Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Orlando City predictions, May 07, 2025

May 06, 2025 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

US Open Cup, on Wednesday,

Tampa Bay

Orlando City

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

The upcoming US Open Cup match between Tampa Bay Rowdies and Orlando City is shaping up to be a highly competitive showdown. Both teams have struggled in recent matches, with only one win each in their last five games. However, with the home advantage, Tampa Bay Rowdies will be looking to capitalize on their strong defensive record and secure a much-needed victory.

On the other hand, Orlando City will be eager to turn their recent form around and come out on top in this important fixture. With an impressive attacking lineup, they will be a force to be reckoned with and will be aiming to take all three points on the road.

Bookmakers have given slightly higher odds to the away team, reflecting the tight nature of this matchup. Our model predicts a narrow advantage for Orlando City, but with the home crowd behind them, Tampa Bay Rowdies will have the opportunity to pull off an upset. Expect a fast-paced, intense game with both teams fighting hard for the win.

Tampa Bay 27.6% Draw 27.1% Orlando City 45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tampa Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+27.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tampa Bay’s performance.
  • Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+45.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Orlando City’s recent form is better than expected.

    • Outrights of US Open Cup Orlando City: 3.07%

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    Betting Odds

    1 X 2
    bet_at_home 3.15 3.4 1.87
    betsson 3.35 3.45 2.04
    MarathonBet 3.33 3.1 2.07
    Best for US Customers 3.35 3.45 2.04

    Latest Results

    03.05.25 Tampa Bay Rowdies – Birmingham Legion – 2:2
    26.04.25 Tampa Bay Rowdies – Miami FC – 3:3
    19.04.25 Tampa Bay Rowdies – Louisville City FC – 1:2
    16.04.25 FC Naples – Tampa Bay Rowdies – 1:2 penalties
    12.04.25 Tampa Bay Rowdies – Loudoun United – 1:2    		 03.05.25 Chicago Fire – Orlando City – 0:0
    26.04.25 Orlando City – Atlanta United – 3:0
    19.04.25 CF Montréal – Orlando City – 0:0
    12.04.25 Orlando City – New York Red Bulls – 0:0
    05.04.25 Philadelphia Union – Orlando City – 0:0

    Facts

  • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
  • Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.
  • Orlando City might have a minor edge in this game.
  • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 1.3:3).
  • Including home match between the teams, Tampa Bay won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

    Latest Head To Head

    20.04.22 Orlando City – Tampa Bay Rowdies – 2:1
    06.07.14 Tampa Bay Rowdies – Orlando City – 2:3
    28.05.14 Orlando City – Tampa Bay Rowdies – 4:1

    Standings

    Draw

    2025

    1/128-finals

    1 Sacramento Republic Bye
    3 Monterey Bay International SF 4 : 0
    4 Real Monarchs El Farolito 1 : 3
    8 Bye San Jose Earthquakes
    9 Tacoma Defiance Washington AC 3 : 1
    10 Ballard Spokane Velocity 0 : 1
    12 Bye Oakland Roots
    16 Bye Portland Timbers
    17 FC Dallas Bye
    21 AV Alta Ventura 3 : 1
    22 Los Angeles FC II Arizona FC 7 : 1
    24 Bye Orange County SC
    25 Colorado Springs Bye
    27 Asheville City Greenville 0 : 1
    28 Appalachian One Knoxville 0 : 3
    32 Bye New York Red Bulls
    33 Austin FC Bye
    37 New Mexico Bye
    39 Ventura County Laguna United 7 : 0
    40 El Paso Harpos 5 : 1
    41 Forward Madison Duluth FC 5 : 1
    42 Tulsa Athletic FC Tulsa 0 : 1
    44 Bye Phoenix Rising
    48 Bye Houston Dynamo
    49 St. Louis City Bye
    53 Sporting Kansas City II Menace 1 : 2
    54 Flatirons Union Omaha 1 : 2
    56 Bye San Antonio
    57 Louisville City Bye
    59 West Chester Utd Loudoun 2 : 3
    60 Richmond Kickers Virginia Dream 1 : 3
    64 Bye Minnesota United
    65 Nashville SC Bye
    69 Las Vegas Lights Bye
    71 Chattanooga Corpus Christi FC 1 : 0
    72 New Jersey Alliance Chattanooga Red Wolves 2 : 3
    73 Sarasota Paradise FC Naples 1 : 2
    74 Little Rock Rangers Birmingham 1 : 0
    76 Bye Tampa Bay
    80 Bye Orlando City
    81 DC United Bye
    85 Charleston Bye
    87 Tormenta Harbor City 3 : 0
    88 Texoma Foro 1 : 2
    89 Long Island Charlotte Independ. 2 : 3
    90 Carolina Core Soda City 4 : 2
    92 Bye North Carolina
    96 Bye Charlotte
    97 Philadelphia Union Bye
    101 Indy Eleven Bye
    103 Inter Miami II Miami United 4 : 2
    104 Miami FC Naples United 4 : 1
    105 Columbus Crew 2 NY Renegades 4 : 1
    106 Lexington Southern Indiana 5 : 0
    108 Bye Pittsburgh
    112 Bye New York City
    113 Chicago Fire Bye
    117 Detroit Bye
    119 Motown Westchester SC
    120 Cincinnati 2 New York Pancyprian 0 : 1
    121 Hartford Athletic New York Shockers 3 : 0
    122 Portland Hearts of Pine Faialense 4 : 0
    124 Bye Rhode Island
    128 Bye New England Revolution

