Raith Rovers vs Greenock Morton predictions, Apr 11, 2026

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As Raith Rovers prepare to host Greenock Morton in the Scottish Football Championship on April 11, 2026, both teams arrive with similar recent form, each winning two of their last five matches. This matchup presents an intriguing tactical battle, with Raith Rovers enjoying the advantage of home soil.

The home side’s ability to control possession and create goal-scoring opportunities will be pivotal, especially as they aim to capitalize on their familiar surroundings at Stark’s Park. Conversely, Greenock Morton will look to leverage their resilience and counter-attacking strategy, which has been effective in recent encounters.

Bookmakers have priced Raith Rovers as favorites, offering odds of 1.92 for a home win, while Greenock Morton stands at 4.03 for an away victory. Statistical analysis suggests a 49.4% probability of a Raith Rovers win, highlighting their slight edge in this fixture. The predicted final score of 1-0 reflects a tightly contested affair that could swing either way due to the ongoing competitive nature of the Championship.

Ultimately, while Raith Rovers appear marginally favored, the outcome remains uncertain, underscoring the unpredictable nature of football.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-04-05T00:52:03+00:00.

Raith 47.7%

Draw 29%

Greenock 23.3%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:0

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Betting Odds

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.28	3.98
	1.92	3.2	4.05
	1.91	3.13	3.9
	1.95	3	3.9
	1.96	3.27	3.94

Latest Results

27.03.26 Raith Rovers – Ayr United – 3:0 24.03.26 Raith Rovers – Partick Thistle – 0:2 21.03.26 Raith Rovers – Airdrieonians FC – 3:1 14.03.26 Dunfermline Athletic – Raith Rovers – 3:0 28.02.26 Ross County – Raith Rovers – 2:0

04.04.26 Dunfermline Athletic – Greenock Morton – 3:1 28.03.26 Greenock Morton – Arbroath – 2:1 21.03.26 Ayr United – Greenock Morton – 0:1 13.03.26 Greenock Morton – Partick Thistle – 1:2 07.03.26 Greenock Morton – St. Johnstone FC – 0:2

Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Raith won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Greenock may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Raith is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Raith won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:23. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Raith won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.5:1.3).

Latest Head To Head

14.02.26 Greenock Morton – Raith Rovers – 0:0 01.11.25 Raith Rovers – Greenock Morton – 1:1 06.09.25 Greenock Morton – Raith Rovers – 0:1 26.04.25 Raith Rovers – Greenock Morton – 1:1 25.03.25 Greenock Morton – Raith Rovers – 3:3

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	St Johnstone	32	18	11	3	58:25	33	65
2	Partick Thistle	32	16	12	4	48:33	15	60
3	Arbroath	32	12	11	9	41:39	2	47
4	Dunfermline	30	12	7	11	45:35	10	43
5	Raith	31	9	9	13	34:34	0	36
6	Ayr	31	7	15	9	35:39	-4	36
7	Queen’s Park	31	8	12	11	33:43	-10	36
8	Morton	32	8	12	12	33:44	-11	36
9	Airdrieonians	31	7	9	15	28:39	-11	30
10	Ross County	32	6	10	16	28:52	-24	28

Scottish Football Championship Outrights

1. St Johnstone: 1.05 (89.97%)

2. Partick: 9.4 (10.03%)

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