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Sebastian Baez vs Luciano Darderi predictions, Jan 20, 2026

Yuriy Borshchenko

ATP Australian Open, Melbourne Park (Melbourne) on Tuesday,

Score, Highlights

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As the ATP Australian Open approaches, the matchup between Sebastian Baez and Luciano Darderi promises to be an intriguing clash. Scheduled for January 20, 2026, Baez will have the home advantage, which could prove significant in what is expected to be a closely contested affair.

In recent form, Baez has demonstrated resilience on the court, securing victory in four of his last five matches. His aggressive baseline play and strong service games are assets that he will lean on as he faces Darderi. On the other hand, Darderi has shown his capacity for success as well, winning two of his last three matches, showcasing his adaptability and tactical awareness during crucial points.

Bookmakers have set the odds at 2.3 for Baez as the home player and 1.62 for Darderi, indicating a perceived edge for the visitor. The predicted final score of 1:3 reflects these odds, suggesting a potential challenge for Baez to find his rhythm against a player who has been efficient in capitalizing on opponents’ weaknesses.

In conclusion, while Baez enjoys home turf and recent form, Darderi’s ability to perform under pressure cannot be underestimated. This match may hinge on key moments, making it difficult to predict a definitive outcome.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-01-20T02:52:03+00:00.

Baez
41.3%		 Darderi
58.7%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:3

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Latest Results

19.01.26 Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard – Sebastian Baez – 2:3
16.01.26 Sebastian Baez – Jakub Mensik – 0:2
15.01.26 Sebastian Baez – Marcos Giron – 2:0
15.01.26 Ben Shelton – Sebastian Baez – 0:2
13.01.26 Jenson Brooksby – Sebastian Baez – 0:2		 19.01.26 Christian Garin – Luciano Darderi – 0:3
14.01.26 Luciano Darderi – Marcos Giron – 1:2
13.01.26 Luciano Darderi – Alejandro Tabilo – 2:1
05.11.25 Miomir Kecmanovic – Luciano Darderi – 2:1
27.10.25 Luciano Darderi – Arthur Cazaux – 0:2

Facts

  • Baez is ranked ATP: 36. Darderi is ranked ATP: 25.
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baez won 3.
  • Baez is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
  • Darderi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • Darderi might have a minor edge in this game.
  • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Baez won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.7:1).

    Latest Head To Head

    18.07.25 Sebastian Baez – Luciano Darderi – 0:2
    26.08.24 Sebastian Baez – Luciano Darderi – 3:1
    19.07.24 Luciano Darderi – Sebastian Baez – 1:2
    15.02.24 Sebastian Baez – Luciano Darderi – 2:0
    10.02.24 Luciano Darderi – Sebastian Baez – 2:1

