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RB Leipzig vs St. Pauli predictions, May 09, 2026

Yuriy Borshchenko

German Bundesliga, on Saturday,

Score, Highlights

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On May 9, 2026, RB Leipzig welcomes FC St. Pauli to their home ground in a Bundesliga clash that highlights a stark contrast in recent form. RB Leipzig enters this match with an impressive track record, having secured victories in all of their last five matches. This run has not only solidified their position in the league but has also showcased their tactical prowess, characterized by a strong attacking line and a disciplined defensive setup.

Conversely, FC St. Pauli has struggled significantly, failing to secure a win in their last five outings. Their recent performances have been marred by inconsistent play, leaving them vulnerable against more formidable opponents. With bookmakers setting the odds at 1.43 for a Leipzig victory compared to 6.75 for St. Pauli, the expectation for a home win is palpable.

Analytical predictions suggest a 69.7% probability for a Leipzig win, with a projected final score of 2-0 reflecting their dominant form. While Leipzig is favorably positioned, the unpredictability of football means that St. Pauli cannot be entirely discounted. Fans can expect an engaging contest as Leipzig aims to continue their winning streak while St. Pauli seeks to turn their fortunes around.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-05-02T23:52:02+00:00.

RB Leipzig
66.2%		 Draw
19.9%		 St. Pauli
13.9%

Prediction (the most likely score): 2:1

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
1.44 4.8 6.5
1.47 5 6.72
1.43 4.7 7.4
1.46 5.18 7.21 Watch and Bet
1.4 4.6 6.5
1.42 4.85 6.96

Latest Results

02.05.26 Bayer Leverkusen – RB Leipzig – 4:1
24.04.26 RB Leipzig – Union Berlin – 3:1
18.04.26 Eintracht Frankfurt – RB Leipzig – 1:3
11.04.26 RB Leipzig – Borussia Mönchengladbach – 1:0
04.04.26 Werder Bremen – RB Leipzig – 1:2		 25.04.26 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 – FC St. Pauli – 2:0
17.04.26 FC St. Pauli – 1. FC Köln – 1:1
11.04.26 FC St. Pauli – Bayern Munich – 0:5
05.04.26 Union Berlin – FC St. Pauli – 1:1
22.03.26 FC St. Pauli – SC Freiburg – 1:2

Facts

  • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation)).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 2.
  • RB Leipzig is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
  • St. Pauli is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
  • RB Leipzig may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, RB Leipzig is the undeniable favorite.
  • We predict that RB Leipzig will win today’s game, with odds of 1.44.
  • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.4:0.9).
  • Including home matches between the teams, RB Leipzig won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 2.5:1).

    Latest Head To Head

    27.01.26 FC St. Pauli – RB Leipzig – 1:1
    09.02.25 RB Leipzig – FC St. Pauli – 2:0
    29.10.24 RB Leipzig – FC St. Pauli – 4:2
    22.09.24 FC St. Pauli – RB Leipzig – 0:0
    12.02.16 FC St. Pauli – RB Leipzig – 1:0

    Standings

    2025/26

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Bayern Munich ✔ 32 26 5 1 116:35 81 83
    2 Dortmund 31 20 7 4 65:31 34 67
    3 RB Leipzig 32 19 5 8 63:42 21 62
    4 Bayer Leverkusen 32 17 7 8 66:43 23 58
    5 Stuttgart 32 17 7 8 66:46 20 58
    6 Hoffenheim 32 17 7 8 64:48 16 58
    7 Eintracht Frankfurt 32 11 10 11 57:60 -3 43
    8 Freiburg 31 12 7 12 44:52 -8 43
    9 Augsburg 32 11 7 14 42:56 -14 40
    10 Mainz 31 8 10 13 39:49 -10 34
    11 Hamburger SV 32 8 10 14 36:51 -15 34
    12 Union Berlin 32 8 9 15 37:57 -20 33
    13 FC Koln 32 7 11 14 47:55 -8 32
    14 B. Monchengladbach 31 7 11 13 36:50 -14 32
    15 Werder Bremen 32 8 8 16 37:57 -20 32
    16 St. Pauli 31 6 8 17 26:53 -27 26
    17 Wolfsburg 31 6 7 18 41:66 -25 25
    18 Heidenheim 32 5 8 19 38:69 -31 23

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