Rochdale vs Southend United predictions, Oct 19, 2024

Oct 13, 2024 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

English National League, on Saturday,

Rochdale

Southend

Score, Highlights

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The upcoming match between Rochdale AFC and Southend United in the English National League on October 19, 2024, is expected to be a closely contested game. Rochdale AFC, playing at home, has won 2 out of their last 5 matches, while Southend United has won 1 out of their last 5 matches.

The bookmakers’ coefficients suggest that Rochdale AFC are slight favorites with odds of 2.16, while Southend United are the underdogs with odds of 3.03. Our ML estimation predicts a close match with probabilities of 44.2% for Rochdale AFC to win, 26% for a draw, and 29.3% for Southend United to win.

The most likely result according to bookmakers is a 1-1 draw. Both teams will be looking to secure a positive result in this game to improve their position in the league table. It promises to be an exciting and competitive match between two evenly matched teams.

Rochdale 43% Draw 28% Southend 29%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

Outrights of English National League Rochdale: 3.6% Southend: 0.82%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
bet_at_home 2.23 3.35 3.21
betsson 2.2 3.3 3.2
MarathonBet 2.15 3.32 3.17
WilliamHill 2.05 3.3 3.2
Best for US Customers 2.2 3.3 3.2

Latest Results

12.10.24 AFC Fylde – Rochdale AFC – 1:4
05.10.24 Ebbsfleet United – Rochdale AFC – 2:2
28.09.24 Rochdale AFC – Braintree Town – 1:0
24.09.24 Hartlepool United – Rochdale AFC – 0:3
21.09.24 Eastleigh FC – Rochdale AFC – 4:2		 12.10.24 Eastleigh FC – Southend United – 0:1
05.10.24 Southend United – Maidenhead United – 0:2
28.09.24 Southend United – Gateshead – 1:3
24.09.24 Wealdstone – Southend United – 1:1
21.09.24 Solihull Moors – Southend United – 2:4

Facts

  • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 17).
  • Last 5 head-to-head matches Rochdale won 4.
  • Rochdale is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins – 3).
  • Recent matches Southend is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins – 2).
  • Recently Rochdale have a series of guest games.
  • Rochdale will have a small advantage in this match.
  • Last 15 head-to-head matches Rochdale won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 26:18 (average 1.7:1.2).
  • Including matches at home between the teams Rochdale won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:8 (average 2:1.1).

    Latest Head To Head

    20.04.24 Southend United – Rochdale AFC – 1:2
    30.09.23 Rochdale AFC – Southend United – 2:2
    31.08.19 Southend United – Rochdale AFC – 0:3
    27.04.19 Rochdale AFC – Southend United – 1:0
    22.12.18 Southend United – Rochdale AFC – 1:2

    Standings

    2024/25

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Barnet 13 10 0 3 28:12 16 30
    2 Forest Green 13 8 3 2 23:10 13 27
    3 York City 13 7 5 1 19:7 12 26
    4 Gateshead 13 8 2 3 24:17 7 26
    5 Rochdale 13 7 3 3 22:11 11 24
    6 Oldham 13 6 5 2 19:14 5 23
    7 Eastleigh 13 6 3 4 20:18 2 21
    8 FC Halifax 13 5 5 3 15:12 3 20
    9 Sutton 13 5 4 4 22:20 2 19
    10 Yeovil 13 5 3 5 14:14 0 18
    11 Altrincham 13 5 3 5 15:17 -2 18
    12 Solihull Moors 13 5 3 5 17:20 -3 18
    13 Dag & Red 13 4 5 4 20:14 6 17
    14 Tamworth 13 5 2 6 16:23 -7 17
    15 Woking 13 4 4 5 14:17 -3 16
    16 Hartlepool 13 4 4 5 11:14 -3 16
    17 Southend 13 3 5 5 17:19 -2 14
    18 Aldershot 13 3 5 5 19:22 -3 14
    19 Maidenhead 13 4 2 7 16:20 -4 14
    20 Braintree 13 3 4 6 8:13 -5 13
    21 AFC Fylde 13 3 3 7 18:26 -8 12
    22 Boston Utd 13 2 3 8 13:25 -12 9
    23 Wealdstone 13 1 5 7 9:18 -9 8
    24 Ebbsfleet 13 1 3 9 11:27 -16 6

    English National League Outrights

    1. Barnet: 1.95 (42.5%)

    2. Gateshead: 5 (16.58%)

    3. Forest Green: 5 (16.58%)

    4. York City: 7.5 (11.05%)

    5. Oldham: 23 (3.6%)

    6. Rochdale: 23 (3.6%)

    7. Sutton: 81 (1.02%)

    8. Southend: 101 (0.82%)

    9. Dagenham & Red.: 101 (0.82%)

    10. Eastleigh: 101 (0.82%)

    11. Solihull Moors: 201 (0.41%)

    12. Halifax: 251 (0.33%)

    13. Yeovil: 251 (0.33%)

    14. Hartlepool: 351 (0.24%)

    15. Altrincham: 401 (0.21%)

    16. Aldershot: 401 (0.21%)

    17. Woking: 501 (0.17%)

    18. Tamworth: 501 (0.17%)

    19. Maidenhead: 751 (0.11%)

    20. Braintree: 751 (0.11%)

    21. Wealdstone: 1001 (0.08%)

    22. Boston United: 1001 (0.08%)

    23. Ebbsfleet: 1001 (0.08%)

    24. AFC Fylde: 1001 (0.08%)

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