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Spain vs Croatia predictions, Jan 22, 2026

European Championship Water Polo, on Thursday,

Score, Highlights

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In a highly anticipated matchup in the European Championship Water Polo, Spain will face off against Croatia on January 22, 2026. Spain, playing on their home turf, have won three out of their last five matches, showcasing their strong form coming into this contest. On the other hand, Croatia has also won three of their last five matches, making for an evenly matched battle between the two teams.

The bookmakers odds slightly favor Spain with 1.42 for a home win, while Croatia stands at 3.67 for an away victory. Our model predicts a 63.9% chance of a home win, an 11.2% chance of a draw, and a 24.8% chance of an away win. Based on the odds, the predicted final score is 15:12 in favor of Spain.

Both teams possess tactical strengths that could influence the outcome of the match, making it a closely contested affair. With the stakes high, this matchup is sure to provide an exciting display of water polo prowess from both sides.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-01-21T20:52:02+00:00.

Spain
64.2%
Draw
11.1%
Croatia
24.7%

Prediction (the most likely score): 15:12

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
1.42 7.9 3.68
1.41 8.5 3.66

Latest Results

20.01.26 Spain water polo – Hungary water polo – 14:15 penalties
18.01.26 France water polo – Spain water polo – 8:14
16.01.26 Montenegro water polo – Spain water polo – 6:14
14.01.26 Netherlands water polo – Spain water polo – 7:14
12.01.26 Spain water polo – Serbia water polo – 11:12
21.01.26 Italy water polo – Croatia water polo – 13:10
19.01.26 Croatia water polo – Turkey water polo – 22:9
17.01.26 Croatia water polo – Romania water polo – 17:9
15.01.26 Greece water polo – Croatia water polo – 11:10
13.01.26 Georgia water polo – Croatia water polo – 7:18

Facts

  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spain won 4.
  • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
  • Croatia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, Spain is a strong favorite.
  • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Spain won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 176:157. (average 9.8:8.7).

    Latest Head To Head

    12.04.25 Spain water polo – Croatia water polo – 19:14
    10.01.25 Croatia water polo – Spain water polo – 14:15
    07.08.24 Croatia water polo – Spain water polo – 10:8
    04.07.24 Spain water polo – Croatia water polo – 12:11
    07.02.24 Spain water polo – Croatia water polo – 10:6

    Standings

    Preliminary

    Group A

    Pl W D L Pts
    1 Hungary 3 3 0 0 49:23 9
    2 Montenegro 3 2 0 1 44:37 6
    3 France 3 1 0 2 41:41 3
    4 Malta 3 0 0 3 31:64 0

    Group B

    Pl W D L Pts
    1 Greece 3 3 0 0 54:24 9
    2 Croatia 3 2 0 1 48:22 6
    3 Georgia 3 1 0 2 35:49 3
    4 Slovenia 3 0 0 3 23:65 0

    Group C

    Pl W D L Pts
    1 Serbia 3 2 0 0 44:33 8
    2 Spain 3 2 0 1 53:22 6
    3 Netherlands 3 1 0 1 39:38 4
    4 Israel 3 0 0 3 23:66 0

    Group D

    Pl W D L Pts
    1 Italy 3 3 0 0 56:26 9
    2 Romania 3 2 0 1 42:47 6
    3 Turkey 3 1 0 2 44:55 3
    4 Slovakia 3 0 0 3 36:50 0

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