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St. George Illawarra Dragons vs Newcastle Knights predictions, May 09, 2026

Australian NRL, on Saturday,

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On May 9, 2026, the St. George Illawarra Dragons host the Newcastle Knights in what promises to be an intriguing NRL showdown. St. George Illawarra will be looking to halt a troubling run of form, having lost all of their last five matches. Their struggles may stem from a lack of consistency in both attack and defense, which has seen them fall behind early and fail to recover in games.

In contrast, the Newcastle Knights enter this clash with a modicum of momentum, having secured two wins in their last five outings. Their recent success can be attributed to a more cohesive game plan and a potent offensive line that has been able to capitalize on opponents’ mistakes.

Bookmakers reflect this disparity in form with odds favoring Newcastle at 1.47 against St. George’s 2.79 for a home win. Furthermore, analytic models suggest a probability of 37.3% for a Dragons victory, 4.2% for a draw, and a notable 56.1% likelihood of an away win for the Knights. With predictions leaning towards a close scoreline of 24:29, this matchup could hinge on which team can effectively impose their strategy, making for a compelling contest. As always, outcomes in sport remain unpredictable, and both teams will be eager to stake their claim.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-05-03T18:52:02+00:00.

St. George Illawarra
29.4%
Draw
3.7%
Newcastle
66.9%

Prediction (the most likely score): 23:32

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
3.4 18 1.4
3.05 32 1.39
3.2 23 1.33

Latest Results

25.04.26 St. George Illawarra Dragons – Sydney Roosters – 16:62
18.04.26 South Sydney Rabbitohs – St. George Illawarra Dragons – 30:12
10.04.26 St. George Illawarra Dragons – Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles – 18:28
04.04.26 St. George Illawarra Dragons – North Queensland Cowboys – 0:32
29.03.26 Gold Coast Titans – St. George Illawarra Dragons – 22:14
03.05.26 Newcastle Knights – South Sydney Rabbitohs – 42:38
26.04.26 Newcastle Knights – Penrith Panthers – 12:44
19.04.26 Sydney Roosters – Newcastle Knights – 38:24
12.04.26 Wests Tigers – Newcastle Knights – 42:22
05.04.26 Newcastle Knights – Canberra Raiders – 32:12

Facts

  • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 10).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. George Illawarra won 3.
  • St. George Illawarra has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
  • In recent matches, Newcastle has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
  • St. George Illawarra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • In this match, Newcastle is a strong favorite.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. George Illawarra won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 416:421. (average 20.8:21.1).
  • Including home matches between the teams, St. George Illawarra won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 248:223. (average 24.8:22.3).

    Latest Head To Head

    07.02.26 St. George Illawarra Dragons – Newcastle Knights – 28:18
    30.05.25 St. George Illawarra Dragons – Newcastle Knights – 20:6
    05.04.24 Newcastle Knights – St. George Illawarra Dragons – 30:10
    02.09.23 St. George Illawarra Dragons – Newcastle Knights – 12:32
    17.04.22 St. George Illawarra Dragons – Newcastle Knights – 21:16

    Standings

    Main

    Pl W L Pts
    1 Penrith Panthers 9 8 1 291:122 16
    2 New Zealand Warriors 9 7 2 278:170 14
    3 Sydney Roosters 8 6 2 253:202 14
    4 South Sydney Rabbitohs 8 5 3 260:192 12
    5 Wests Tigers 8 5 3 219:179 12
    6 NQ Cowboys 9 6 3 239:227 12
    7 Manly Sea Eagles 8 4 4 227:176 10
    8 Cronulla Sharks 8 4 4 244:208 10
    9 Brisbane Broncos 9 5 4 210:209 10
    10 Newcastle Knights 9 5 4 232:262 10
    11 Dolphins 8 3 5 184:195 8
    12 Canterbury Bulldogs 8 3 5 145:194 8
    13 Canberra Raiders 9 4 5 183:249 8
    14 Gold Coast Titans 8 2 6 158:204 6
    15 Parramatta Eels 9 3 6 194:315 6
    16 Melbourne Storm 9 2 7 198:260 4
    17 St. George Illawarra Dragons 8 0 8 114:265 0

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