Argyle – 0:1
04.01.25 Stoke City – Plymouth Argyle – 0:0
01.01.25 Plymouth Argyle – Bristol City – 2:2
29.12.24 Oxford United – Plymouth Argyle – 2:0
17.01.25 Burnley FC – Sunderland AFC – 0:0
11.01.25 Reading – Burnley FC – 1:3 ET
04.01.25 Blackburn Rovers – Burnley FC – 0:1
01.01.25 Burnley FC – Stoke City – 0:0
29.12.24 Middlesbrough FC – Burnley FC – 0:0

Facts

  • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
  • Recent matches Plymouth is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins – 1).
  • Burnley is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins – 2).
  • Plymouth could have advantage in physics – more days for rest in last days.
  • In this match Burnley is a favorite.
  • Last 2 head-to-head matches Plymouth won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).

    Latest Head To Head

    01.10.24 Burnley FC – Plymouth Argyle – 1:0
    28.08.12 Burnley FC – Plymouth Argyle – 2:1 pen.

    Standings

    2024/25

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Leeds 26 15 8 3 48:19 29 53
    2 Burnley 27 14 11 2 31:9 22 53
    3 Sheffield Utd 26 16 6 4 36:17 19 52
    4 Sunderland 27 14 9 4 39:22 17 51
    5 Blackburn 26 12 6 8 31:23 8 42
    6 Middlesbrough 26 11 8 7 43:32 11 41
    7 West Brom 26 9 13 4 32:21 11 40
    8 Watford 26 11 5 10 36:37 -1 38
    9 Bristol City 26 9 10 7 33:30 3 37
    10 Sheffield Wed 26 10 7 9 38:40 -2 37
    11 Norwich 26 9 9 8 43:37 6 36
    12 Swansea 26 9 7 10 30:30 0 34
    13 QPR 26 7 11 8 29:34 -5 32
    14 Millwall 25 7 9 9 24:23 1 30
    15 Preston 26 6 12 8 28:34 -6 30
    16 Coventry 26 7 8 11 34:37 -3 29
    17 Oxford Utd 26 7 8 11 29:41 -12 29
    18 Derby 26 7 6 13 31:35 -4 27
    19 Stoke 26 6 9 11 24:32 -8 27
    20 Luton 26 7 4 15 27:44 -17 25
    21 Cardiff 26 5 9 12 26:41 -15 24
    22 Hull 26 5 8 13 25:36 -11 23
    23 Portsmouth 25 5 8 12 30:44 -14 23
    24 Plymouth 26 4 9 13 25:54 -29 21

    English League Championship Outrights

    1. Leeds: 1.49 (57.18%)

    2. Sheffield Utd: 4.87 (17.47%)

    3. Burnley: 5.5 (15.46%)

    4. Sunderland: 15.67 (5.43%)

    5. Middlesbrough: 87.33 (0.97%)

    6. West Brom: 150.67 (0.56%)

    7. Blackburn: 267.33 (0.32%)

    8. Norwich: 375.67 (0.23%)

    9. Coventry: 384 (0.22%)

    10. Sheffield Wed: 417.33 (0.2%)

    11. Bristol City: 417.33 (0.2%)

    12. Millwall: 484 (0.18%)

    13. Watford: 500.67 (0.17%)

    14. Swansea: 500.67 (0.17%)

    15. Portsmouth: 625.5 (0.14%)

    16. Plymouth: 625.5 (0.14%)

    17. Oxford Utd: 625.5 (0.14%)

    18. QPR: 625.5 (0.14%)

    19. Derby: 667.33 (0.13%)

    20. Preston: 750.67 (0.11%)

    21. Luton: 750.67 (0.11%)

    22. Hull City: 750.67 (0.11%)

    23. Stoke City: 750.67 (0.11%)

    24. Cardiff: 750.67 (0.11%)

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