    1/64-finals

    1 Sacramento Republic Bye
    2 Monterey Bay El Farolito 1 : 2
    4 Bye San Jose Earthquakes
    5 Tacoma Defiance Spokane Velocity 2 : 1
    6 Bye Oakland Roots
    8 Bye Portland Timbers
    9 FC Dallas Bye
    11 AV Alta Los Angeles FC II 2 : 1
    12 Bye Orange County SC
    13 Colorado Springs Bye
    14 Greenville One Knoxville 1 : 3
    16 Bye New York Red Bulls
    17 Austin FC Bye
    19 New Mexico Bye
    20 Ventura County El Paso 0 : 3
    21 Forward Madison FC Tulsa 1 : 3
    22 Bye Phoenix Rising
    24 Bye Houston Dynamo
    25 St. Louis City Bye
    27 Menace Union Omaha 1 : 2
    28 Bye San Antonio
    29 Louisville City Bye
    30 Loudoun Virginia Dream 4 : 2
    32 Bye Minnesota United
    33 Nashville SC Bye
    35 Las Vegas Lights Bye
    36 Chattanooga Chattanooga Red Wolves 1 : 2
    37 FC Naples Little Rock Rangers 3 : 0
    38 Bye Tampa Bay
    40 Bye Orlando City
    41 DC United Bye
    43 Charleston Bye
    44 Tormenta Foro 3 : 2
    45 Charlotte Independ. Carolina Core 2 : 1
    46 Bye North Carolina
    48 Bye Charlotte
    49 Philadelphia Union Bye
    51 Indy Eleven Bye
    52 Inter Miami II Miami FC 0 : 1
    53 Columbus Crew 2 Lexington 3 : 0
    54 Bye Pittsburgh
    56 Bye New York City
    57 Chicago Fire Bye
    59 Detroit Bye
    60 Westchester SC New York Pancyprian 3 : 2
    61 Hartford Athletic Portland Hearts of Pine 1 : 2
    62 Bye Rhode Island
    64 Bye New England Revolution

    1/32-finals

    1 Sacramento Republic El Farolito 1 : 0
    2 Bye San Jose Earthquakes
    3 Tacoma Defiance Oakland Roots 2 : 1
    4 Bye Portland Timbers
    5 FC Dallas Bye
    6 AV Alta Orange County SC 3 : 2
    7 Colorado Springs One Knoxville 3 : 2
    8 Bye New York Red Bulls
    9 Austin FC Bye
    10 New Mexico El Paso 2 : 3
    11 FC Tulsa Phoenix Rising 1 : 2
    12 Bye Houston Dynamo
    13 St. Louis City Bye
    14 Union Omaha San Antonio 1 : 0
    15 Louisville City Loudoun 2 : 1
    16 Bye Minnesota United
    17 Nashville SC Bye
    18 Las Vegas Lights Chattanooga Red Wolves 2 : 3
    19 FC Naples Tampa Bay 1 : 2
    20 Bye Orlando City
    21 DC United Bye
    22 Charleston Tormenta 4 : 0
    23 Charlotte Independ. North Carolina 1 : 3
    24 Bye Charlotte
    25 Philadelphia Union Bye
    26 Indy Eleven Miami FC 1 : 0
    27 Columbus Crew 2 Pittsburgh 0 : 1
    28 Bye New York City
    29 Chicago Fire Bye
    30 Detroit Westchester SC 3 : 1
    31 Portland Hearts of Pine Rhode Island 1 : 2
    32 Bye New England Revolution

    1/16-finals

    1 Sacramento Republic San Jose Earthquakes
    2 Tacoma Defiance Portland Timbers
    3 FC Dallas AV Alta
    4 Colorado Springs New York Red Bulls
    5 Austin FC El Paso
    6 Phoenix Rising Houston Dynamo
    7 St. Louis City Union Omaha
    8 Louisville City Minnesota United
    9 Nashville SC Chattanooga Red Wolves
    10 Tampa Bay Orlando City
    11 DC United Charleston
    12 North Carolina Charlotte
    13 Philadelphia Union Indy Eleven
    14 Pittsburgh New York City
    15 Chicago Fire Detroit
    16 Rhode Island New England Revolution

    US Open Cup Outrights

    1. Inter Miami: 4.5 (17.74%)

    2. Los Angeles FC: 8 (9.98%)

    3. Vancouver Whitecaps: 12 (6.65%)

    4. Columbus Crew: 15 (5.32%)

    5. Los Angeles Galaxy: 17 (4.7%)

    6. New York City: 17 (4.7%)

    7. Cincinnati: 19 (4.2%)

    8. New York Red Bulls: 21 (3.8%)

    9. Seattle Sounders: 21 (3.8%)

    10. Philadelphia Union: 21 (3.8%)

    11. Orlando City: 26 (3.07%)

    12. Minnesota United: 26 (3.07%)

    13. Atlanta United: 26 (3.07%)

    14. San Diego Zest: 26 (3.07%)

    15. Real Salt Lake: 34 (2.35%)

    16. St. Louis City: 34 (2.35%)

    17. Colorado Rapids: 41 (1.95%)

    18. Austin FC: 41 (1.95%)

    19. Chicago Fire: 51 (1.57%)

    20. DC United: 51 (1.57%)

    21. Charlotte FC: 51 (1.57%)

    22. Houston Dynamo: 51 (1.57%)

    23. Nashville SC: 51 (1.57%)

    24. San Jose Earthquakes: 67 (1.19%)

    25. Sporting: 67 (1.19%)

    26. Portland Timbers: 67 (1.19%)

    27. FC Dallas: 81 (0.99%)

    28. Revolution: 101 (0.79%)

    29. CF Montreal: 126 (0.63%)

    30. SC Toronto: 126 (0.63%)

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