St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV predictions, Jan 23, 2026

Jan 17, 2026 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

German Bundesliga, on Friday,

St. Pauli

Hamburger SV

Score, Highlights

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As FC St. Pauli prepares to host Hamburger SV on January 23, 2026, both teams come into the match seeking to rekindle their form after struggling in recent outings. St. Pauli has managed just one victory in their last five matches, which highlights a need for improvement. Similarly, Hamburger SV has also won only once in their last five games, which indicates they too are seeking stability.

In terms of tactical approaches, St. Pauli is known for their high-pressing game and an emphasis on attacking through the wings, while Hamburger SV typically adopts a more balanced approach, focusing on solid defensive organization combined with quick counter-attacks. Given the stakes of this clash, both teams may look to control the midfield to gain an upper hand.

Bookmakers currently favor St. Pauli slightly with odds at 2.4 for a home win compared to 2.98 for an away victory for Hamburger SV. Our predictive model assigns a 39.9% chance of a home win, underscoring a relatively closely matched contest. The predicted final score of 1-1 reflects the potential for a tightly contested encounter. With form being a critical factor, anything could happen as both teams vie for crucial points.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-01-17T06:52:03+00:00.

St. Pauli
39.6%		 Draw
28.6%		 Hamburg
31.8%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

Outrights of German Bundesliga St. Pauli: 0.1%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
betsson 2.42 3.35 2.98
MarathonBet 2.48 3.44 3.11 Watch Watch and Bet
WilliamHill 2.3 3.25 2.9
Pinnacle 2.4 3.34 2.98
Best for US Customers 2.4 3.33 2.9

Latest Results

14.01.26 VfL Wolfsburg – FC St. Pauli – 2:1
04.01.26 FC St. Pauli – Werder Bremen – 0:0
21.12.25 Mainz 05 – FC St. Pauli – 0:0
13.12.25 FC St. Pauli – 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 – 2:1
06.12.25 1. FC Köln – FC St. Pauli – 1:1		 10.01.26 SC Freiburg – Hamburger SV – 2:1
20.12.25 Hamburger SV – Eintracht Frankfurt – 1:1
13.12.25 TSG Hoffenheim – Hamburger SV – 4:1
07.12.25 Hamburger SV – Werder Bremen – 3:2
03.12.25 Hamburger SV – Holstein Kiel – 1:2 penalties

Facts

  • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 14).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 2.
  • Recent performances by St. Pauli have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • Hamburg is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
  • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
  • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:17. (average 1.6:1.3).
  • Including home matches between the teams, St. Pauli won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 1.8:1.3).

    Latest Head To Head

    29.08.25 Hamburger SV – FC St. Pauli – 0:2
    03.05.24 Hamburger SV – FC St. Pauli – 1:0
    01.12.23 FC St. Pauli – Hamburger SV – 2:2
    21.04.23 Hamburger SV – FC St. Pauli – 4:3
    14.10.22 FC St. Pauli – Hamburger SV – 3:0

    Standings

    2025/26

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Bayern Munich 17 15 2 0 66:13 53 47
    2 Dortmund 17 10 6 1 32:15 17 36
    3 RB Leipzig 16 10 2 4 32:19 13 32
    4 Stuttgart 17 10 2 5 32:25 7 32
    5 Hoffenheim 16 9 3 4 34:21 13 30
    6 Bayer Leverkusen 16 9 2 5 34:24 10 29
    7 Eintracht Frankfurt 18 7 6 5 38:39 -1 27
    8 Freiburg 17 6 5 6 27:29 -2 23
    9 Union Berlin 17 6 5 6 23:26 -3 23
    10 B. Monchengladbach 17 5 4 8 23:29 -6 19
    11 Wolfsburg 17 5 3 9 26:37 -11 18
    12 Werder Bremen 17 4 6 7 21:34 -13 18
    13 FC Koln 17 4 5 8 25:29 -4 17
    14 Hamburger SV 16 4 4 8 17:27 -10 16
    15 Augsburg 17 4 3 10 18:33 -15 15
    16 Mainz 17 2 6 9 17:29 -12 12
    17 St. Pauli 16 3 3 10 14:28 -14 12
    18 Heidenheim 17 3 3 11 16:38 -22 12

    German Bundesliga Outrights

    1. Bayern Munich: 1.01 (93.38%)

    2. Dortmund: 48.67 (1.93%)

    3. Bayer Leverkusen: 96.2 (0.98%)

    4. RB Leipzig: 100.33 (0.94%)

    5. VfB Stuttgart: 192 (0.49%)

    6. Hoffenheim: 230.2 (0.41%)

    7. Freiburg: 280.2 (0.34%)

    8. Eintracht Frankfurt: 380.2 (0.25%)

    9. 1. FC Koln: 480.2 (0.2%)

    10. Union Berlin: 580.2 (0.16%)

    11. B. Monchengladbach: 580.2 (0.16%)

    12. Werder Bremen: 680.2 (0.14%)

    13. Hamburger: 680.2 (0.14%)

    14. Wolfsburg: 880.2 (0.11%)

    15. Augsburg: 980.2 (0.1%)

    16. Mainz: 980.2 (0.1%)

    17. Heidenheim: 980.2 (0.1%)

    18. St. Pauli: 980.2 (0.1%)

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