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RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund predictions, Feb 21, 2026

Yuriy Borshchenko

German Bundesliga, on Saturday,

Score, Highlights

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As RB Leipzig prepares to host Borussia Dortmund on February 21, 2026, both squads arrive with different recent fortunes. Leipzig has secured two victories in their last five matches, showcasing resilience and tactical adaptability. Their strong attacking play, particularly in transition, often puts pressure on opposing defenses, making home matches critical for their campaign.

On the other hand, Dortmund comes in with three wins from their last five outings, indicating better consistency and form. Their offensive prowess, complemented by quick passing and fluid movement, poses a significant threat, particularly in exploiting spaces left by Leipzig’s high defensive line.

Bookmakers have given Leipzig a slight edge with odds of 2.25 for a home win compared to Dortmund’s 2.87 for an away victory, reflecting the competitive nature of this fixture. According to model predictions, Leipzig has a 44.6% chance of winning, while a draw (25.8%) and an away win (31.5%) present equally plausible outcomes.

Overall, this match promises to deliver an intriguing tactical battle, as both teams aim to capitalize on their strengths and secure valuable points in the Bundesliga. With form trends indicating a closely contested encounter, fans can expect an exciting showdown without any guaranteed outcomes.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-02-14T12:52:02+00:00.

RB Leipzig
42.3%		 Draw
24.9%		 Borussia D
32.8%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

Outrights of German Bundesliga Dortmund: 6.01% RB Leipzig: 0.51%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
2.24 4 2.9
2.28 3.7 2.88
2.32 4 3 Watch and Bet
2.2 3.6 2.8
2.24 3.91 2.86
2.22 3.8 2.9

Latest Results

11.02.26 Bayern Munich – RB Leipzig – 2:0
08.02.26 1. FC Köln – RB Leipzig – 1:2
31.01.26 RB Leipzig – Mainz 05 – 1:2
27.01.26 FC St. Pauli – RB Leipzig – 1:1
24.01.26 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 – RB Leipzig – 0:3		 13.02.26 Borussia Dortmund – Mainz 05 – 4:0
07.02.26 VfL Wolfsburg – Borussia Dortmund – 1:2
01.02.26 Borussia Dortmund – 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 – 3:2
28.01.26 Borussia Dortmund – Inter Milan – 0:2
24.01.26 Union Berlin – Borussia Dortmund – 0:3

Facts

  • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 3.
  • Recent performances by RB Leipzig have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
  • Borussia D is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
  • Recently, RB Leipzig has had a series of away games.
  • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 35:34. (average 1.8:1.7).
  • Including home matches between the teams, RB Leipzig won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.6:1.3).

    Latest Head To Head

    04.10.25 Borussia Dortmund – RB Leipzig – 1:1
    15.03.25 RB Leipzig – Borussia Dortmund – 2:0
    02.11.24 Borussia Dortmund – RB Leipzig – 2:1
    27.04.24 RB Leipzig – Borussia Dortmund – 4:1
    09.12.23 Borussia Dortmund – RB Leipzig – 2:3

    Standings

    2025/26

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Bayern Munich 22 18 3 1 82:19 63 57
    2 Dortmund 22 15 6 1 47:20 27 51
    3 Hoffenheim 22 14 3 5 47:28 19 45
    4 Bayer Leverkusen 21 12 3 6 43:27 16 39
    5 RB Leipzig 21 12 3 6 40:28 12 39
    6 Stuttgart 21 12 3 6 38:28 10 39
    7 Eintracht Frankfurt 22 8 7 7 44:46 -2 31
    8 Freiburg 22 8 6 8 32:36 -4 30
    9 Hamburger SV 21 6 7 8 24:31 -7 25
    10 Union Berlin 22 6 7 9 28:37 -9 25
    11 FC Koln 21 6 5 10 30:34 -4 23
    12 B. Monchengladbach 22 5 7 10 25:37 -12 22
    13 Augsburg 21 6 4 11 24:39 -15 22
    14 Mainz 22 5 6 11 25:37 -12 21
    15 Wolfsburg 21 5 4 12 29:44 -15 19
    16 Werder Bremen 22 4 7 11 22:42 -20 19
    17 St. Pauli 22 4 5 13 20:39 -19 17
    18 Heidenheim 21 3 4 14 19:47 -28 13

    German Bundesliga Outrights

    1. Bayern Munich: 1.03 (89.78%)

    2. Dortmund: 15.33 (6.01%)

    3. Hoffenheim: 92.2 (1%)

    4. VfB Stuttgart: 130.2 (0.71%)

    5. RB Leipzig: 180.2 (0.51%)

    6. Bayer Leverkusen: 180.2 (0.51%)

    7. Freiburg: 580.2 (0.16%)

    8. Eintracht Frankfurt: 580.2 (0.16%)

    9. Werder Bremen: 680.2 (0.14%)

    10. Union Berlin: 680.2 (0.14%)

    11. B. Monchengladbach: 680.2 (0.14%)

    12. 1. FC Koln: 680.2 (0.14%)

    13. Hamburger: 680.2 (0.14%)

    14. Wolfsburg: 880.2 (0.1%)

    15. Augsburg: 980.2 (0.09%)

    16. Mainz: 980.2 (0.09%)

    17. Heidenheim: 980.2 (0.09%)

    18. St. Pauli: 980.2 (0.09%)

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