Southampton vs Derby County predictions, Apr 11, 2026

Apr 05, 2026 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

English League Championship, on Saturday,

S`hampton

Derby County

Score, Highlights

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On April 11, 2026, Southampton FC is set to host Derby County in a compelling English League Championship clash at St. Mary’s Stadium. Southampton comes into this fixture in strong form, having secured four wins in their last five matches, showcasing their attacking prowess and solid defensive organization. The Saints have demonstrated resilience, combining effective ball possession with quick transitions, which has proven successful against a variety of opponents.

In contrast, Derby County has also exhibited a commendable run, winning three of their last five outings. The Rams have displayed an ability to remain compact defensively while looking to exploit counter-attacking opportunities. Their recent performances indicate a well-structured approach, which will be critical in neutralizing Southampton’s offensive threats.

Bookmakers have set odds at 1.77 for a Southampton victory, reflecting their home advantage and superior recent form. The model prediction suggests a 55% probability of a home win, alongside a 23.5% chance of a draw and a 21.8% potential for an away win. While Southampton is favored, Derby’s tactical discipline could pose challenges. Ultimately, this matchup promises an intriguing contest, with both teams capable of influencing the outcome.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-04-05T17:52:02+00:00.

S`hampton
53%		 Draw
24.4%		 Derby
22.6%

Outrights of English League Championship Southampton: 0.93%

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Watch Watch and Bet S`hampton – Derby available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

1 X 2
MarathonBet 1.77 3.8 4.09 Watch Watch and Bet
Best for US Customers 1.77 3.9 4.2

Latest Results

04.04.26 Southampton FC – Arsenal FC – 2:1
21.03.26 Southampton FC – Oxford United – 2:0
18.03.26 Southampton FC – Norwich City – 1:0
14.03.26 Coventry City – Southampton FC – 1:2
11.03.26 West Bromwich Albion – Southampton FC – 1:1		 03.04.26 Coventry City – Derby County – 3:2
21.03.26 Derby County – Birmingham City – 1:0
16.03.26 Portsmouth FC – Derby County – 0:1
10.03.26 Millwall – Derby County – 1:0
07.03.26 Derby County – Sheffield Wednesday – 2:1

Facts

  • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 7 and 8).
  • S`hampton has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
  • Derby has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
  • S`hampton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, S`hampton is a strong favorite.
  • We predict that S`hampton will win today’s game, with odds of 1.77.
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, S`hampton won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.8:1.8).
  • Including home matches between the teams, S`hampton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).

    Latest Head To Head

    04.10.25 Derby County – Southampton FC – 1:1
    16.01.19 Southampton FC – Derby County – 2:3 penalties
    05.01.19 Derby County – Southampton FC – 2:2
    21.07.18 Derby County – Southampton FC – 3:0
    18.02.12 Southampton FC – Derby County – 4:0

    Standings

    2025/26

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Coventry 40 25 8 7 84:42 42 83
    2 Millwall 40 21 9 10 55:45 10 72
    3 Middlesbrough 40 20 11 9 60:39 21 71
    4 Ipswich 38 19 12 7 67:39 28 69
    5 Hull 40 20 7 13 63:58 5 67
    6 Wrexham 40 17 13 10 62:53 9 64
    7 Southampton 39 17 12 10 63:48 15 63
    8 Derby 40 17 9 14 58:51 7 60
    9 Watford 40 14 14 12 51:48 3 56
    10 QPR 40 16 8 16 57:62 -5 56
    11 Norwich 40 16 7 17 53:47 6 55
    12 Stoke 40 15 9 16 48:43 5 54
    13 Bristol City 40 15 9 16 51:51 0 54
    14 Birmingham 40 14 11 15 48:50 -2 53
    15 Preston 40 13 14 13 47:51 -4 53
    16 Swansea 40 15 8 17 47:52 -5 53
    17 Sheffield Utd 40 15 6 19 57:57 0 51
    18 Charlton 40 12 12 16 37:48 -11 48
    19 Blackburn 40 12 10 18 37:49 -12 46
    20 West Brom 40 11 11 18 42:56 -14 44
    21 Portsmouth 39 10 11 18 38:55 -17 41
    22 Leicester 40 11 13 16 53:62 -9 40
    23 Oxford Utd 40 9 13 18 37:52 -15 40
    24 Sheffield Wed ✔ 40 1 9 30 24:81 -57 -6

    English League Championship Outrights

    1. Coventry: 1.01 (92.46%)

    2. Ipswich: 36.2 (2.57%)

    3. Millwall: 43 (2.17%)

    4. Southampton: 100 (0.93%)

    5. Middlesbrough: 100 (0.93%)

    6. Hull City: 100 (0.93%)

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