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St. Pauli vs Freiburg predictions, Mar 22, 2026

Yuriy Borshchenko

German Bundesliga, on Sunday,

Score, Highlights

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As FC St. Pauli prepares to host SC Freiburg on March 22, 2026, both teams enter the match with varied recent form. FC St. Pauli has secured victories in 2 of their last 5 fixtures, indicating a slight uptick in their competitive edge. In contrast, SC Freiburg has struggled, managing only 1 win in their last 5 outings, which raises questions about their current momentum.

The bookmakers favor St. Pauli slightly with odds of 2.62 for a home victory, while Freiburg’s odds stand at 2.86. This reflects a close contest ahead, as indicated by our model’s predictions: a 36% probability of a home win, 30.8% for a draw, and 33.5% for an away win.

Tactically, St. Pauli may look to capitalize on their home advantage, leveraging their crowd support and familiar surroundings. Freiburg, on the other hand, will need to focus on solidifying their defense and finding opportunities on the counterattack to unsettle their opponents.

Overall, while St. Pauli has the advantage of form and home ground, the unpredictable nature of Bundesliga clashes means a balanced outlook is essential for predicting the outcome. A predicted final scoreline of 1:1 suggests a tightly contested match, with neither side able to dominate.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-03-15T19:52:03+00:00.

St. Pauli
36.2%		 Draw
30.4%		 Freiburg
33.5%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
2.71 3.25 2.92
2.75 3.19 2.96 Watch and Bet
2.5 3 2.75
2.62 3.11 2.86

Latest Results

13.03.26 Borussia Mönchengladbach – FC St. Pauli – 2:0
08.03.26 FC St. Pauli – Eintracht Frankfurt – 0:0
28.02.26 TSG Hoffenheim – FC St. Pauli – 0:1
22.02.26 FC St. Pauli – Werder Bremen – 2:1
14.02.26 Bayer Leverkusen – FC St. Pauli – 4:0		 15.03.26 SC Freiburg – Union Berlin – 0:1
12.03.26 Racing Genk – SC Freiburg – 1:0
07.03.26 SC Freiburg – Bayer Leverkusen – 3:3
01.03.26 Eintracht Frankfurt – SC Freiburg – 2:0
22.02.26 SC Freiburg – Borussia Mönchengladbach – 2:1

Facts

  • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation) and 8).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 1.
  • Recent performances by St. Pauli have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
  • Freiburg has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
  • St. Pauli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
  • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.1:1.5).
  • Including home matches between the teams, St. Pauli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

    Latest Head To Head

    09.11.25 SC Freiburg – FC St. Pauli – 2:1
    15.02.25 FC St. Pauli – SC Freiburg – 0:1
    28.09.24 SC Freiburg – FC St. Pauli – 0:3
    19.10.22 SC Freiburg – FC St. Pauli – 2:1 ET
    07.10.21 SC Freiburg – FC St. Pauli – 3:0

    Standings

    2025/26

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Bayern Munich 26 21 4 1 93:25 68 67
    2 Dortmund 26 17 7 2 55:26 29 58
    3 Hoffenheim 26 15 5 6 54:34 20 50
    4 Stuttgart 26 15 5 6 51:34 17 50
    5 RB Leipzig 26 14 5 7 48:35 13 47
    6 Bayer Leverkusen 26 13 6 7 49:33 16 45
    7 Eintracht Frankfurt 26 10 8 8 49:49 0 38
    8 Freiburg 26 9 7 10 37:43 -6 34
    9 Union Berlin 26 8 7 11 31:42 -11 31
    10 Augsburg 26 9 4 13 31:45 -14 31
    11 Hamburger SV 26 7 9 10 29:37 -8 30
    12 B. Monchengladbach 26 7 7 12 30:43 -13 28
    13 Mainz 26 6 9 11 31:41 -10 27
    14 FC Koln 26 6 7 13 35:44 -9 25
    15 Werder Bremen 26 6 7 13 29:47 -18 25
    16 St. Pauli 26 6 6 14 23:42 -19 24
    17 Wolfsburg 26 5 6 15 35:56 -21 21
    18 Heidenheim 26 3 5 18 24:58 -34 14

    German Bundesliga Outrights

    1. Bayern Munich: 1 (98.05%)

    2. Dortmund: 106.5 (0.92%)

    3. Hoffenheim: 262.75 (0.37%)

    4. RB Leipzig: 325.25 (0.3%)

    5. VfB Stuttgart: 450.25 (0.22%)

    6. Bayer Leverkusen: 700.25 (0.14%)

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