Puebla vs Toluca predictions, Mar 14, 2025

Mar 08, 2025 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

Mexican Liga MX, on Friday,

Puebla

Toluca

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

### Match Preview: Puebla FC vs. Toluca – Liga MX

**Date:** March 14, 2025
**Venue:** Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla, Mexico

#### Overview
This matchup in the Mexican Liga MX features Puebla FC hosting Deportivo Toluca. Both teams come into this match with contrasting recent forms, making this a potentially intriguing encounter for fans.

#### Puebla FC Form
Puebla has struggled in their last five matches, securing only 1 win. Their inconsistency has left them at the lower end of the standings, and they will be looking to turn their fortunes around on home soil. With a home crowd supporting them, they will aim to restore some confidence and gather the necessary momentum for the remainder of the season.

#### Deportivo Toluca Form
In contrast, Toluca enters this fixture on a more positive note, having won 3 out of their last 5 matches. Their strong recent performances could give them the upper hand as they look to solidify their position in the league standings. Toluca has shown resilience and tactical proficiency, which they will likely aim to exploit against a struggling Puebla side.

#### Betting Odds
The bookmakers have placed the odds at 4.73 for a Puebla win, 1.62 for a Toluca victory. These odds reflect the perceived imbalance in form, with Toluca favored to win. The estimated probabilities from machine learning data suggest a likelihood of:

– **Puebla FC Win:** 19.1%
– **Draw:** 21.1%
– **Toluca Win:** 60.5%

The consensus indicates Toluca is expected to perform well, guiding the betting trends towards an away victory.

#### Likely Outcome
The most likely result according to bookmakers is a 1:2 scoreline in favor of Toluca, reflecting their current form and performance levels compared to Puebla.

#### Key Players to Watch
– **Puebla FC:** Look for key players who can create chances and provide leadership on the field. They will need to step up to break Toluca’s defense and push for a much-needed home win.
– **Deportivo Toluca:** Pay attention to their attacking players, who have been in good form lately. Their ability to convert chances will be crucial in determining the match’s outcome.

#### Conclusion
As Puebla strives to overcome their struggles, Deportivo Toluca’s momentum could prove decisive in this matchup. With the home field advantage not guaranteed to define the outcome, fans can expect an exciting clash as both teams vie for critical points in the league.

Puebla 20.4% Draw 21.4% Toluca 58.2%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:2

Outrights of Mexican Liga MX Toluca: 10.36% Puebla: 0.33%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
betsson 4.5 4.5 1.63
MarathonBet 4.73 4.25 1.62 Watch Watch and Bet
Pinnacle 4.74 4.36 1.6
Best for US Customers 4.5 4.5 1.63

Latest Results

07.03.25 Puebla FC – UNAM Pumas – 1:3
02.03.25 Querétaro FC – Puebla FC – 2:0
26.02.25 CF Pachuca – Puebla FC – 2:1
21.02.25 Puebla FC – Club Tijuana – 2:0
15.02.25 Club Atlas – Puebla FC – 3:2		 01.03.25 Club América – Deportivo Toluca – 3:0
26.02.25 Deportivo Toluca – Querétaro FC – 5:0
22.02.25 FC Juárez – Deportivo Toluca – 0:4
15.02.25 Deportivo Toluca – Chivas Guadalajara – 2:1
08.02.25 Club León – Deportivo Toluca – 3:3

Facts

  • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
  • Last 5 head-to-head matches Puebla won 1.
  • Puebla is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins – 1).
  • Toluca is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins – 3).
  • Toluca could have advantage in physics – more days for rest in last days.
  • In this match Toluca is a favorite.
  • Last 20 head-to-head matches Puebla won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 26:29 (average 1.3:1.5).
  • Including matches at home between the teams Puebla won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:9 (average 1.4:1).

    Latest Head To Head

    22.10.24 Deportivo Toluca – Puebla FC – 5:0
    26.01.24 Puebla FC – Deportivo Toluca – 1:1
    31.10.23 Deportivo Toluca – Puebla FC – 0:1
    07.04.23 Puebla FC – Deportivo Toluca – 1:2
    02.08.22 Deportivo Toluca – Puebla FC – 1:1

    Standings

    Clausura

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Club Leon 10 8 2 0 18:10 8 26
    2 Club America 10 7 2 1 23:7 16 23
    3 Tigres UANL 11 7 1 3 17:9 8 22
    4 Toluca 10 5 3 2 22:13 9 18
    5 Necaxa 10 6 0 4 22:15 7 18
    6 Cruz Azul 10 5 3 2 14:10 4 18
    7 Pachuca 10 5 2 3 15:13 2 17
    8 Juarez 11 5 2 4 10:15 -5 17
    9 Monterrey 10 4 3 3 20:16 4 15
    10 Guadalajara Chivas 10 4 2 4 13:14 -1 14
    11 UNAM Pumas 11 4 2 5 15:17 -2 14
    12 Mazatlan FC 10 3 3 4 10:12 -2 12
    13 Atlas 10 2 4 4 12:17 -5 10
    14 Queretaro 11 3 1 7 10:18 -8 10
    15 Atl. San Luis 11 3 0 8 12:23 -11 9
    16 Puebla 11 2 2 7 12:17 -5 8
    17 Club Tijuana 10 2 1 7 14:23 -9 7
    18 Santos Laguna 10 1 1 8 9:19 -10 4

    Mexican Liga MX Outrights

    1. Club America: 3 (27.63%)

    2. Club Leon: 6 (13.82%)

    3. Cruz Azul: 7 (11.84%)

    4. Toluca: 8 (10.36%)

    5. Tigres UANL: 9 (9.21%)

    6. Pachuca: 11 (7.54%)

    7. Monterrey: 11 (7.54%)

    8. Necaxa: 17 (4.88%)

    9. Juarez: 34 (2.44%)

    10. Guadalajara Chivas: 41 (2.02%)

    11. UNAM Pumas: 67 (1.24%)

    12. Atlas: 251 (0.33%)

    13. Club Tijuana: 251 (0.33%)

    14. Puebla: 251 (0.33%)

    15. Mazatlan FC: 501 (0.17%)

    16. Queretaro: 501 (0.17%)

    17. Atletico San Luis: 1001 (0.08%)

    18. Santos Laguna: 1001 (0.08%)

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