Spartak Moscow vs Severstal Cherepovets predictions, Mar 16, 2025

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Spartak

Severstal

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In this upcoming KHL match between Spartak Moscow and Severstal Cherepovets, Spartak Moscow will have the home advantage. Both teams have had mixed results in their recent matches, with Spartak winning 2 out of their last 5 matches and Severstal winning 1 out of their last 5 matches.

The bookmakers have given Spartak Moscow the edge in this match, with coefficients of 1.84 compared to 3.38 for Severstal Cherepovets. Our ML estimation also gives Spartak Moscow the highest probability of winning at 53.4%, with the draw at 20% and Severstal Cherepovets at 26.8%.

The most likely result according to bookmakers is a 4-3 victory for Spartak Moscow. This indicates that we can expect an exciting and closely contested match between these two teams. With Spartak Moscow being the favorites to win, they will be looking to secure a valuable victory at home, while Severstal Cherepovets will be hoping to cause an upset and take home the win. Fans can expect a competitive and thrilling game of hockey.

Spartak 51.2% Draw 20.9% Severstal 27.9%

Prediction (the most likely score): 3:2

Outrights of KHL Spartak Moscow: 7.56%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
MarathonBet 1.84 4.5 3.38

Latest Results

12.03.25 HC Lada Togliatti – HC Spartak Moscow – 2:4
10.03.25 Ak Bars Kazan – HC Spartak Moscow – 3:5
08.03.25 Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod – HC Spartak Moscow – 3:0
05.03.25 HC Spartak Moscow – Kunlun Red Star – 2:3 penalties
02.03.25 HC Spartak Moscow – Avangard Omsk – 1:5
10.03.25 Lokomotiv Yaroslavl – Severstal Cherepovets – 3:0
08.03.25 Traktor Chelyabinsk – Severstal Cherepovets – 5:1
06.03.25 Severstal Cherepovets – Vityaz Balashikha – 3:0
04.03.25 Severstal Cherepovets – Lokomotiv Yaroslavl – 0:5
27.02.25 Severstal Cherepovets – Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod – 2:3

Facts

  • Spartak is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
  • Severstal is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
  • Last 5 head-to-head matches Spartak won 3.
  • Recent matches Spartak is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins – 2).
  • Severstal is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins – 1).
  • Severstal could have advantage in physics – more days for rest in last days.
  • Spartak will have a poor advantage in this game.
  • Last 20 head-to-head matches Spartak won 12 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 76:63 (average 3.8:3.2).
  • Including matches at home between the teams Spartak won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 37:22 (average 3.7:2.2).

    Latest Head To Head

    02.02.25 Severstal Cherepovets – HC Spartak Moscow – 8:6
    06.01.25 Severstal Cherepovets – HC Spartak Moscow – 5:3
    14.11.24 HC Spartak Moscow – Severstal Cherepovets – 4:1
    08.03.24 HC Spartak Moscow – Severstal Cherepovets – 5:1
    06.03.24 Severstal Cherepovets – HC Spartak Moscow – 4:5 OT

    Standings

    Main

    Western Conference

    Pl W WO LO L Pts
    1 Lokomotiv Yaroslavl ✔ 64 36 10 3 15 179:117 95
    2 Dynamo Moscow ✔ 63 35 4 5 19 192:155 83
    3 CSKA Moscow ✔ 64 29 8 9 18 189:160 83
    4 Dinamo Minsk ✔ 63 34 3 7 19 187:146 81
    5 Spartak Moscow ✔ 64 29 7 9 19 209:188 81
    6 SKA St. Petersburg ✔ 64 27 9 5 23 227:196 77
    7 Cherepovets ✔ 63 33 4 1 25 182:182 75
    8 Nizhny Novgorod ✔ 64 24 7 8 25 197:185 70
    9 Kunlun 65 19 9 5 32 165:218 61
    10 Vityaz Balashikha 64 19 4 9 32 156:179 55
    11 Sochi 63 15 4 7 37 144:207 45

    Eastern Conference

    Pl W WO LO L Pts
    1 Tractor Chelyabinsk ✔ 65 35 7 6 17 212:153 90
    2 Salavat Ufa ✔ 63 30 11 3 19 196:150 85
    3 Magnitogorsk ✔ 64 29 11 4 20 180:144 84
    4 Bars Kazan ✔ 65 31 9 2 23 199:158 82
    5 Avangard Omsk ✔ 64 30 9 4 21 190:156 82
    6 Yekaterinburg ✔ 63 30 7 7 19 163:153 81
    7 Vladivostok 63 19 9 11 24 172:181 67
    8 Novosibirsk 63 23 3 10 27 158:184 62
    9 Niznekamsk 63 17 4 17 25 143:187 59
    10 Lada 64 16 5 8 35 136:177 50
    11 Khabarovsk 63 9 6 8 40 136:222 38
    12 Barys Astana 63 8 5 7 43 89:203 33

    KHL Outrights

    1. Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: 3.9 (18.41%)

    2. SKA St. Petersburg: 5.75 (12.49%)

    3. Tractor Chelyabinsk: 5.75 (12.49%)

    4. CSKA Moscow: 7.75 (9.27%)

    5. Dynamo Moscow: 9.5 (7.56%)

    6. Spartak Moscow: 9.5 (7.56%)

    7. Salavat Ufa: 11 (6.53%)

    8. Bars Kazan: 12 (5.98%)

    9. Avangard Omsk: 14 (5.13%)

    10. Metallurg Magnitogorsk: 14 (5.13%)

    11. Yekaterinburg: 19 (3.78%)

    12. Dinamo Minsk: 28 (2.56%)

    13. Nizhny Novgorod: 38 (1.89%)

    14. Vladivostok: 125 (0.57%)

    15. Niznekamsk: 200 (0.36%)

    16. Red Star Kunlun: 250 (0.29%)

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