Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough predictions, Jan 18, 2025

English League Championship, on Saturday,

Portsmouth

Middlesbrough

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

### Match Preview: Portsmouth FC vs. Middlesbrough FC

**Date:** January 18, 2025
**Competition:** English League Championship
**Venue:** Fratton Park, Portsmouth

#### Team Forms
**Portsmouth FC:**
Portsmouth comes into this match having won 2 out of their last 5 fixtures. Their recent performances show a mixture of potential, though they have struggled to maintain consistency in their results. Playing at home, Portsmouth will aim to capitalize on their fan support to boost their chances against a tough opponent.

**Middlesbrough FC:**
Middlesbrough, in contrast, have found it challenging recently, winning only 1 of their last 5 matches. Their form on the road has been particularly worrisome, and they will be looking for improvements to regain momentum in the league. With a single victory during this stretch, Middlesbrough needs to address their performance if they want to climb up the Championship table.

#### Head-to-Head
The historical meetings between Portsmouth and Middlesbrough indicate a competitive rivalry with close matches. Both teams are familiar with each other’s styles, and this familiarity often leads to tightly contested encounters.

#### Bookmakers’ Odds and Predictions
According to bookmakers, the odds for this match are heavily favors Middlesbrough (4.41 for Portsmouth and 1.74 for Middlesbrough), reflecting the expectation of an away win. This suggests that Middlesbrough is seen as the more likely team to secure all three points in this encounter.

#### Machine Learning Estimation of Probabilities
The ML estimation of match outcomes indicates a probability distribution of 20.9% for a Portsmouth win, 23.5% for a draw, and 55.8% for a Middlesbrough victory. This aligns with the bookmakers’ perspective, indicating that Middlesbrough is considered the favorite.

#### Most Likely Result Prediction
The predicted scoreline according to the bookmakers is 1:2 in favor of Middlesbrough, which demonstrates expectations of an exciting match that might see both teams finding the back of the net.

#### Conclusion
As Portsmouth prepares to host Middlesbrough, the match is critical for both teams—Portsmouth will seek to improve their standing at home, while Middlesbrough looks to exploit their favored status and navigate out of the slump in form. Fans can expect a fiercely competitive match at Fratton Park. With the stakes high, both teams will need to deliver their best performances to secure points in this pivotal Championship fixture.

Portsmouth 21.1% Draw 24.1% Middlesbrough 54.8%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:2

Outrights of English League Championship Middlesbrough: 0.89% Portsmouth: 0.04%

Watch Watch and Bet Portsmouth – Middlesbrough available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

1 X 2
Bwin 4.4 3.9 1.73
betsson 4.69 3.95 1.71
MarathonBet 4.29 4.05 1.75 Watch Watch and Bet
WilliamHill 4.5 3.75 1.73
Pinnacle 4.3 4.03 1.71
Best for US Customers 4.69 3.95 1.71

Latest Results

10.01.25 Wycombe Wanderers – Portsmouth FC – 2:0
05.01.25 Sunderland AFC – Portsmouth FC – 1:0
01.01.25 Portsmouth FC – Swansea City – 4:0
29.12.24 Bristol City – Portsmouth FC – 3:0
26.12.24 Watford FC – Portsmouth FC – 2:1
11.01.25 Middlesbrough FC – Blackburn Rovers – 0:1
04.01.25 Middlesbrough FC – Cardiff City – 1:1
01.01.25 Hull City – Middlesbrough FC – 0:1
29.12.24 Middlesbrough FC – Burnley FC – 0:0
26.12.24 Middlesbrough FC – Sheffield Wednesday – 3:3

Facts

  • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 21 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
  • Portsmouth is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins – 1).
  • Recent matches Middlesbrough is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins – 1).
  • Middlesbrough could have problems with physics compare with it opponent – last days they played more matches than their opponents.
  • Recently Portsmouth have a series of guest games.
  • Recently Middlesbrough have a series of home games.
  • In this match Middlesbrough is a favorite.
  • Last 2 head-to-head matches Portsmouth won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1.5:2.5).
  • Including matches at home between the teams Portsmouth won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

    Latest Head To Head

    24.08.24 Middlesbrough FC – Portsmouth FC – 2:2
    03.03.12 Portsmouth FC – Middlesbrough FC – 1:3

    Standings

    2024/25

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Leeds 26 15 8 3 48:19 29 53
    2 Burnley 26 14 10 2 31:9 22 52
    3 Sheffield Utd 26 16 6 4 36:17 19 52
    4 Sunderland 26 14 8 4 39:22 17 50
    5 Middlesbrough 26 11 8 7 43:32 11 41
    6 West Brom 26 9 13 4 32:21 11 40
    7 Blackburn 25 11 6 8 28:23 5 39
    8 Bristol City 26 9 10 7 33:30 3 37
    9 Watford 25 11 4 10 35:36 -1 37
    10 Sheffield Wed 26 10 7 9 38:40 -2 37
    11 Norwich 26 9 9 8 43:37 6 36
    12 Swansea 26 9 7 10 30:30 0 34
    13 QPR 26 7 11 8 29:34 -5 32
    14 Millwall 25 7 9 9 24:23 1 30
    15 Preston 26 6 12 8 28:34 -6 30
    16 Coventry 26 7 8 11 34:37 -3 29
    17 Oxford Utd 25 7 7 11 28:40 -12 28
    18 Derby 26 7 6 13 31:35 -4 27
    19 Stoke 26 6 9 11 24:32 -8 27
    20 Luton 26 7 4 15 27:44 -17 25
    21 Portsmouth 24 5 8 11 30:41 -11 23
    22 Hull 26 5 8 13 25:36 -11 23
    23 Cardiff 25 5 8 12 25:40 -15 23
    24 Plymouth 25 4 8 13 24:53 -29 20

    English League Championship Outrights

    1. Leeds: 1.5 (56.81%)

    2. Burnley: 4.8 (17.75%)

    3. Sheffield Utd: 5.13 (16.63%)

    4. Sunderland: 16.5 (5.16%)

    5. Middlesbrough: 95.75 (0.89%)

    6. West Brom: 150.75 (0.57%)

    7. Blackburn: 263.25 (0.32%)

    8. Norwich: 407 (0.21%)

    9. Bristol City: 438.25 (0.19%)

    10. Coventry: 475.75 (0.18%)

    11. Sheffield Wed: 500.75 (0.17%)

    12. Watford: 563.25 (0.15%)

    13. Swansea: 563.25 (0.15%)

    14. Millwall: 613.25 (0.14%)

    15. QPR: 750.67 (0.11%)

    16. Preston: 1063.25 (0.08%)

    17. Derby: 1125.75 (0.08%)

    18. Luton: 1188.25 (0.07%)

    19. Stoke City: 1188.25 (0.07%)

    20. Hull City: 1438.25 (0.06%)

    21. Cardiff: 1438.25 (0.06%)

    22. Oxford Utd: 1584 (0.05%)

    23. Portsmouth: 1917.33 (0.04%)

    24. Plymouth: 1917.33 (0.04%)

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