Porto vs Benfica predictions, Apr 06, 2025

Mar 31, 2025 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

Liga Portugal, on Sunday,

Porto

Benfica

Score, Highlights

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The upcoming match between FC Porto and SL Benfica in the Liga Portugal is expected to be a closely contested game based on the recent form of both teams. FC Porto has won 2 out of their last 5 matches, while SL Benfica has won 3 out of their last 5 matches.

The bookmakers have provided close coefficients for this match, indicating that it could go either way. FC Porto is slightly favored with a coefficient of 2.56, while SL Benfica has a coefficient of 2.77.

According to our ML estimation, the probability of FC Porto winning is 37.1%, a draw is 31.8%, and SL Benfica winning is 32.2%. This suggests that the match could go either way and both teams have a good chance of coming out on top.

Overall, this match is expected to be a thrilling and competitive encounter between two top teams in the league. Fans can expect an exciting match with both teams giving their all to secure the victory.

Porto 35.9% Draw 29.6% Benfica 34.5%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

Outrights of Liga Portugal Benfica: 45.43% FC Porto: 3.56%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
MarathonBet 2.64 3.28 2.69
Pinnacle 2.61 3.27 2.66
Best for US Customers 2.56 2.99 2.77

Latest Results

30.03.25 Estoril Praia – FC Porto – 1:2
15.03.25 FC Porto – AVS Futebol SAD – 2:0
08.03.25 SC Braga – FC Porto – 1:0
01.03.25 FC Arouca – FC Porto – 0:2
24.02.25 FC Porto – Vitoria Guimarães – 1:1		 28.03.25 Gil Vicente – SL Benfica – 0:3
16.03.25 Rio Ave FC – SL Benfica – 2:3
11.03.25 FC Barcelona – SL Benfica – 3:1
08.03.25 SL Benfica – Atletico Nacional – 3:0
05.03.25 SL Benfica – FC Barcelona – 0:1

Facts

  • One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
  • Last 5 head-to-head matches Porto won 2.
  • Porto is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins – 3).
  • Recent matches Benfica is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins – 3).
  • Benfica could have advantage in physics – more days for rest in last days.
  • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
  • Last 20 head-to-head matches Porto won 11 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 31:19 (average 1.6:1).
  • Including matches at home between the teams Porto won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18:7 (average 2:0.8).

    Latest Head To Head

    10.11.24 SL Benfica – FC Porto – 4:1
    03.03.24 FC Porto – SL Benfica – 5:0
    29.09.23 SL Benfica – FC Porto – 1:0
    09.08.23 SL Benfica – FC Porto – 2:0
    07.04.23 SL Benfica – FC Porto – 1:2

    Standings

    2024/25

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Sporting CP 27 20 5 2 73:23 50 65
    2 Benfica 26 20 2 4 62:20 42 62
    3 FC Porto 27 17 5 5 53:21 32 56
    4 Braga 27 17 5 5 44:23 21 56
    5 Santa Clara 27 14 4 9 28:25 3 46
    6 Vitoria Guimaraes 27 10 12 5 38:29 9 42
    7 Casa Pia 27 11 6 10 34:36 -2 39
    8 Famalicao 27 9 10 8 33:30 3 37
    9 Estoril 27 9 9 9 35:43 -8 36
    10 Moreirense 27 8 8 11 33:39 -6 32
    11 Nacional 27 8 5 14 26:37 -11 29
    12 Rio Ave 27 7 8 12 30:45 -15 29
    13 Arouca 27 7 8 12 26:41 -15 29
    14 Gil Vicente 26 5 8 13 24:40 -16 23
    15 Estrela 27 5 8 14 21:41 -20 23
    16 AFS 27 4 11 12 21:41 -20 23
    17 SC Farense 26 3 8 15 17:37 -20 17
    18 Boavista 26 3 6 17 16:43 -27 15

    Liga Portugal Outrights

    1. Sporting Lisbon: 1.82 (50.06%)

    2. Benfica: 2 (45.43%)

    3. FC Porto: 25.5 (3.56%)

    4. Braga: 100.5 (0.9%)

    5. Santa Clara: 2375.5 (0.04%)

    Porto – Benfica and other Liga Portugal events on our partner.

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