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Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens predictions, Mar 31, 2026

Yuriy Borshchenko

NHL, on Tuesday,

Score, Highlights

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As the Tampa Bay Lightning prepare to host the Montreal Canadiens on March 31, 2026, fans can expect an exciting clash between two teams with differing recent form. The Lightning have secured victories in 3 of their last 5 games, showcasing their offensive prowess. Conversely, the Canadiens are riding a strong wave of momentum, having won 4 of their last 5 matches, indicating a revival in form.

Tampa Bay’s ability to capitalize on home-ice advantage could prove vital, as they look to leverage their potent attack against Montreal’s defensive setup. The predicted final score of 4-3 suggests a high-scoring affair in which the Lightning may utilize their skilled forwards to exploit any defensive lapses. Montreal, on the other hand, enters the matchup with a solid road performance and will aim to counter with strategic play and quick transitions to catch the Lightning off guard.

Bookmakers favor the Lightning with odds of 1.94 for a home win, reflecting a 54.5% probability of success according to model predictions. However, with the Canadiens expressing formidable form, this match is poised to be competitive, making a draw (24.7%) or an away victory (26.1%) plausible outcomes. Bettors should weigh the strengths of both teams carefully before placing their wagers.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-03-30T01:52:03+00:00.

Tampa Bay
48.7%		 Draw
21.8%		 Montreal
29.5%

Prediction (the most likely score): 4:3

Outrights of NHL Tampa Bay Lightning: 15.51% Montreal Canadiens: 2.49%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
1.99 4.51 3.27
1.94 4.27 3.23

Latest Results

29.03.26 Tampa Bay Lightning – Nashville Predators – 3:2
28.03.26 Tampa Bay Lightning – Ottawa Senators – 4:2
26.03.26 Tampa Bay Lightning – Seattle Kraken – 3:4 OT
24.03.26 Tampa Bay Lightning – Minnesota Wild – 6:3
22.03.26 Calgary Flames – Tampa Bay Lightning – 4:3 OT		 29.03.26 Carolina Hurricanes – Montreal Canadiens – 1:3
28.03.26 Nashville Predators – Montreal Canadiens – 1:4
26.03.26 Montreal Canadiens – Columbus Blue Jackets – 2:1
24.03.26 Montreal Canadiens – Carolina Hurricanes – 5:2
21.03.26 Montreal Canadiens – New York Islanders – 7:3

Facts

  • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 3.
  • Tampa Bay has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
  • Montreal is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
  • Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.
  • Tampa Bay will hold a modest advantage in this match.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 80:55. (average 4:2.8).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 37:29. (average 3.7:2.9).

    Latest Head To Head

    28.12.25 Tampa Bay Lightning – Montreal Canadiens – 5:4 penalties
    09.12.25 Montreal Canadiens – Tampa Bay Lightning – 1:6
    09.02.25 Montreal Canadiens – Tampa Bay Lightning – 3:5
    21.01.25 Montreal Canadiens – Tampa Bay Lightning – 3:2
    29.12.24 Tampa Bay Lightning – Montreal Canadiens – 2:5

    Standings

    Main

    Western Conference

    Pl W WO LO L Pts
    1 Colorado Avalanche ✔ 72 42 6 10 14 268:183 106
    2 Dallas Stars ✔ 74 34 10 12 18 252:203 100
    3 Minnesota Wild 74 26 15 12 21 242:216 94
    4 Anaheim Ducks 73 24 17 4 28 245:251 86
    5 Edmonton Oilers 74 28 9 9 28 258:251 83
    6 Utah Mammoth 74 29 9 6 30 235:212 82
    7 Vegas Golden Knights 74 24 8 16 26 232:234 80
    8 Nashville Predators 74 25 9 9 31 220:246 77
    9 Los Angeles Kings 73 19 10 18 26 195:222 76
    10 Seattle Kraken 72 25 7 11 29 206:224 75
    11 Winnipeg Jets 73 25 6 12 30 209:225 74
    12 San Jose Sharks 71 21 12 7 31 215:253 73
    13 St. Louis Blues 72 27 4 11 30 191:227 73
    14 Calgary Flames 73 24 7 8 34 189:225 70
    15 Chicago Blackhawks 74 20 7 13 34 192:244 67
    16 Vancouver Canucks 72 14 7 8 43 185:273 50

    Eastern Conference

    Pl W WO LO L Pts
    1 Tampa Bay Lightning 73 37 9 6 21 267:203 98
    2 Carolina Hurricanes 73 33 13 6 21 258:216 98
    3 Buffalo Sabres 74 37 8 8 21 259:218 98
    4 Montreal Canadiens 73 30 12 10 21 258:233 94
    5 Boston Bruins 74 30 12 8 24 250:230 92
    6 New York Islanders 74 28 14 5 27 216:209 89
    7 Pittsburgh Penguins 73 29 7 16 21 250:234 88
    8 Columbus Blue Jackets 74 27 11 12 24 237:226 88
    9 Detroit Red Wings 73 28 11 8 26 215:218 86
    10 Ottawa Senators 73 32 6 10 25 244:224 86
    11 Philadelphia Flyers 73 23 14 12 24 216:219 86
    12 Washington Capitals 74 31 6 9 28 232:219 83
    13 New Jersey Devils 73 26 12 2 33 204:223 78
    14 Toronto Maple Leafs 74 23 8 13 30 230:260 75
    15 Florida Panthers 73 27 8 3 35 216:244 73
    16 New York Rangers 74 21 9 9 35 211:232 69

    NHL Outrights

    1. Colorado Avalanche: 4 (20.84%)

    2. Tampa Bay Lightning: 5.38 (15.51%)

    3. Carolina Hurricanes: 6.25 (13.34%)

    4. Dallas Stars: 11.5 (7.25%)

    5. Edmonton Oilers: 13 (6.41%)

    6. Vegas Golden Knights: 15 (5.56%)

    7. Minnesota Wild: 16.5 (5.05%)

    8. Buffalo Sabres: 17.5 (4.76%)

    9. Ottawa Senators: 27 (3.09%)

    10. Utah Mammoth: 28.5 (2.92%)

    11. Montreal Canadiens: 33.5 (2.49%)

    12. Pittsburgh Penguins: 36 (2.32%)

    13. Anaheim Ducks: 38.5 (2.17%)

    14. Columbus Blue Jackets: 41 (2.03%)

    15. New York Islanders: 58.5 (1.42%)

    16. Detroit Red Wings: 78.5 (1.06%)

    17. Los Angeles Kings: 78.5 (1.06%)

    18. Boston Bruins: 78.5 (1.06%)

    19. Nashville Predators: 226 (0.37%)

    20. Washington Capitals: 401 (0.21%)

    21. Philadelphia Flyers: 401 (0.21%)

    22. Winnipeg Jets: 451 (0.18%)

    23. Seattle Kraken: 501 (0.17%)

    24. San Jose Sharks: 876 (0.1%)

    25. St. Louis Blues: 1001 (0.08%)

    26. New Jersey Devils: 1126 (0.07%)

    27. Florida Panthers: 1251 (0.07%)

    28. Toronto Maple Leafs: 1251 (0.07%)

    29. Calgary Flames: 1251 (0.07%)

    30. Chicago Blackhawks: 1251 (0.07%)

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