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Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano predictions, Feb 01, 2026

Yuriy Borshchenko

Spanish LaLiga, on Sunday,

Score, Highlights

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As Real Madrid prepares to host Rayo Vallecano on February 1, 2026, they enter this LaLiga clash with the advantage of recent form. Real Madrid has secured victories in 3 of their last 5 matches, showcasing their offensive prowess and tactical discipline. With a home-field advantage at the Santiago Bernabéu, they will look to leverage their attacking strength and control the midfield to dominate possession.

On the other hand, Rayo Vallecano has seen mixed results, winning 2 of their last 5 outings. They will aim to employ a well-organized defensive strategy, looking to exploit counter-attacking opportunities on the break. While they possess the capability to challenge top teams, their recent form suggests an uphill battle against a formidable Real Madrid side.

According to bookmakers, Real Madrid is heavily favored with odds of 1.33 for a home win, while Rayo Vallecano faces steep odds of 8.93 for an away victory. Our model indicates a 74.3% probability of a home win, pointing to Real Madrid’s strong likelihood of securing all three points. However, with football’s unpredictable nature, fans can expect a competitive encounter despite the statistical advantage for the home side.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-01-26T00:52:02+00:00.

Real
72.8%		 Draw
17.2%		 Rayo Vallecano
10%

Prediction (the most likely score): 2:0

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga Real Madrid: 39.06% Rayo Vallecano: 0.19%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
1.33 5.8 10.69
1.29 5.9 9.8
1.34 5.84 10 Watch and Bet
1.3 5 9
1.3 5.57 9.49
1.3 5.66 8.5

Latest Results

24.01.26 Villarreal CF – Real Madrid – 0:2
20.01.26 Real Madrid – AS Monaco – 6:1
17.01.26 Real Madrid – Levante UD – 2:0
14.01.26 Albacete Balompié – Real Madrid – 3:2
11.01.26 FC Barcelona – Real Madrid – 3:2		 24.01.26 Rayo Vallecano – Osasuna – 1:3
18.01.26 Celta de Vigo – Rayo Vallecano – 3:0
14.01.26 Deportivo Alavés – Rayo Vallecano – 2:0
11.01.26 Rayo Vallecano – RCD Mallorca – 2:1
06.01.26 Granada CF – Rayo Vallecano – 1:3

Facts

  • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 16).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real won 1.
  • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
  • In this match, Real is the undeniable favorite.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real won 14 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 47:18. (average 2.4:0.9).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Real won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 29:6. (average 3.2:0.7).

    Latest Head To Head

    09.11.25 Rayo Vallecano – Real Madrid – 0:0
    09.03.25 Real Madrid – Rayo Vallecano – 2:1
    14.12.24 Rayo Vallecano – Real Madrid – 3:3
    18.02.24 Rayo Vallecano – Real Madrid – 1:1
    05.11.23 Real Madrid – Rayo Vallecano – 0:0

    Standings

    2025/26

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Barcelona 21 17 1 3 57:22 35 52
    2 Real Madrid 21 16 3 2 45:17 28 51
    3 Atl. Madrid 21 13 5 3 38:17 21 44
    4 Villarreal 20 13 2 5 37:21 16 41
    5 Espanyol 21 10 4 7 25:25 0 34
    6 Betis 21 8 8 5 34:27 7 32
    7 Celta Vigo 21 8 8 5 29:23 6 32
    8 Real Sociedad 21 7 6 8 29:29 0 27
    9 Osasuna 21 7 4 10 24:25 -1 25
    10 Elche 21 5 9 7 29:29 0 24
    11 Sevilla 21 7 3 11 28:33 -5 24
    12 Ath Bilbao 21 7 3 11 20:30 -10 24
    13 Girona 20 6 6 8 20:34 -14 24
    14 Valencia 21 5 8 8 22:33 -11 23
    15 Alaves 21 6 4 11 18:26 -8 22
    16 Rayo Vallecano 21 5 7 9 17:28 -11 22
    17 Mallorca 21 5 6 10 24:33 -9 21
    18 Getafe 20 6 3 11 15:26 -11 21
    19 Levante 20 4 5 11 24:34 -10 17
    20 Oviedo 21 2 7 12 11:34 -23 13

    Spanish LaLiga Outrights

    1. Barcelona: 1.68 (54.02%)

    2. Real Madrid: 2.32 (39.06%)

    3. Atl. Madrid: 34.67 (2.61%)

    4. Villarreal: 71.33 (1.27%)

    5. Real Sociedad: 230.2 (0.39%)

    6. Espanyol: 275.33 (0.33%)

    7. Sevilla: 380.2 (0.24%)

    8. Ath Bilbao: 380.2 (0.24%)

    9. Rayo Vallecano: 480.2 (0.19%)

    10. Celta Vigo: 480.2 (0.19%)

    11. Osasuna: 480.2 (0.19%)

    12. Getafe: 480.2 (0.19%)

    13. Alaves: 480.2 (0.19%)

    14. Mallorca: 580.2 (0.16%)

    15. Valencia: 580.2 (0.16%)

    16. Elche: 580.2 (0.16%)

    17. Girona: 680.2 (0.13%)

    18. Levante: 680.2 (0.13%)

    19. Real Oviedo: 980.2 (0.09%)

    20. Betis: 1080.2 (0.08%)

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