São Paulo vs Sport Recife predictions, Mar 29, 2025

Mar 23, 2025 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

Brazilian Serie A, on Saturday,

São Paulo

Sport Recife

Score, Highlights

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In this upcoming match between São Paulo and Sport Recife, São Paulo FC will be looking to improve their recent form after only winning 2 out of their last 5 matches. On the other hand, Sport Recife has been on a winning streak, with 4 victories in their last 5 games.

The Bookmakers have given São Paulo FC the edge with odds of 1.56 compared to Sport Recife’s odds of 5.99. Our ML estimation also favors São Paulo FC with a probability of 70% for a win, 27.1% for a draw, and 13.7% for a Sport Recife victory.

The most likely result predicted by the bookmakers is a 1-0 win for São Paulo FC. However, with Sport Recife in good form, this match could be more closely contested than expected. It will be interesting to see if São Paulo FC can capitalize on their home advantage or if Sport Recife can continue their winning streak.

São Paulo 59.2% Draw 24.2% Recife 16.6%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:0

Outrights of Brazilian Serie A Sao Paulo: 6.51% Sport Recife: 0.32%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
Bwin 1.58 3.75 6.25
bet_at_home 1.58 3.82 6.09
betsson 1.68 3.75 5
MarathonBet 1.66 3.78 5.41 Watch Watch and Bet
WilliamHill 1.57 3.8 6
Pinnacle 1.65 3.77 5.13
Best for US Customers 1.47 4.5 6.5

Latest Results

10.03.25 Palmeiras – São Paulo FC – 1:0
03.03.25 São Paulo FC – Grêmio Novorizontino – 1:0
23.02.25 São Bernardo FC – São Paulo FC – 1:3
19.02.25 São Paulo FC – AA Ponte Preta – 1:2
16.02.25 Palmeiras – São Paulo FC – 0:0		 22.03.25 Retrô Brasil – Sport Recife – 2:3
19.03.25 EC Vitória Salvador – Sport Recife – 1:0
15.03.25 Santa Cruz Recife – Sport Recife – 0:1
08.03.25 Sport Recife – Santa Cruz Recife – 2:0
05.03.25 Sport Recife – CRB Maceio – 2:1

Facts

  • Last 5 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 4.
  • Recent matches São Paulo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins – 2).
  • Recife is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins – 4).
  • Recife could have problems with physics compare with it opponent – last days they played more matches than their opponents.
  • In this match São Paulo is a favorite.
  • Last 18 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 11 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 24:10 (average 1.3:0.6).
  • Including matches at home between the teams São Paulo won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:3 (average 1.3:0.3).

    Latest Head To Head

    01.06.23 São Paulo FC – Sport Recife – 2:3 penalties
    17.05.23 Sport Recife – São Paulo FC – 0:2
    27.11.21 São Paulo FC – Sport Recife – 2:0
    22.08.21 Sport Recife – São Paulo FC – 0:1
    06.12.20 São Paulo FC – Sport Recife – 1:0

    Standings

    2025

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Bragantino 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
    2 Ceara 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
    3 Internacional 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
    4 Sport Recife 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
    5 Vasco 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
    6 Gremio 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
    7 Botafogo RJ 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
    8 Santos 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
    9 Sao Paulo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
    10 Cruzeiro 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
    11 Vitoria 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
    12 Atletico-MG 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
    13 Fluminense 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
    14 Flamengo RJ 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
    15 Palmeiras 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
    16 Juventude 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
    17 Bahia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
    18 Corinthians 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
    19 Fortaleza 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
    20 Mirassol 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0

    Brazilian Serie A Outrights

    1. Flamengo RJ: 4.13 (18.37%)

    2. Palmeiras: 5.13 (14.79%)

    3. Botafogo RJ: 6.08 (12.48%)

    4. Internacional: 8.08 (9.39%)

    5. Corinthians: 8.17 (9.3%)

    6. Cruzeiro: 11 (6.9%)

    7. Sao Paulo: 11.67 (6.51%)

    8. Santos: 16 (4.74%)

    9. Atletico-MG: 16 (4.74%)

    10. Gremio: 33.5 (2.27%)

    11. Fortaleza: 33.67 (2.26%)

    12. Fluminense: 40 (1.9%)

    13. Vasco: 40 (1.9%)

    14. Bahia: 40.67 (1.87%)

    15. Bragantino: 72.67 (1.04%)

    16. Vitoria: 142.33 (0.53%)

    17. Sport Recife: 234 (0.32%)

    18. EC Juventude: 234 (0.32%)

    19. Mirassol: 417.33 (0.18%)

    20. Ceara: 417.33 (0.18%)

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