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Tappara vs HPK predictions, Jan 05, 2026

Yuriy Borshchenko

Finnish SM-liiga, on Monday,

Score, Highlights

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In an upcoming SM-liiga match on January 5, 2026, Tappara will face off against HPK in what promises to be an intriguing clash. Tappara hockey comes into the game with a relatively solid recent form, having won 3 of their last 5 matches. Their home advantage will also play a significant role, as they look to capitalize and secure another victory.

On the other hand, HPK Hockey has struggled to find consistency, winning only 1 of their last 5 matches. Despite this, they cannot be counted out, as they will be looking to turn their form around with a strong performance against Tappara.

In terms of bookmakers’ odds, Tappara is the clear favorite with odds of 1.4 for a home win, compared to HPK’s odds of 6.47 for an away win. Our model prediction gives Tappara a 69.3% chance of victory, with a 17.5% chance of a draw and a 14.2% chance of an away win.

Overall, this match is shaping up to be an exciting contest between two teams with different recent form trends, and the outcome is far from certain.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-01-03T18:52:02+00:00.

Tappara
70.9%		 Draw
15.8%		 HPK
13.3%

Prediction (the most likely score): 4:1

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga Tappara: 30.9% Hameenlinna: 0.94%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
1.34 5.74 7.54
1.34 5.85 6.83
1.29 5 7
1.41 5.21 6.35
1.23 7.75 7.5

Latest Results

03.01.26 Kiekko-Espoo – Tappara hockey – 2:5
27.12.25 KooKoo – Tappara hockey – 6:3
26.12.25 Tappara hockey – Pelicans Hockey – 5:0
20.12.25 Tappara hockey – Vaasan Sport – 5:0
19.12.25 Vaasan Sport – Tappara hockey – 4:2		 03.01.26 HPK Hockey – Mikkelin Jukurit – 3:1
30.12.25 HPK Hockey – JYP Hockey – 2:3 OT
27.12.25 Ässät hockey – HPK Hockey – 4:3 OT
26.12.25 HPK Hockey – Ilves hockey – 3:8
20.12.25 Lukko Hockey – HPK Hockey – 4:2

Facts

  • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 3.
  • Recent performances by Tappara have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
  • HPK has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
  • HPK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, Tappara is the undeniable favorite.
  • We predict that Tappara will win today’s game, with odds of 1.32.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 67:40. (average 3.4:2).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Tappara won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:19. (average 3.2:1.9).

    Latest Head To Head

    05.12.25 HPK Hockey – Tappara hockey – 1:3
    04.10.25 Tappara hockey – HPK Hockey – 2:4
    04.09.25 HPK Hockey – Tappara hockey – 2:3
    04.03.25 Tappara hockey – HPK Hockey – 3:1
    25.01.25 HPK Hockey – Tappara hockey – 4:3 OT

    Standings

    2025/26

    Pl W WO LO L Pts
    1 Tappara 35 21 2 2 10 126:83 69
    2 JYP 34 18 5 2 9 128:99 66
    3 Lukko 34 18 4 1 11 107:85 63
    4 KooKoo 35 16 7 1 11 122:93 63
    5 Ilves 35 16 5 3 11 111:96 61
    6 SaiPa 35 16 3 5 11 117:96 59
    7 Assat 35 16 4 3 12 102:86 59
    8 KalPa 34 16 3 2 13 106:109 56
    9 Kiekko-Espoo 37 13 3 5 16 97:111 50
    10 TPS Turku 37 10 6 6 15 86:102 48
    11 Jukurit 35 12 3 4 16 81:94 46
    12 Pelicans 35 10 5 5 15 69:88 45
    13 IFK Helsinki 35 12 2 4 17 78:114 44
    14 Karpat 36 10 4 4 18 112:120 42
    15 Hameenlinna 37 9 4 7 17 90:111 42
    16 Vaasan Sport 35 8 1 7 19 71:116 33

    Finnish SM-liiga Outrights

    1. Tappara: 2.84 (30.9%)

    2. Ilves Tampere: 5.04 (17.44%)

    3. Lukko Rauman: 6.5 (13.52%)

    4. Saipa: 13 (6.76%)

    5. JYP Jyvaskyla: 13.2 (6.66%)

    6. Kalpa Kuopio: 15.2 (5.78%)

    7. KooKoo: 19 (4.62%)

    8. IFK Helsinki: 26 (3.38%)

    9. Assat Pori: 30.8 (2.85%)

    10. Karpat Oulu: 42.6 (2.06%)

    11. Kiekko-Espoo: 62.2 (1.41%)

    12. TPS Turku: 68.2 (1.29%)

    13. Pelicans Lahti: 85.4 (1.03%)

    14. Hameenlinna: 93.4 (0.94%)

    15. Jukurit: 120.2 (0.73%)

    16. Vaasan Sport: 140.2 (0.63%)

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