Springfield Thunderbirds vs Rochester Americans predictions, Jan 03, 2025

Jan 01, 2025 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

AHL, on Friday,

Springfield

Rochester

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

In this AHL matchup between the Springfield Thunderbirds and the Rochester Americans, both teams are coming off of mixed results in their previous games. Springfield has only won 1 out of their last 5 matches, while Rochester has won 4 out of their last 5 matches. The bookmakers have given relatively close coefficients for both teams, indicating that this could be a closely contested game.

Our ML estimation gives a slight edge to Rochester Americans with a probability of 37.9%, while Springfield Thunderbirds have a probability of 39.2%. The chances of a draw are 21.7%. The bookmakers have predicted a final score of 4:3, which suggests that it could be a high-scoring game with both teams going all out for the win.

Overall, this game is shaping up to be an exciting and closely fought contest between two evenly matched teams. Fans can expect an intense and thrilling matchup as both teams battle it out on the ice.

Springfield 39.5% Draw 22.2% Rochester 38.3%

Prediction (the most likely score): 4:3

Outrights of AHL Rochester Americans: 2.69% Springfield Thunderbirds: 1.53%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
MarathonBet 2.22 4 2.5

Latest Results

31.12.24 Springfield Thunderbirds – Hartford Wolf Pack – 0:7
28.12.24 Springfield Thunderbirds – Bridgeport Islanders – 5:7
27.12.24 Springfield Thunderbirds – Hartford Wolf Pack – 5:2
22.12.24 Laval Rocket – Springfield Thunderbirds – 3:1
21.12.24 Belleville Senators – Springfield Thunderbirds – 5:2		 28.12.24 Utica Comets – Rochester Americans – 2:3 OT
27.12.24 Rochester Americans – Utica Comets – 6:3
22.12.24 Cleveland Monsters – Rochester Americans – 2:3
20.12.24 Rochester Americans – Syracuse Crunch – 3:1
18.12.24 Rochester Americans – Syracuse Crunch – 2:5

Facts

  • Let’s watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 7 and 1).
  • Last 5 head-to-head matches Springfield won 2.
  • Springfield is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins – 1).
  • Rochester is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins – 4).
  • Rochester could have advantage in physics – more days for rest in last days.
  • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
  • Our prediction for today’s Rochester to win the game is with odds 2.38.
  • Last 16 head-to-head matches Springfield won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 42:52 (average 2.6:3.3).
  • Including matches at home between the teams Springfield won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 27:25 (average 3:2.8).

    Latest Head To Head

    20.01.24 Rochester Americans – Springfield Thunderbirds – 7:3
    13.12.23 Springfield Thunderbirds – Rochester Americans – 4:3 penalties
    25.02.23 Springfield Thunderbirds – Rochester Americans – 1:7
    10.02.23 Rochester Americans – Springfield Thunderbirds – 0:4
    19.04.22 Rochester Americans – Springfield Thunderbirds – 3:2 penalties

    Standings

    2024/25

    Atlantic Division

    Pl W WO LO L Pts
    1 Hershey Bears 32 12 7 3 10 100:89 41
    2 Charlotte Checkers 29 15 3 3 8 107:80 39
    3 Providence Bruins 31 15 2 3 11 94:79 37
    4 Wilkes-Barre/Scranton 27 14 3 2 8 87:76 36
    5 Hartford Wolf Pack 30 9 5 3 13 89:94 31
    6 Lehigh Valley Phantoms 31 6 7 5 13 91:108 31
    7 Springfield Thunderbirds 30 10 3 3 14 89:103 29
    8 Bridgeport Islanders 30 7 0 4 19 84:118 18

    Central Division

    Pl W WO LO L Pts
    1 Grand Rapids Griffins 31 15 4 3 9 94:79 41
    2 Texas Stars 29 12 5 1 11 105:95 35
    3 Chicago Wolves 27 13 2 2 10 77:77 32
    4 Milwaukee Admirals 28 12 2 4 10 82:76 32
    5 Rockford IceHogs 30 12 1 4 13 86:91 30
    6 Iowa Wild 29 11 0 1 17 86:106 23
    7 Manitoba Moose 27 5 2 1 19 58:103 15

    Pacific Division

    Pl W WO LO L Pts
    1 Calgary Wranglers 31 19 2 1 9 111:81 43
    2 Ontario Reign 27 15 3 1 8 97:79 37
    3 San Jose Barracuda 29 14 3 2 10 96:81 36
    4 Colorado Eagles 28 14 2 3 9 92:72 35
    5 Coachella Valley Firebirds 31 14 1 5 11 96:94 35
    6 Tucson Roadrunners 28 14 2 1 11 87:81 33
    7 Abbotsford Canucks 28 13 1 1 13 87:83 29
    8 Bakersfield Condors 27 10 2 4 11 77:83 28
    9 San Diego Gulls 29 6 3 3 17 79:105 21
    10 Henderson Silver Knights 30 8 0 0 22 81:117 16

    North Division

    Pl W WO LO L Pts
    1 Rochester Americans 31 14 5 3 9 103:83 41
    2 Cleveland Monsters 31 12 6 3 10 103:98 39
    3 Toronto Marlies 27 12 5 5 5 89:71 39
    4 Laval Rocket 30 14 4 2 10 90:81 38
    5 Syracuse Crunch 29 10 3 7 9 79:71 33
    6 Belleville Senators 27 10 3 5 9 76:87 31
    7 Utica Comets 26 6 1 4 15 58:89 18

    AHL Outrights

    1. Hershey Bears: 7.5 (10.41%)

    2. Calgary Wranglers: 9 (8.68%)

    3. Charlotte Checkers: 13 (6.01%)

    4. Toronto Marlies: 13 (6.01%)

    5. Coachella Valley Firebirds: 15 (5.21%)

    6. Milwaukee Admirals: 15 (5.21%)

    7. Grand Rapids Griffins: 15 (5.21%)

    8. Cleveland Monsters: 17 (4.59%)

    9. Wilkes-Barre/Scranton: 19 (4.11%)

    10. Laval Rocket: 19 (4.11%)

    11. Syracuse Crunch: 21 (3.72%)

    12. San Jose Barracuda: 21 (3.72%)

    13. Colorado Eagles: 26 (3%)

    14. Ontario Reign: 29 (2.69%)

    15. Rochester Americans: 29 (2.69%)

    16. Providence Bruins: 34 (2.3%)

    17. Tucson Roadrunners: 34 (2.3%)

    18. Belleville Senators: 34 (2.3%)

    19. Texas Stars: 34 (2.3%)

    20. Abbotsford Canucks: 41 (1.9%)

    21. Chicago Wolves: 41 (1.9%)

    22. Rockford IceHogs: 51 (1.53%)

    23. Bakersfield Condors: 51 (1.53%)

    24. Hartford Wolf Pack: 51 (1.53%)

    25. Lehigh Valley Phantoms: 51 (1.53%)

    26. Springfield Thunderbirds: 51 (1.53%)

    27. Manitoba Moose: 101 (0.77%)

    28. Iowa Wild: 101 (0.77%)

    29. San Diego Gulls: 101 (0.77%)

    30. Bridgeport Islanders: 126 (0.62%)

    31. Utica Comets: 151 (0.52%)

    32. Henderson Silver Knights: 151 (0.52%)

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