    Standings

    Draw

    Singles – Main

    1/64-finals

    1 Alcaraz C. (1) Walton A. 3 : 0
    2 Hanfmann Y. Svajda Z. (Q) 3 : 1
    3 Zheng M. (Q) Korda S. 3 : 2
    4 Schoolkate T. Moutet C. (32) 0 : 3
    5 Paul T. (19) Kovacevic A. 3 : 0
    6 Tirante T. A. Vukic A. 3 : 0
    7 Budkov Kjaer N. (Q) Opelka R. 0 : 3
    8 Misolic F. Davidovich Fokina A. (14) 0 : 3
    9 Bublik A. (10) Brooksby J. 3 : 0
    10 Ugo Carabelli C. Fucsovics M. 0 : 3
    11 Kecmanovic M. Etcheverry T. M. 2 : 3
    12 Fery A. (Q) Cobolli F. (20) 3 : 0
    13 Tiafoe F. (29) Kubler J. (Q) 3 : 0
    14 Kypson P. (WC) Comesana F. 1 : 3
    15 Navone M. Medjedovic H. 1 : 3
    16 McDonald M. (LL) De Minaur A. (6) 0 : 3
    17 Zverev A. (3) Diallo G. 3 : 1
    18 Popyrin A. Muller A. 2 : 3
    19 Nava E. Jacquet K. (WC) 3 : 2
    20 Bonzi B. Norrie C. (26) 2 : 3
    21 Cerundolo F. (18) Zhang Z. 3 : 0
    22 Draxl L. (Q) Dzumhur D. 0 : 3
    23 Blockx A. (LL) Faria J. (Q) 1 : 3
    24 Arnaldi M. Rublev A. (13) 0 : 3
    25 Medvedev D. (11) De Jong J. 3 : 0
    26 Halys Q. Tabilo A. 3 : 0
    27 Majchrzak K. Fearnley J. 3 : 1
    28 Marozsan F. Rinderknech A. (24) 3 : 1
    29 Tien L. (25) Giron M. 3 : 2
    30 Ymer E. (Q) Shevchenko A. 1 : 3
    31 Cerundolo J. M. Thompson J. (WC) 1 : 3
    32 Borges N. Auger-Aliassime F. (RET.) (7) 2 : 1
    33 Musetti L. (5) Collignon R. (RET.) 2 : 1
    34 Sonego L. Taberner C. 3 : 0
    35 Dimitrov G. Machac T.
    36 Mochizuki S. Tsitsipas S. (31)
    37 Lehecka J. (17) Gea A. (Q) 0 : 3
    38 Djere L. Wawrinka S. (WC) 1 : 3
    39 Kopriva V. Struff J-L.
    40 Royer V. Fritz T. (9)
    41 Mensik J. (16) Carreno-Busta P. 3 : 2
    42 Sakamoto R. (Q) Jodar R. (Q)
    43 Hurkacz H. Bergs Z.
    44 Quinn E. Griekspoor T. (23) 3 : 0
    45 Nakashima B. (27) Van De Zandschulp B. 1 : 3
    46 Shang J. Bautista-Agut R. 3 : 1
    47 Atmane T. Maestrelli F. (Q) 2 : 3
    48 Martinez P. Djokovic N. (4) 0 : 3
    49 Shelton B. (8) Humbert U. 3 : 0
    50 Sweeny D. (Q) Monfils G.
    51 Mannarino A. Hijikata R. (WC) 0 : 3
    52 Damm M. (Q) Vacherot V. (30) 0 : 3
    53 Shapovalov D. (21) Bu Y. (WC) 3 : 0
    54 Altmaier D. Cilic M. 0 : 3
    55 Munar J. Svrcina D. 3 : 2
    56 Bellucci M. Ruud C. (12) 0 : 3
    57 Khachanov K. (15) Michelsen A. 3 : 2
    58 O’Connell C. (WC) Basavareddy N. (Q) 2 : 3
    59 Mpetshi Perricard G. Baez S. 2 : 3
    60 Garin C. Darderi L. (22) 0 : 3
    61 Fonseca J. (28) Spizzirri E. 1 : 3
    62 Nardi L. Wu Y. (Q) 1 : 3
    63 Duckworth J. (WC) Prizmic D. (LL)
    64 Gaston H. Sinner J. (2)

    1/32-finals

    1 Alcaraz C. (1) Hanfmann Y.
    2 Zheng M. Moutet C. (32)
    3 Paul T. (19) Tirante T. A.
    4 Opelka R. Davidovich Fokina A. (14)
    5 Bublik A. (10) Fucsovics M.
    6 Etcheverry T. M. Fery A.
    7 Tiafoe F. (29) Comesana F.
    8 Medjedovic H. De Minaur A. (6)
    9 Zverev A. (3) Muller A.
    10 Nava E. Norrie C. (26)
    11 Cerundolo F. (18) Dzumhur D.
    12 Faria J. Rublev A. (13)
    13 Medvedev D. (11) Halys Q.
    14 Majchrzak K. Marozsan F.
    15 Tien L. (25) Shevchenko A.
    16 Thompson J. Borges N.
    17 Musetti L. (5) Sonego L.
    18 TBD #35 TBD #36
    19 Gea A. Wawrinka S.
    20 TBD #39 TBD #40
    21 Mensik J. (16) TBD #42
    22 TBD #43 Quinn E.
    23 Van De Zandschulp B. Shang J.
    24 Maestrelli F. Djokovic N. (4)
    25 Shelton B. (8) TBD #50
    26 Hijikata R. Vacherot V. (30)
    27 Shapovalov D. (21) Cilic M.
    28 Munar J. Ruud C. (12)
    29 Khachanov K. (15) Basavareddy N.
    30 Baez S. Darderi L. (22)
    31 Spizzirri E. Wu Y.
    32 TBD #63 TBD #64

    1/16-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4
    3 TBD #5 TBD #6
    4 TBD #7 TBD #8
    5 TBD #9 TBD #10
    6 TBD #11 TBD #12
    7 TBD #13 TBD #14
    8 TBD #15 TBD #16
    9 TBD #17 TBD #18
    10 TBD #19 TBD #20
    11 TBD #21 TBD #22
    12 TBD #23 TBD #24
    13 TBD #25 TBD #26
    14 TBD #27 TBD #28
    15 TBD #29 TBD #30
    16 TBD #31 TBD #32

    1/8-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4
    3 TBD #5 TBD #6
    4 TBD #7 TBD #8
    5 TBD #9 TBD #10
    6 TBD #11 TBD #12
    7 TBD #13 TBD #14
    8 TBD #15 TBD #16

    Quarter-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4
    3 TBD #5 TBD #6
    4 TBD #7 TBD #8

