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### Expert Preview: Sevilla vs. Las Palmas
As Sevilla FC gears up to face UD Las Palmas on May 13, 2025, the matchup presents an intriguing contrast in current form. Sevillistas have been struggling recently, failing to secure a win in their last five matches, which has undoubtedly put pressure on the squad and coaching staff. Their recent performances have been marked by defensive lapses and an inability to capitalize on scoring opportunities, making this a critical juncture in their campaign.
On the other hand, UD Las Palmas arrives with a modicum of momentum, having claimed victory in two of their last five outings. This solid form has instilled a sense of confidence in the team, as they look to exploit Sevilla’s vulnerabilities. Las Palmas’ recent successes can be attributed to a cohesive attacking unit that has found the net more consistently than their opponents.
From a betting perspective, bookmakers favor Sevilla with odds of 1.71 for a home win, reflecting the expectation that their home advantage may play a crucial role in this encounter. Our model predicts a 57.6% probability of a Sevilla victory, emphasizing the need for them to leverage home support effectively. However, with a predicted score of only 1:0, it suggests a tightly contested affair where every goal will be pivotal.
In summary, while Sevilla enters the match desperate for a turnaround and bolstered by their home crowd, Las Palmas will look to build on their recent winning form and capitalize on the hosts’ shaky confidence. The outcome promises to hinge on whether Sevilla can finally find their footing or if Las Palmas can continue their ascent against a faltering powerhouse.
| Sevilla 55.7% | Draw 25.1% | Las Palmas 19.2% |
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Prediction (the most likely score): 1:0
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Betting Odds
| 1 | X | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.7 | 3.9 | 5.13 | ||
| 1.75 | 3.75 | 5 | ||
| 1.75 | 3.97 | 5.2 | ||
| 1.67 | 3.7 | 4.8 | ||
| 1.71 | 3.75 | 5.11 | ||
| 1.66 | 3.6 | 4.7 |
Latest Results
| 04.05.25 Sevilla FC – CD Leganés – 2:2 24.04.25 Osasuna – Sevilla FC – 1:0 20.04.25 Sevilla FC – Deportivo Alavés – 1:1 11.04.25 CF Valencia – Sevilla FC – 1:0 06.04.25 Sevilla FC – Atlético Madrid – 1:2 |
03.05.25 UD Las Palmas – CF Valencia – 2:3 23.04.25 Athletic Bilbao – UD Las Palmas – 1:0 19.04.25 UD Las Palmas – Atlético Madrid – 1:0 12.04.25 Getafe CF – UD Las Palmas – 1:3 06.04.25 UD Las Palmas – Real Sociedad – 1:3 |
Facts
Latest Head To Head
| 16.08.24 UD Las Palmas – Sevilla FC – 2:2 14.04.24 UD Las Palmas – Sevilla FC – 0:2 17.09.23 Sevilla FC – UD Las Palmas – 1:0 22.07.21 Sevilla FC – UD Las Palmas – 1:0 17.02.18 UD Las Palmas – Sevilla FC – 1:2 |
Standings
2024/25
| Pl | W | D | L | Diff | Pts | |||
| 1 | Barcelona ✔ | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 91:33 | 58 | 79 |
| 2 | Real Madrid ✔ | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 69:33 | 36 | 75 |
| 3 | Atl. Madrid | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 56:27 | 29 | 67 |
| 4 | Ath Bilbao | 34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 50:26 | 24 | 61 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 60:47 | 13 | 58 |
| 6 | Betis | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 52:42 | 10 | 57 |
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 52:52 | 0 | 46 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36:42 | -6 | 44 |
| 9 | Osasuna | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 42:50 | -8 | 44 |
| 10 | Mallorca | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 31:39 | -8 | 44 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 32:37 | -5 | 43 |
| 12 | Valencia | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 40:51 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 31:31 | 0 | 39 |
| 14 | Espanyol | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 36:44 | -8 | 39 |
| 15 | Girona | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 41:52 | -11 | 38 |
| 16 | Sevilla | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37:46 | -9 | 38 |
| 17 | Alaves | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 35:46 | -11 | 35 |
| 18 | Las Palmas | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 40:56 | -16 | 32 |
| 19 | Leganes | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 32:51 | -19 | 31 |
| 20 | Valladolid ✔ | 34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25:83 | -58 | 16 |
Spanish LaLiga Outrights
1. Barcelona: 1.11 (85.74%)
2. Real Madrid: 6.72 (14.13%)
3. Atl. Madrid: 697.33 (0.14%)
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