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San Jose Sharks vs Tampa Bay Lightning predictions, Jan 03, 2026

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In an exciting NHL showdown, the San Jose Sharks will face off against the Tampa Bay Lightning on January 3, 2026. The Sharks have been in decent form recently, winning 3 of their last 5 matches, while the Lightning have been on fire, winning all 5 of their recent games.

The bookmakers have placed the odds at 3.29 for a home win by the Sharks and 1.97 for an away win by the Lightning. Our model predicts a 29.3% chance of a home win, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 49.7% chance of an away win, with a predicted final score of 2:3 in favor of Tampa Bay.

Both teams have strong offensive capabilities, with the Lightning boasting a potent offense led by their top scorers. The Sharks, on the other hand, have shown resilience in defense, making them a tough team to break down.

With both teams in good form and plenty at stake, this matchup promises to be an exciting clash of tactical prowess and skill. It’s sure to be a close contest that could go either way.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-01-01T12:52:03+00:00.

San Jose
28.5%
Draw
21.6%
Tampa Bay
49.9%

Prediction (the most likely score): 2:3

Outrights of NHL Tampa Bay Lightning: 9.38% San Jose Sharks: 0.16%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
3.29 4.57 1.97
3.44 4.28 1.87

Latest Results

31.12.25 San Jose Sharks – Minnesota Wild – 4:3 penalties
29.12.25 Anaheim Ducks – San Jose Sharks – 4:5
27.12.25 Vancouver Canucks – San Jose Sharks – 3:6
23.12.25 Vegas Golden Knights – San Jose Sharks – 7:2
20.12.25 San Jose Sharks – Seattle Kraken – 2:4
31.12.25 Anaheim Ducks – Tampa Bay Lightning – 3:4 OT
28.12.25 Tampa Bay Lightning – Montreal Canadiens – 5:4 penalties
27.12.25 Florida Panthers – Tampa Bay Lightning – 2:4
22.12.25 Tampa Bay Lightning – St. Louis Blues – 4:1
20.12.25 Tampa Bay Lightning – Carolina Hurricanes – 6:4

Facts

  • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 2.
  • In recent matches, San Jose has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
  • Tampa Bay is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
  • Tampa Bay will hold a modest advantage in this match.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 42:78. (average 2.1:3.9).
  • Including home matches between the teams, San Jose won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:36. (average 2:3.6).

    Latest Head To Head

    02.01.25 San Jose Sharks – Tampa Bay Lightning – 2:1
    05.12.24 Tampa Bay Lightning – San Jose Sharks – 8:1
    21.03.24 San Jose Sharks – Tampa Bay Lightning – 1:4
    26.10.23 Tampa Bay Lightning – San Jose Sharks – 6:0
    07.02.23 Tampa Bay Lightning – San Jose Sharks – 3:4 OT

    Standings

    Main

    Western Conference

    Pl W WO LO L Pts
    1 Colorado Avalanche 39 27 3 7 2 159:88 67
    2 Dallas Stars 40 21 4 7 8 140:109 57
    3 Minnesota Wild 41 17 7 7 10 129:108 55
    4 Edmonton Oilers 41 15 5 6 15 137:138 46
    5 Vegas Golden Knights 38 13 4 11 10 119:119 45
    6 Anaheim Ducks 40 13 8 3 16 137:141 45
    7 San Jose Sharks 40 11 9 3 17 124:139 43
    8 Los Angeles Kings 38 11 5 9 13 99:102 41
    9 Nashville Predators 39 13 5 4 17 113:129 40
    10 Calgary Flames 40 14 4 4 18 108:117 40
    11 Seattle Kraken 37 11 5 7 14 95:111 39
    12 Utah Mammoth 40 13 5 3 19 119:116 39
    13 St. Louis Blues 41 15 0 8 18 101:143 38
    14 Chicago Blackhawks 39 12 2 7 18 108:127 35
    15 Vancouver Canucks 39 10 6 3 20 112:136 35
    16 Winnipeg Jets 38 13 2 4 19 108:116 34

    Eastern Conference

    Pl W WO LO L Pts
    1 Carolina Hurricanes 39 15 9 3 12 130:115 51
    2 Detroit Red Wings 41 17 7 3 14 127:130 51
    3 Tampa Bay Lightning 39 18 5 3 13 130:104 49
    4 Montreal Canadiens 39 13 8 6 12 130:131 48
    5 New York Islanders 40 15 7 4 14 114:110 48
    6 Philadelphia Flyers 39 13 7 7 12 119:114 47
    7 Washington Capitals 40 19 2 5 14 130:114 47
    8 Buffalo Sabres 39 15 6 4 14 124:121 46
    9 Florida Panthers 39 18 3 3 15 126:124 45
    10 New Jersey Devils 40 14 7 2 17 109:120 44
    11 Boston Bruins 41 15 6 2 18 130:134 44
    12 Pittsburgh Penguins 38 15 2 9 12 122:123 43
    13 New York Rangers 42 12 7 5 18 109:116 43
    14 Toronto Maple Leafs 39 14 4 6 15 128:129 42
    15 Ottawa Senators 38 13 5 5 15 125:124 41
    16 Columbus Blue Jackets 39 10 7 6 16 118:131 40

    NHL Outrights

    1. Colorado Avalanche: 3.95 (20.77%)

    2. Tampa Bay Lightning: 8.75 (9.38%)

    3. Carolina Hurricanes: 9 (9.12%)

    4. Vegas Golden Knights: 9.5 (8.64%)

    5. Florida Panthers: 10.25 (8%)

    6. Edmonton Oilers: 10.5 (7.81%)

    7. Dallas Stars: 14.5 (5.66%)

    8. Washington Capitals: 17.5 (4.69%)

    9. Minnesota Wild: 24.5 (3.35%)

    10. New Jersey Devils: 26 (3.16%)

    11. Los Angeles Kings: 33.5 (2.45%)

    12. Toronto Maple Leafs: 41 (2%)

    13. Ottawa Senators: 41 (2%)

    14. New York Rangers: 53.5 (1.53%)

    15. Detroit Red Wings: 61 (1.34%)

    16. Anaheim Ducks: 61 (1.34%)

    17. Montreal Canadiens: 61 (1.34%)

    18. Winnipeg Jets: 71 (1.16%)

    19. Utah Mammoth: 78.5 (1.05%)

    20. New York Islanders: 91 (0.9%)

    21. Buffalo Sabres: 101 (0.81%)

    22. Philadelphia Flyers: 151 (0.54%)

    23. Columbus Blue Jackets: 163.5 (0.5%)

    24. Boston Bruins: 176 (0.47%)

    25. Pittsburgh Penguins: 226 (0.36%)

    26. Calgary Flames: 251 (0.33%)

    27. Nashville Predators: 251 (0.33%)

    28. St. Louis Blues: 276 (0.3%)

    29. Vancouver Canucks: 451 (0.18%)

    30. San Jose Sharks: 501 (0.16%)

    31. Seattle Kraken: 501 (0.16%)

    32. Chicago Blackhawks: 501 (0.16%)

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