Sagan Tosu vs Gamba Osaka, Jul 14, 2024

Japan J1 League, on Sunday,

Sagan Tosu

Gamba Osaka

Score, Highlights

Tosu 28.8% Draw 26.8% Gamba Osaka 44.5%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

Outrights of Japan J1 League Gamba Osaka: 14.54% Sagan Tosu: 0.19%

Watch Watch and Bet Tosu – Gamba Osaka available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

1 X 2
bet_at_home 3.35 3.55 2.15
betsson 3.21 3.46 2.08
MarathonBet 3.35 3.57 2.14 Watch Watch and Bet
WilliamHill 3.2 3.5 2
Pinnacle 3.28 3.53 2.11
Best for US Customers 3.2 3.4 2.11

Latest Results

06.07.24 Albirex Niigata – Sagan Tosu – 3:4
03.07.24 Yokohama F. Marinos – Sagan Tosu – 0:1
30.06.24 Sagan Tosu – Kashiwa Reysol – 1:4
26.06.24 Cerezo Osaka – Sagan Tosu – 1:0
22.06.24 Sagan Tosu – Kyoto Sanga – 3:0
06.07.24 Gamba Osaka – Yokohama F. Marinos – 4:0
30.06.24 Gamba Osaka – Machida Zelvia – 1:3
26.06.24 Kashima Antlers – Gamba Osaka – 0:0
22.06.24 Gamba Osaka – Vissel Kobe – 2:1
16.06.24 Gamba Osaka – Kashiwa Reysol – 2:1

Facts

  • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
  • Last 5 head-to-head matches Tosu won 2.
  • Recent matches Tosu is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins – 3).
  • Gamba Osaka is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins – 3).
  • Gamba Osaka could have advantage in physics – more days for rest in last days.
  • Recently Gamba Osaka have a series of home games.
  • Gamba Osaka will have a poor advantage in this game.
  • Last 20 head-to-head matches Tosu won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 25-30.
  • Including matches at home between the teams Tosu won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-10.

    Latest Head To Head

    14.04.24 Gamba Osaka – Sagan Tosu – 2:1
    26.08.23 Sagan Tosu – Gamba Osaka – 1:1
    25.02.23 Gamba Osaka – Sagan Tosu – 1:1
    03.09.22 Gamba Osaka – Sagan Tosu – 0:3
    29.05.22 Sagan Tosu – Gamba Osaka – 2:1

    Standings

    2024

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Machida 22 14 4 4 35:17 18 46
    2 Kashima Antlers 22 12 5 5 36:25 11 41
    3 Gamba Osaka 22 12 5 5 26:17 9 41
    4 Vissel Kobe 22 12 4 6 33:17 16 40
    5 Cerezo Osaka 22 9 9 4 30:23 7 36
    6 Avispa Fukuoka 22 9 8 5 23:20 3 35
    7 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 22 8 10 4 38:24 14 34
    8 FC Tokyo 22 9 6 7 32:30 2 33
    9 Urawa Reds 22 9 5 8 36:30 6 32
    10 Verdy 22 7 10 5 31:35 -4 31
    11 Kashiwa Reysol 22 7 8 7 27:31 -4 29
    12 Nagoya Grampus 22 8 3 11 22:25 -3 27
    13 Yokohama F. Marinos 22 7 5 10 31:35 -4 26
    14 Albirex Niigata 22 6 7 9 30:34 -4 25
    15 Kawasaki Frontale 22 5 9 8 31:32 -1 24
    16 Iwata 22 6 6 10 29:33 -4 24
    17 Sagan Tosu 22 7 2 13 30:38 -8 23
    18 Kyoto 22 5 6 11 20:37 -17 21
    19 Shonan Bellmare 22 4 7 11 28:38 -10 19
    20 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 22 2 5 15 16:43 -27 11

    Japan J1 League Outrights

    1. Machida Zelvia: 2.73 (28.8%)

    2. Vissel Kobe: 4.47 (17.63%)

    3. Kashima Antlers: 4.97 (15.85%)

    4. Gamba Osaka: 5.42 (14.54%)

    5. Cerezo Osaka: 12.67 (6.22%)

    6. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: 14.67 (5.37%)

    7. Urawa Reds: 40.67 (1.94%)

    8. FC Tokyo: 49 (1.61%)

    9. Nagoya Grampus: 49 (1.61%)

    10. Avispa Fukuoka: 49 (1.61%)

    11. Verdy: 64.67 (1.22%)

    12. Kashiwa Reysol: 77.33 (1.02%)

    13. Kawasaki Frontale: 97.33 (0.81%)

    14. Albirex Niigata: 97.33 (0.81%)

    15. Iwata: 234 (0.34%)

    16. Yokohama F. Marinos: 417.33 (0.19%)

    17. Sagan Tosu: 417.33 (0.19%)

    18. Shonan Bellmare: 750.67 (0.1%)

    19. Kyoto: 750.67 (0.1%)

    20. Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo: 1250.67 (0.06%)

    Short Preview

    In this upcoming match between Sagan Tosu and Gamba Osaka, both teams have been in relatively good form with Sagan Tosu winning 3 of their last 5 matches and Gamba Osaka also winning 3 of their last 5 matches. With Sagan Tosu playing at home, they may have a slight advantage in terms of familiarity with the pitch and support from their fans.

    The bookmakers have slightly favored Gamba Osaka with coefficients of 2.06, compared to Sagan Tosu’s 3.33. However, our ML estimation suggests that Gamba Osaka is the most likely to win with a probability of 45.9%, followed by a draw at 26.3% and a Sagan Tosu win at 27.7%.

    The most likely result according to bookmakers is a 1-1 draw, indicating that this could be a closely contested match with both teams capable of finding the back of the net. Fans can expect an exciting and competitive game between these two teams vying for the three points.

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