    Semi-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4

    Final

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2

    ATP Australian Open Outrights

    1. Sinner Jannik: 1.67 (40.63%)

    2. Alcaraz Carlos: 2.5 (27.14%)

    3. Djokovic Novak: 13 (5.22%)

    4. Medvedev Daniil: 19 (3.57%)

    5. Zverev Alexander: 23 (2.95%)

    6. Fritz Taylor: 41 (1.65%)

    7. Bublik Alexander: 41 (1.65%)

    8. Fonseca Joao: 67 (1.01%)

    9. Shelton Ben: 67 (1.01%)

    10. De Minaur Alex: 67 (1.01%)

    11. Musetti Lorenzo: 101 (0.67%)

    12. Mensik Jakub: 101 (0.67%)

    13. Hurkacz Hubert: 101 (0.67%)

    14. Tsitsipas Stefanos: 126 (0.54%)

    15. Tien Learner: 151 (0.45%)

    16. Khachanov Karen: 151 (0.45%)

    17. Rublev Andrey: 151 (0.45%)

    18. Paul Tommy: 151 (0.45%)

    19. Ruud Casper: 201 (0.34%)

    20. Humbert Ugo: 251 (0.27%)

    21. Machac Tomas: 251 (0.27%)

    22. Davidovich Fokina Alejandro: 301 (0.23%)

    23. Vacherot Valentin: 301 (0.23%)

    24. Norrie Cameron: 351 (0.19%)

    25. Dimitrov Grigor: 351 (0.19%)

    26. Wawrinka Stan: 351 (0.19%)

    27. Tiafoe Frances: 401 (0.17%)

    28. Cerundolo Francisco: 501 (0.14%)

    29. Sonego Lorenzo: 501 (0.14%)

    30. Mpetshi Perricard Giovanni: 501 (0.14%)

    31. Thompson Jordan: 501 (0.14%)

    32. Shapovalov Denis: 501 (0.14%)

    33. Michelsen Alex: 501 (0.14%)

    34. Royer Valentin: 501 (0.14%)

    35. Munar Jaume: 501 (0.14%)

    36. Griekspoor Tallon: 501 (0.14%)

    37. Darderi Luciano: 501 (0.14%)

    38. Bergs Zizou: 501 (0.14%)

    39. Comesana Francisco: 501 (0.14%)

    40. Kopriva Vit: 501 (0.14%)

    41. Nardi Luca: 501 (0.14%)

    42. Halys Quentin: 501 (0.14%)

    43. Mochizuki Shintaro: 501 (0.14%)

    44. Collignon Raphael: 501 (0.14%)

    45. Etcheverry Tomas Martin: 501 (0.14%)

    46. Struff Jan-Lennard: 501 (0.14%)

    47. Cilic Marin: 501 (0.14%)

    48. Shevchenko Alexander: 501 (0.14%)

    49. Fucsovics Marton: 501 (0.14%)

    50. Nava Emilio: 501 (0.14%)

    51. Baez Sebastian: 501 (0.14%)

    52. Taberner Carlos: 501 (0.14%)

    53. Gaston Hugo: 501 (0.14%)

    54. Duckworth James: 501 (0.14%)

    55. Van De Zandschulp Botic: 501 (0.14%)

    56. Carreno-Busta Pablo: 501 (0.14%)

    57. Hijikata Rinky: 501 (0.14%)

    58. Tirante Thiago Agustin: 501 (0.14%)

    59. Muller Alexandre: 501 (0.14%)

    60. Spizzirri Eliot: 501 (0.14%)

    61. Opelka Reilly: 501 (0.14%)

    62. Dzumhur Damir: 501 (0.14%)

    63. Quinn Ethan: 501 (0.14%)

    64. Medjedovic Hamad: 501 (0.14%)

    65. Majchrzak Kamil: 501 (0.14%)

    66. Garin Cristian: 501 (0.14%)

    67. Monfils Gael: 501 (0.14%)

    68. Marozsan Fabian: 501 (0.14%)

    69. O’Connell Christopher: 501 (0.14%)

    70. Faria Jaime: 501 (0.14%)

    71. Moutet Corentin: 501 (0.14%)

    72. Hanfmann Yannick: 501 (0.14%)

    73. Shang Juncheng: 501 (0.14%)

    74. Borges Nuno: 501 (0.14%)

    75. Basavareddy Nishesh: 501 (0.14%)

    76. Fery Arthur: 501 (0.14%)

    77. Sakamoto Rei: 501 (0.14%)

    78. Maestrelli Francesco: 501 (0.14%)

    79. Gea Arthur: 501 (0.14%)

    80. Prizmic Dino: 501 (0.14%)

    81. Wu Yibing: 501 (0.14%)

    82. Zheng Michael: 501 (0.14%)

    83. Jodar Rafael: 501 (0.14%)

    84. Sweeny Dane: 501 (0.14%)

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