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St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig predictions, Jan 10, 2026

Yuriy Borshchenko

German Bundesliga, on Saturday,

Score, Highlights

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As FC St. Pauli prepares to host RB Leipzig on January 10, 2026, the matchup promises to be an intriguing contest, given both teams’ recent forms. FC St. Pauli has secured victory in 2 of their last 5 matches, showcasing a determination to improve within the Bundesliga. Their tactical approach often emphasizes solid defensive organization, looking to capitalize on counter-attacking opportunities.

In contrast, RB Leipzig, also with 2 wins in their past 5 fixtures, has displayed a more aggressive style of play, characterized by high pressing and rapid transitions. The visitors are currently favored heading into this match, with bookmaker odds suggesting a 1.91 payout for an away win compared to 3.83 for a home victory.

Statistical models indicate a 23.8% likelihood of a St. Pauli win, contrasting with a stronger 51.9% probability of a Leipzig triumph. Both squads will need to focus on maintaining discipline and exploiting opposing weaknesses, with Leipzig likely aiming to leverage their technical ability and pace.

Ultimately, while Leipzig enters as favorites, the unpredictable nature of the Bundesliga ensures that anything can happen on match day, making this encounter one to watch closely.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-01-04T06:52:02+00:00.

St. Pauli
25.1%		 Draw
25.7%		 RB Leipzig
49.2%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:2

Outrights of German Bundesliga RB Leipzig: 1.17% St. Pauli: 0.1%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
3.75 3.6 1.93
3.88 3.77 1.89
3.7 3.7 1.95
3.91 3.8 2.01 Watch and Bet
3.6 3.5 1.91
3.83 3.75 1.91
3.8 3.66 1.9

Latest Results

21.12.25 Mainz 05 – FC St. Pauli – 0:0
13.12.25 FC St. Pauli – 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 – 2:1
06.12.25 1. FC Köln – FC St. Pauli – 1:1
02.12.25 Borussia Mönchengladbach – FC St. Pauli – 1:2
29.11.25 Bayern Munich – FC St. Pauli – 3:1		 20.12.25 RB Leipzig – Bayer Leverkusen – 1:3
12.12.25 Union Berlin – RB Leipzig – 3:1
06.12.25 RB Leipzig – Eintracht Frankfurt – 6:0
02.12.25 RB Leipzig – FC Magdeburg – 3:1
28.11.25 Borussia Mönchengladbach – RB Leipzig – 0:0

Facts

  • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 2.
  • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
  • Recently, St. Pauli has had a series of away games.
  • RB Leipzig could have a small edge in this match.
  • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.9:1.4).
  • Including home matches between the teams, St. Pauli won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 0.7:0).

    Latest Head To Head

    09.02.25 RB Leipzig – FC St. Pauli – 2:0
    29.10.24 RB Leipzig – FC St. Pauli – 4:2
    22.09.24 FC St. Pauli – RB Leipzig – 0:0
    12.02.16 FC St. Pauli – RB Leipzig – 1:0
    23.08.15 RB Leipzig – FC St. Pauli – 0:1

    Standings

    2025/26

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Bayern Munich 15 13 2 0 55:11 44 41
    2 Dortmund 15 9 5 1 26:12 14 32
    3 Bayer Leverkusen 15 9 2 4 33:20 13 29
    4 RB Leipzig 15 9 2 4 30:19 11 29
    5 Hoffenheim 15 8 3 4 29:20 9 27
    6 Stuttgart 15 8 2 5 25:22 3 26
    7 Eintracht Frankfurt 15 7 4 4 30:30 0 25
    8 Union Berlin 15 6 3 6 20:23 -3 21
    9 Freiburg 15 5 5 5 25:26 -1 20
    10 Werder Bremen 15 4 5 6 18:28 -10 17
    11 FC Koln 15 4 4 7 22:24 -2 16
    12 B. Monchengladbach 15 4 4 7 18:24 -6 16
    13 Hamburger SV 15 4 4 7 16:25 -9 16
    14 Wolfsburg 15 4 3 8 23:28 -5 15
    15 Augsburg 15 4 2 9 17:28 -11 14
    16 St. Pauli 15 3 3 9 13:26 -13 12
    17 Heidenheim 15 3 2 10 13:34 -21 11
    18 Mainz 15 1 5 9 13:26 -13 8

    German Bundesliga Outrights

    1. Bayern Munich: 1.01 (92.73%)

    2. Dortmund: 37.83 (2.48%)

    3. RB Leipzig: 80.33 (1.17%)

    4. Bayer Leverkusen: 89 (1.05%)

    5. VfB Stuttgart: 275.33 (0.34%)

    6. Eintracht Frankfurt: 275.33 (0.34%)

    7. Freiburg: 280.2 (0.33%)

    8. Hoffenheim: 358.67 (0.26%)

    9. 1. FC Koln: 480.2 (0.2%)

    10. Werder Bremen: 580.2 (0.16%)

    11. Union Berlin: 580.2 (0.16%)

    12. B. Monchengladbach: 580.2 (0.16%)

    13. Hamburger: 680.2 (0.14%)

    14. Wolfsburg: 880.2 (0.11%)

    15. Augsburg: 980.2 (0.1%)

    16. Mainz: 980.2 (0.1%)

    17. Heidenheim: 980.2 (0.1%)

    18. St. Pauli: 980.2 (0.1%)

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