Portsmouth vs Derby County predictions, Apr 12, 2025

Apr 06, 2025 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

English League Championship, on Saturday,

Portsmouth

Derby

Score, Highlights

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The upcoming match between Portsmouth and Derby County in the English League Championship is set to be an exciting one. Portsmouth FC, playing at home, have won 2 out of their last 5 matches, while Derby County has been in great form, winning 4 out of their last 5 matches.

The Bookmakers’ coefficients indicate a close match, with Portsmouth slightly favored to win with odds of 2.02 compared to Derby County’s odds of 3.63. Our ML estimation gives Portsmouth a 48.4% chance of winning, a draw at 28.3%, and Derby County a 25.1% chance of winning.

The most likely result according to bookmakers is a 1-1 draw. Both teams will be looking to secure a win and continue their positive momentum in the league. It promises to be a closely contested match with both teams giving it their all on the pitch. Fans can expect an exciting and competitive game between Portsmouth and Derby County.

Portsmouth 46.9% Draw 27.2% Derby 25.9%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
Bwin 2.05 3.4 3.6
betsson 1.99 3.57 3.72
MarathonBet 2.06 3.46 3.61
Pinnacle 2.01 3.51 3.54
Best for US Customers 1.99 3.57 3.72

Latest Results

05.04.25 Millwall – Portsmouth FC – 2:1
29.03.25 Portsmouth FC – Blackburn Rovers – 1:0
15.03.25 Preston North End – Portsmouth FC – 2:1
12.03.25 Portsmouth FC – Plymouth Argyle – 1:2
09.03.25 Portsmouth FC – Leeds United – 1:0		 05.04.25 Swansea City – Derby County – 1:0
02.04.25 Derby County – Preston North End – 2:0
15.03.25 Plymouth Argyle – Derby County – 2:3
11.03.25 Derby County – Coventry City – 2:0
08.03.25 Derby County – Blackburn Rovers – 2:1

Facts

  • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 17 and 21).
  • Last 5 head-to-head matches Portsmouth won 0.
  • Recent matches Portsmouth is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins – 2).
  • Derby is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins – 4).
  • Portsmouth will have a small advantage in this match.
  • Last 7 head-to-head matches Portsmouth won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:11 (average 1:1.6).
  • Including matches at home between the teams Portsmouth won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.3:1.3).

    Latest Head To Head

    13.12.24 Derby County – Portsmouth FC – 4:0
    02.04.24 Portsmouth FC – Derby County – 2:2
    16.09.23 Derby County – Portsmouth FC – 1:1
    29.04.23 Derby County – Portsmouth FC – 1:1
    18.11.22 Portsmouth FC – Derby County – 0:0

    Standings

    2024/25

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Burnley 40 23 15 2 55:12 43 84
    2 Sheffield Utd 40 26 7 7 56:30 26 83
    3 Leeds 40 23 13 4 79:28 51 82
    4 Sunderland 40 21 12 7 57:37 20 75
    5 Middlesbrough 40 17 9 14 61:49 12 60
    6 Bristol City 40 15 15 10 51:43 8 60
    7 Coventry 40 17 8 15 57:53 4 59
    8 West Brom 40 13 18 9 48:36 12 57
    9 Millwall 40 14 12 14 39:41 -2 54
    10 Watford 40 15 8 17 48:53 -5 53
    11 Norwich 40 13 13 14 62:56 6 52
    12 Blackburn 40 15 7 18 42:43 -1 52
    13 Sheffield Wed 40 14 10 16 54:61 -7 52
    14 Preston 40 10 18 12 40:47 -7 48
    15 Swansea 40 13 9 18 41:51 -10 48
    16 QPR 40 11 13 16 45:53 -8 46
    17 Portsmouth 40 12 9 19 48:63 -15 45
    18 Oxford Utd 40 11 12 17 41:57 -16 45
    19 Hull 40 11 11 18 40:48 -8 44
    20 Stoke 40 10 13 17 41:53 -12 43
    21 Derby 40 11 8 21 42:52 -10 41
    22 Cardiff 40 9 14 17 43:63 -20 41
    23 Luton 40 10 9 21 36:61 -25 39
    24 Plymouth 40 8 13 19 42:78 -36 37

    English League Championship Outrights

    1. Leeds: 1.92 (59.05%)

    2. Sheffield Utd: 4.88 (23.18%)

    3. Burnley: 6.58 (17.21%)

    4. Sunderland: 200.67 (0.56%)

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